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Dangote: The King cement maker moving against all odds

Dangote Cement Plc is Nigeria’s multinational publicly traded cement company. It is involved in the production of cement in Africa. 

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Dangote finally addresses how he amassed his wealth without father’s money, Dangote talks about when he will buy Arsenal , Aliko Dangote defends border closure, reacts to Dangote Cement result, Can Nigeria's King Cement maker Dangote Cement withstanding COVID-19?, Aliko Dangote and his slide from $25 billion to $7 billion

Dangote Cement Plc is Nigeria’s multinational publicly traded cement company. It is involved in the production, packaging, exportation and distribution of cement in Nigeria and other parts of Africa.

Dangote Cement Plc is the largest company traded on the Nigerian Stock Exchange with a market capitalization of N1.99 trillion as at April 10, 2020.

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The Nigerian cement industry may be set for a difficult year on account of the COVID-19 pandemic, and it is expected that the sector’s full recovery could take at least 2 years, in line with the macro guidance of African finance ministers.

Clearly, the spread of COVID-19 has altered the global economic outlook for this year. The virus outbreak has led to border closures, as well as restrictions on constructions and other non-essential business activities.

(READ MORE: Dangote Cement Plc: Frail macro conditions to pressure earnings in 2020)

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The Nigerian cement market is likely to underperform the rest of Africa, given that imposed restrictions in its country of domicile have been concentrated in key construction hubs like Lagos, which cumulatively accounts for about 48.0% of the country’s GDP.

Dangote Cement reveals share buyback plans, Dangote Cement Plc: Frail macro conditions to pressure earnings in 2020, Can Nigeria's King Cement maker Dangote Cement withstanding COVID-19?

Dangote cement factory

It’s expected that the shutdown of activities in these zones is likely to last till the end of the third quarter of 2020. In line with global expectations, DANGCEM is expected to report contractions in cement volumes in Nigeria and across its pan African operations in 2020.

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In addition, Dangote cement earnings will likely be under strain by greater income tax deductions going forward, following the expiration of pioneer tax grants on Ibese Lines 3 & 4 and Obajana Line 4 in February 2020.

Consequently, the company recorded an increase in distribution cost in the 2019 financial year as a result of an increase in its number of truck fleet and the proportion of sales distributed by trucks to customers.

In its 2019 released audited financial results, the company posted a revenue of N891.7 billion and pre-tax profit declined by 16.7% year on year to N250.5 billion in the financial year of 2019.

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(READ MORE: Dangote Cement woos investors with N100 billion issue)

Profit after tax, however, dropped sharply, down 48.5% year on year to N201.2 billion in 2019 vs N390.9bn recorded in 2018.

Similarly, its profit margin pressures are likely to start after the operating line, with drags coming in the form of higher interest expense N63.8 billion vs N50.1 billion in 2019.

Fundamentally, the company has had a traditionally strong cash flow position, even during 2016 recession; furthermore, it has a dividend yield of 13.31 % and earnings per share of 11.79, as at April 10, 2020. With a look at the stock on the chart where DANGCEM trades at N117, showing a series of spinning top forming on the price support level, it’s thus likely a strong bullish bias signal on the mid and long term review on the stock.

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Patricia

Olumide Adesina a French-born Nigerian, an Investment Professional at Nairametrics Financial Advocates, owners of Nairametrics.com. He is a Certified Investment Trader, with more than a decade working expertise in Investment Trading. A member of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society. Financial Market; Yale University, Behavioral Finance; Duke University. You can follow Olumide on twitter @tokunboadesina or email [email protected]

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Around the World

Shell considers relocating its headquarters to the UK

Royal Dutch Shell has consistently pushed for the Dutch Government to stop taxes on dividends.

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GLOBAL GAS vs SHELL: COURT SETS ASIDE AWARD OVER BREACH OF CONTRACT, Investors, shareholders shocked as Shell reduces dividend

Oil and gas giant, the Royal Dutch Shell, is considering moving its corporate headquarters from The Netherlands to Britain. This could be a move against the implementation of dividend tax in The Netherlands.

The move was disclosed by the oil company’s Chief Executive Officer, Ben Van Beurden, during an interview with a Dutch newspaper on Saturday, July 4, 2020. According to him, the oil giant is not ruling out relocating its headquarters from the Netherlands to Britain. He said:

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You always need to keep thinking. Nothing is permanent and of course we will look at the business climate. But moving your headquarters is not a trivial measure. You cannot think too lightly about that.”

Further confirming the Chief Executive Officer’s comment, a Shell spokesman told Reuters that the oil giant is looking at ways to simplify its dual structure, as it had been doing for many years.

Royal Dutch Shell has consistently pushed for the Dutch Government to stop the tax on dividend paid to shareholders, as this makes financing dividend, share buy-backs and acquisition a lot more difficult.

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An earlier attempt by the Dutch Government to stop the dividend tax as an incentive to convince Unilever to unify its dual structure in Rotterdam, was met with an outcry by the public, who see that as a gift to rich foreigners.

