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Naira falls at black market despite over 100% improvement in dollar supply

At the black market where forex traded unofficially, the exchange rate depreciated to close at N472/$1.

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Dollar, Exchange rate, FOREX, NAFEX market turnover drop by 59%, Naira crashes to N470/$1 as currency uncertainty worsens 

On January 8, 2020, the exchange rate between the naira and dollar closed at N393.50/$1, the fifth trading day of 2021 at the Investors and Exporters’ (NAFEX) window where forex is traded officially.

This is an appreciation from the N393.67 recorded on the previous trading day, January 7, 2021.

READ: Global Economy to grow by 4% in 2021 – World Bank

Nairametrics understands that the over 100% improvement in dollar supply is occurring at the same time there was a price increase on Friday, sustaining the previous trading day’s increase.

We also reported last week that the latest round of adjustment at the I&E window is temporary as the rates could fall back below N400/$1.

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READ: Nigerian Aviation: Exchange rate, 7.5% VAT suspension and other factors to determine survival – Experts

However, at the black market where forex traded unofficially, the exchange rate depreciated to close at N472/$1 on Friday, January 8, 2021, breaking the almost 2 weeks period of stability. This represents a N2 drop when compared to N470/$1 it closed at the previous trading day January 7, 2021.  It has been trading at N470/$1 since the 29th of December 2020.

The exchange rate disparity between the parallel market and the official market widened again to N78.50, representing a 16.7% devaluation differential.

READ: Naira devalues to N410.25/$1 at the official NAFEX Window

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NAFEX

The Naira appreciated against the dollar at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window on Friday, closing at N393.50/$1 as against N393.67 reported on January 7, 2021.

  • This represents a 17 kobo gain when compared with that of the previous trading day.
  • The opening indicative rate was N393.49 to a dollar on Friday. This represents a 20 kobo gain when compared to the N393.69 that was recorded on Thursday, January 7, 2021.
  • The N413.85 to a dollar was the highest rate during intra-day trading before, it still closed at N393.50 to a dollar. It also sold for as low as N380/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover: Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window increased by 102.5% on Friday, January 8, 2021.
  • According to the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ,  forex turnover rose from $32.41 million on Thursday, January 7, 2021, to $65.63 million on Friday, January 8, 2021.
  • The average daily forex sale for last week was about $169.93 million, which represents a huge increase from the $34.5 million that was recorded the previous week.
  • The exchange rate is still being affected by low oil prices, dollar scarcity, a backlog of forex demand, and a shaky economy that has been hit by the coronavirus pandemic.

READ: List of Cryptos outperforming Bitcoin, with weekly gains of over 100%

Can the naira sustain below N400?

On Thursday, December 31, 2020, the central bank allowed the exchange rate to depreciate to N410.25 as a late demand surge forced prices higher.

Even though the highest price for the day was N413.85, the market still closed lower at N393.50 as the trend from the previous trading day continued, blowing any initial belief that a devaluation had occurred last week.

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READ: Gold fast losing the battle to Bitcoin

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Devaluation supporters who had expected this to be a nudge towards “market reality” will be surprised by the appreciation recorded on Monday, suggesting that the central bank will continue with the defence of the local currency in the new year. On the flip side, policy supporters will cite this as the effect of market forces.

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Chike Olisah is a graduate of accountancy with over 15 years working experience in the financial service sector. He has worked in research and marketing departments of three top commercial banks. Chike is a senior member of the Nairametrics Editorial Team. You may contact him via his email- [email protected]

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Currencies

Naira strengthens at NAFEX window despite 61% drop in dollar supply

The exchange rate between the naira and the dollar appreciated marginally closing at N393.35/$1.

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Naira falls across forex markets as businesses resume after public holidays

On January 19, 2021, the exchange rate between the naira and the dollar appreciated marginally closing at N393.35/$1 at the NAFEX (I&E Window) where forex is traded officially.

This is as dollar supply dropped by 61% with lower demand.

Also, the exchange rate at the black market where forex traded unofficially maintained stability at N475/$1. The exchange rate at the parallel market closed at N475/$1 on the previous trading day of January 18, 2021.

READ: Nigeria: Pressure on FX to continue in 2021 – Report

This is as the Central Bank of Nigeria sustains its intervention across the foreign exchange markets to meet the needs of manufacturers and end-users who need dollars for their medical trips, school fees payments, travel allowances, and others.

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The apex bank has also resumed its dollar sales to Bureau De Change operators.

The exchange rate disparity between the parallel market and the official market is about N81.65, representing a 17.2% devaluation differential.

The Naira appreciated against the dollar at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window on Tuesday, closing at N393.35/$1. This represents a 48 kobo gain when compared to the N393.83/$1 that it closed on the previous trading day.

