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China’s currency hits 16-month low ahead of Trump’s inauguration 

Oluwatosin Osho by Oluwatosin Osho
January 8, 2025
in Currencies, Markets
China’s currency hits 16-month low ahead of Trump’s inauguration 
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The Chinese Yuan weakened to a 16-month low on Wednesday, just ahead of the inauguration of US President-elect Donald Trump.

The currency, also known as the renminbi, fell by 0.1% to Rmb7.34 against the dollar, marking its weakest level since September 2023, as reported by the Financial Times.

This decline occurred despite the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) maintaining a steady fixing rate in anticipation of Trump’s inauguration.

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Renminbi is permitted to trade within a 2% range of the daily rate set by the central bank. Currently, the exchange rate is approaching the lower limit of this trading band.

The selling pressure on the renminbi is partly attributed to concerns that the steep tariffs on Chinese products proposed by Trump could compel the PBoC to weaken the currency to mitigate the impact on exports. These exports have been crucial in sustaining China’s economic growth amid weak domestic consumer demand.

“The market is impatient and wants a blow-up in the renminbi,” said Wee Khoon Chong, a senior markets strategist at BNY.

Chinese equities also affected 

In addition to the currency’s decline, Chinese equities also experienced a downturn on Wednesday. The mainland China CSI 300 index dropped by 0.3%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng benchmark fell by 1.1%.

  • Trump is set to take his oath of office for a second term on January 20. There is widespread global concern regarding the potential for sharp tariff increases from the incoming Trump administration.
  • On Wednesday, the PBoC announced a daily fixing rate of Rmb7.1887 against the dollar, which was almost unchanged from Tuesday’s rate of Rmb7.1879. However, pressure on the exchange rate intensified after strong US economic data boosted the dollar on Tuesday.

Analysts suggest that the central bank aims to maintain a steady exchange rate while awaiting more clarity on Trump’s trade policies. They caution that any slight easing of the fix could trigger a larger sell-off of the Chinese currency.

What you should know 

During his campaign last year, Trump said he would impose additional tariffs on China if China were to “go into Taiwan,” the Wall Street Journal reported.

“I would say: If you go into Taiwan, I’m sorry to do this, I’m going to tax you, at 150% to 200%,” the former U.S. president was quoted as saying in an interview with the WSJ, opens new tab published on Friday evening.

  • Trump and his team have kept markets, businesses and other nations guessing about how he intends to impose new tariffs but the President-elect took to Truth Social on Monday to deny a report that he might moderate plans for across-the-board tariffs when he retakes the White House.
  • Trump will be sworn in as the 47th president of the United States on 20 January. The ceremony will take place in Washington DC and marks the peaceful transition of power from Joe Biden to Mr Trump – who is returning to the White House for a non-consecutive second ter

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Tags: chinaChinese yuanDonald Trump
Oluwatosin Osho

Oluwatosin Osho

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