It can be recalled that Shell had announced a few days ago that it might likely write down between $15 billion-$22 billion in post impairment charges for the second quarter of 2020. The impairment, which is its largest since the merger with Shell Transport and Trading Company Ltd in 2005, shows the huge adverse impact that the coronavirus pandemic has had on the oil giant’s businesses.

Also, in a move that shocked investors, Shell for the first time since the Second World War, cut down the dividend that it paid to its shareholders by two-thirds due to the negative impact of the pandemic. The decision came as a surprise to many including shareholders of the oil company which is by far the biggest payer of dividend in the FTSE 100.

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Coronavirus

Governor David Umahi of Ebonyi tests positive for COVID-19

Umahi has directed those who worked in the budget review for 2020 to immediately test for COVID-19.

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David Umahi, Ebonyi State workers will not get salaries for this reason

The Governor of Ebonyi State, David Umahi has tested positive for COVID-19, reported on Saturday afternoon.

Umahi’s Special Assistant on Media, Mr. Francis Nwaze, confirmed the news and also revealed that some associates of the governor also tested positive.

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He also said that the Governor is not showing any symptoms of the disease, though he has isolated himself in line with the NCDC protocols.

“The governor has directed his Deputy, Dr Kelechi, to coordinate the state’s fight against the disease and appealed to the citizens to take the NCDC protocols seriously.

READ MORE: Governors may push for 42% of federal allocation in new sharing formula

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“He will currently be working from ‘home’ and will be conducting all meetings virtually,” Nwaze added.

David Umahi becomes the sixth Nigerian governor to test positive for the disease, Governors of Kaduna, El- Rufai, Bauchi, Bala Mohammed and Oyo, Seyi Makinde have fully recovered while the recent cases have been the Governors of Ondo, Rotimi Akeredolu and Delta, Ifeanyi Okowa.

On Thursday, Governor Umahi announced that the state’s Executive Council was finalizing the budget review required by World Bank and said “most us broke down and are being treated of malaria.”

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He also directed those who worked in the budget review for 2020 to immediately test for COVID-19 and admitted he is expecting a second test result after he initially tested negative in March.

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Economy & Politics

Nigeria’s debt rises to $79.5 billion, as debt to revenue ratio worsens

According to data obtained from DMO, $27.66 billion (N9.9 trillion) is the total external debt.

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Nigeria's Debt to revenue ratio, DMO suspends April 2020 FGN savings bond offer

Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy’s total public debt rose to $79.5 billion (N28.63 trillion) as of the first quarter of 2020, which is March 31, 2020. This represents a 15% increase from the figure that was recorded for the corresponding period in 2019, which was about $69.09 billion (N24.94 trillion).

This was disclosed in a latest publication by the Debt Management Office (DMO) on Friday June 3, 2020.

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Nigeria has seen its debt stock rise sharply in recent years as the country tries to fund infrastructural and developmental projects and boost its fragile economy, which has been in and out of recession. The country’s economy has been projected to fall into recession again, due to the adverse impact of COVID-19 that has seen oil prices crash globally.

According to data obtained from DMO, $27.66 billion (N9.9 trillion) is the total external debt. This represents 34.89% of the total public debt stock. Whereas, $51.64 billion (N18.64 trillion) is the total domestic debt, which represents 65.11% of the total public debt.

READ MORE: Nigeria borrows N754 billion in 3-month, total debt now N25.7 trillion  

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The Federal Government accounts for 50.77% of the total domestic debt, which is $40.26 billion (N14.53 trillion), whereas the State Governments and Federal Capital Territory account for 14.34% of the total domestic borrowing which is $11.37 billion (N4.11 trillion).

Nigeria has been under a lot of fiscal crisis following the crash of oil prices triggered by the coronavirus pandemic. The oil sector accounts for about 90% of the country’s foreign exchange earnings and about 60% of its total revenue.

The country, which had lined up a series of debt issue this year, had to halt the external commercial borrowing due to oil price collapse. The Minister for Finance, Zainab Ahmed, had last week disclosed that the country would no longer go ahead with its Eurobond debt issue.

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READ ALSO: Lagos debt hits N39.6 billion, to borrow N97 billion more

The Nigerian government, for now, is focusing on the domestic markets and concessionary loans to help fund the 2020 budget deficit which is made worse by drop in revenue. In the recently approved 2020 revised budget, the federal government is expected to borrow N850 billion from the domestic market.

This rising debt has put a lot of pressure on the government’s resources as it spent $1.69 billion (N609,13 billion) to service its domestic debt in the first quarter of 2020 alone.

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Nairametrics had reported that Nigeria’s global rating is at risk due to the sharp rise in the country’s sovereign debt and a growing finance gap. According to a report from the global rating agency, Fitch Ratings, this could trigger a rating downgrade as policymakers struggle to stimulate growth and deal with the impact of low oil prices and sharp drop in revenue.

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According to Fitch, the country’s debt to revenue ration is set to deteriorate further to 538% by the end of 2020, from the 348% that it was a year earlier.

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