READ: Nigeria faces prolonged exchange rate crisis as oil prices remain stuck at $40

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  • The opening indicative rate was N393.96 to a dollar on Tuesday, representing an 11 kobo gain when compared to the N394.07 that was recorded on Monday, January 18, 2021.
  • The N396 to a dollar was the highest rate during intra-day trading before it closed at N393.35 to a dollar. It also sold for as low as N390/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window declined by 61% on Tuesday, January 19, 2021.
  • According to the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ, forex turnover dropped from $69 million on Monday, January 18, 2021, to $26.83 million on Tuesday, January 19, 2021.
  • The average daily forex sale for last week was about $169.93 million, which represents a huge increase from the $34.5 million that was recorded the previous week.
  • The exchange rate is still being affected by low oil prices, dollar scarcity, a backlog of forex demand, and a shaky economy that has been hit by the coronavirus pandemic.
  • There are fears that the exchange rate at the black market might be under pressure in the coming weeks as importers scramble for dollars to meet their demands.

READ: Naira falls at black market despite over 100% improvement in dollar supply

Oil price steady rise

Brent crude oil price is currently at $54.88 per barrel on Monday, as it moves towards the $60 mark, a strong sign that global demand could sustain price increases in 2021.

  • Nigeria’s crude oil price benchmark for 2020 was $40 while it projected an oil production output of 1.8 million barrels per day.
  • Nigeria has a production capacity of 2.5 million barrels per day but is subject to OPEC’s crude oil production cuts, which are expected to help sustain higher oil prices.
  • The higher oil prices and steady production output have positively impacted Nigeria’s external reserves, rising sharply to $36.304 million according to central bank data dated January 14, 2020.
  • This is the highest level since July 2020 and a sign that higher oil prices and steady output levels may be contributing significantly to Nigeria’s foreign exchange position.

READ: A summer of higher food prices, limited room for monetary policy

Nigeria rising external reserves

  • The external reserve has risen to $36.3 billion as of January 15, 2021, suggesting that the government may have taken receipt of the $1-1.5 billion World Bank Loan.
  • The external reserves have increased by $1 billion since December 31, 2020, when it closed the year at $35.3 billion.
  • The unification of the exchange rate was previously cited as a major requirement for receiving the world bank facility.
  • Nigeria needs the external reserves to hit $40 billion if it is to adequately meet some of the pent up demand that has piled up since 2020 when oil prices crashed and the pandemic caused major economic lockdowns.

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Currencies

Daily Parallel Market Exchange Rate – ₦470/$1

The US dollar stands at ₦470/US$1 in the parallel market

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Forex, NIGERIA: Daily Parallel Market, Exchange Rate

The exchange rate between the naira and the US dollar for today (Wednesday, January 20th 2021), stands at 470/US$1 in the parallel market. The rate had also closed at 470/US$1 on Tuesday, January 19th 2021.

  • Naira:470
  • Dollar: $1
  • Date: January 20th, 2021

The exchange rate between the naira and the British pound sterling stands at ₦630/₤1 on Wednesday, January 20th 2021. The rate had closed at ₦630/₤1 on Tuesday, January 19th 2021.

  • Naira: ₦630
  • Pounds Sterling: ₤1
  • Date: January 20th, 2021

Explore Economic Research Data From Nairametrics on Nairalytics

The exchange rate between the naira and the European euro stands at ₦575/€1 on Wednesday, January 20th 2021. The rate had also closed at ₦575/€1 on Tuesday, January 19th 2021.

