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Home Business News Diaspora

China to overtake United States as the world’s biggest economy in 2028

Chike Olisah by Chike Olisah
December 26, 2020
in Diaspora
US Election: China congratulates Joe Biden, Hudson Mining Limited, China's economy bounces back from COVID-19 slump, with a growth of 4.9% in Q3 2020

Chinese President Xi Jinping

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China is expected to go ahead of the United States to become the world’s biggest economy in 2028, 5 years earlier than previously anticipated due to the contrasting recoveries of the two countries from the COVID-19 pandemic.

The 2 biggest economies in the world are on course to change positions faster than earlier expected about a year ago.

According to a report from Reuters, this disclosure was made by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) said in an annual report published on Saturday.

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What CEBR is saying

The Centre for Economics and Business Research in its report said, “For some time, an overarching theme of global economics has been the economic and soft power struggle between the United States and China. The COVID-19 pandemic and corresponding economic fallout have certainly tipped this rivalry in China’s favour.”

The CEBR said that China’s skillful management of the coronavirus pandemic, with its strict early lockdown, and the negative impact to long-term growth being experienced in the Western countries meant China’s relative economic performance had improved.

READ: Alibaba in hot water on China’s regulators probe over Ant Group

The Chinese President, Xi Jinping, had said last month that it was entirely possible for the Chinese economy to double in size by 2035 under his government’s new Five-Year Plan, which aims to achieve modern socialism in 15 years.

China is set for average economic growth of 5.7% a year from 2021-25 before slowing to 4.5% a year from 2026-30, while the United States was likely to have a strong post-pandemic rebound in 2021, its growth would slow to 1.9% a year between 2022 and 2024, and then to 1.6% after that.

READ: CBN sequesters N349.72 billion from banks in new CRR debits

Japan is expected to remain the world’s third-biggest economy, in dollar terms, until the early 2030s when it would be overtaken by India, pushing Germany down from fourth to fifth, whereas the UK, currently the fifth-biggest economy by the CEBR’s measure, would slide down to sixth place from 2024.

The CEBR said that the pandemic’s impact on the global economy would most probably reflect in higher inflation, rather than slower growth.

READ: Ratification of AfCFTA will shape Nigeria’s international trade dynamics in 2021 – SB Morgen Report

What you should know

  • China was the first country in the world to be hit by the coronavirus pandemic, after it was discovered in Wuhan, recording many casualties. They, however, were able to recover promptly, together with some other Asian countries.
  • This is well ahead of the Western economies, some of which are seriously battling with the outbreak of the second wave of the pandemic at this moment.

READ: Remittance flows to LMICs to decline by over 14% in 2021 – KNOMAD report


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Tags: CEBRCentre for Economics and Business ResearchchinaUnited States
Chike Olisah

Chike Olisah

Chike was a banker with over 11 years experience in retail and commercial banking, risk management, treasury portfolio management and relationship management. He also acquired some experience in financial management and do have some special interest in investment analysis and personal finance. He had stints with financial institutions like the former Intercontinental Bank and Fidelity Bank.

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Comments 1

  1. Anodebenze says:
    February 16, 2021 at 5:49 pm

    Who said so ?man knows yourself,speak for yourself,do not underestimate yourself or others,who are the EEBR ?,all these are personal opinion any arsehole can have any opinion,by the time mao took over in China,it’s population was about 300milion,by the time mao started the cultural revolution in 1966,a leap in catching up in development, andin nigeria,some nigerian armed forces staged it’s first coup,now china infulenced japan in it’s educational system,now japanese economy have almost stagnant,inspite of it’s econoomic stimulus,since the japan was defeated in the 2nd world war in 1945 by the americans,since then they have being shadowoing american social and economic or educational system,so what i am saying japan is not FREE MENTAL,THERE IS NOTHING ORIGINAL IN JAPAN.
    For india,it does have and did maintained it’s original and indigenous educational system,inspite of repeated invasion from foreigners uptill today,even they the foreigners introduced alien religion of alien educational system,BANGLADASH AND PAKISTAN WERE PART OF INDIA,They maintain their honour and dignity for 2500 yrsindia did infulenced china in it’s educational and religinous system.
    Yo must give honour to whom should be give,now i wants you to ask yourself.why did japan was slowing down and china was raising China have not used or tapped i’s inindiginous and natural power for about 70 yrs,nothing is impossible with god.
    Now China was shadowing american social,imperial and financial system.civilization raises and fall.
    India have well developed educational system better than the america or the chinese educational system BUT IT ISNOT WELL UTILZED IT’S LEVEL AND UNTAPPED.if it merges it’s foreign educational system and it’s indigenious educational system.NO FORCE ON THIS PLANET CAN STOPPS INDIA WHEN IT’S RESURRECTION.
    IT is better foR a man to think small and be infulenced by anybody

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