  • Naira: ₦575
  • Euro: €1
  • Date: January 20th, 2021

Activity: US Dollar stands at 470/US$1 in the parallel market

Specta

READ ALSO: The risk of buying Forex at black market rate of N460/$1 

DateCurrencyBuy(AM)Sell(AM)Buy(PM)Sell(PM)Volatility
1/20/2021Dollar465470
1/20/2021Pounds625630
1/20/2021Euro570575
1/19/2021Dollar465470465470Low
1/19/2021Pounds625630625630Low
1/19/2021Euro570575570575Low
1/18/2021Dollar465470465470Low
1/18/2021Pounds625630625630Low
1/18/2021Euro570575570575Low
1/15/2021Dollar465470465470Low
1/15/2021Pounds620625620625Low
1/15/2021Euro565570565570Low
1/14/2021Dollar465470465470Low
1/14/2021Pounds620625620625Low
1/14/2021Euro565570565570Low
1/13/2021Dollar465470465470Low
1/13/2021Pounds620625620625Low
1/13/2021Euro565570565570Low
1/12/2021Dollar460465460465Low
1/12/2021Pounds610615610615Low
1/12/2021Euro560565560565Low
1/11/2021Dollar460465460465Low
1/11/2021Pounds610615610615Low
1/11/2021Euro560565560565Low
1/8/2021Dollar460465460465Low
1/8/2021Pounds610615610615Low
1/8/2021Euro560565560565Low
1/7/2021Dollar460465460465Low
1/7/2021Pounds610615610615Low
1/7/2021Euro560565560565Low
1/6/2021Dollar460465460465Low
1/6/2021Pounds610615610615Low
1/6/2021Euro560565560565Low
1/5/2021Dollar460465460465Low
1/5/2021Pounds610615610615Low
1/5/2021Euro560565560565Low
1/4/2021Dollar460465460465Low
1/4/2021Pounds610615610615Low
1/4/2021Euro560565560565Low
1/1/2021Dollar455460455460Low
1/1/2021Pounds610615610615Low
1/1/2021Euro560565560565Low
12/31/2020Dollar455460455460Low
12/31/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/31/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/30/2020Dollar455460455460Low
12/30/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/30/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/29/2020Dollar455460455460Low
12/29/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/29/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/28/2020Dollar455460455460Low
12/28/2020Pounds610615610615low
12/28/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/25/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/25/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/25/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/24/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/24/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/24/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/23/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/23/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/23/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/22/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/22/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/22/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/21/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/21/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/21/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/18/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/18/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/18/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/17/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/17/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/17/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/16/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/16/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/16/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/15/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/15/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/15/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/14/2020Dollar465470465470Low
12/14/2020Pounds610615610615Low
12/14/2020Euro560565560565Low
12/11/2020 0:00Dollar465470465470Low
12/11/2020 0:00Pounds610615610615Low
12/11/2020 0:00Euro560565560565Low
12/10/2020 0:00Dollar465470465470Low
12/10/2020 0:00Pounds610615610615Low
12/10/2020 0:00Euro560565560565Low
12/9/2020 0:00Dollar470475470475Low
12/9/2020 0:00Pounds605610605610Low
12/9/2020 0:00Euro555560555560Low
12/8/2020 0:00Dollar470475470475Low
12/8/2020 0:00Pounds605610605610Low
12/8/2020 0:00Euro555560555560Low
12/7/2020 0:00Dollar465470465470Low
12/7/2020 0:00Pounds615620615620Low
12/7/2020 0:00Euro555560555560Low
12/4/2020 0:00Dollar465470465470Low
12/4/2020 0:00Pounds615620615620Low
12/4/2020 0:00Euro555560555560Low
12/3/2020 0:00Dollar465470465470Low
12/3/2020 0:00Pounds615620615620Low
12/3/2020 0:00Euro555560555560Low
12/2/2020 0:00Dollar485495485495Low
12/2/2020 0:00Pounds630635630635Low
12/2/2020 0:00Euro570575570575Low
12/1/2020 0:00Dollar485495485495Low
12/1/2020 0:00Pounds630635630635Low
12/1/2020 0:00Euro570575570575Low
11/30/2020Dollar485495485495Low
11/30/2020Pounds630635630635Low
11/30/2020Euro565570565570Low
11/27/2020Dollar485490485490Low
11/27/2020Pounds615620615620Low
11/27/2020Euro565570565570Low
11/26/2020Dollar475480475480Low
11/26/2020Pounds600605600605Low
11/26/2020Euro555560555560Low
11/25/2020Dollar475480475480Low
11/25/2020Pounds600605600605Low
11/25/2020Euro555560555560Low
11/24/2020Dollar475480475480Low
11/24/2020Pounds600605600605Low
11/24/2020Euro555560555560Low
11/23/2020Dollar475480475480Low
11/23/2020Pounds600605600605Low
11/23/2020Euro555560555560Low
11/20/2020Dollar465470465470Low
11/20/2020Pounds600605600605Low
11/20/2020Euro555560555560Low
11/19/2020Dollar465470465470Low
11/19/2020Pounds600605600605Low
11/19/2020Euro555560555560Low
11/18/2020Dollar465470465470Low
11/18/2020Pounds600605600605Low
11/18/2020Euro555560555560Low
11/17/2020Dollar465470465470Low
11/17/2020Pounds600605600605Low
11/17/2020Euro555560555560Low
11/16/2020Dollar455460455460Low
11/16/2020Pounds585590585590Low
11/16/2020Euro535540535540Low
11/13/2020Dollar455460455460Low
11/13/2020Pounds585590585590Low
11/13/2020Euro535540535540Low
11/12/2020 0:00Dollar455460455460Low
11/12/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
11/12/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
11/11/2020 0:00Dollar455460455460Low
11/11/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
11/11/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
11/10/2020 0:00Dollar457462457462Low
11/10/2020 0:00Pounds583587583587Low
11/10/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
11/9/2020 0:00Dollar457462457462Low
11/9/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
11/9/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
11/6/2020 0:00Dollar457462457462Low
11/6/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
11/6/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
11/5/2020 0:00Dollar457462457462Low
11/5/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
11/5/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
11/4/2020 0:00Dollar457462457462Low
11/4/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
11/4/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
11/3/2020 0:00Dollar457462457462Low
11/3/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
11/3/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
11/2/2020 0:00Dollar457460457460Low
11/2/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
11/2/2020 0:00Euro530535530535Low
10/30/2020Dollar457460457460Low
10/30/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/30/2020Euro530535530535Low
10/29/2020Dollar457460457460Low
10/29/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/29/2020Euro530535530535Low
10/28/2020Dollar457460457460Low
10/28/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/28/2020Euro530535530535Low
10/27/2020Dollar457461457461Low
10/27/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/27/2020Euro535540535540Low
10/26/2020Dollar457461457461Low
10/26/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/26/2020Euro535540535540Low
10/23/2020Dollar457461457461Low
10/23/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/23/2020Euro535540535540Low
10/22/2020Dollar457461457461Low
10/22/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/22/2020Euro535540535540Low
10/21/2020Dollar456460456460Low
10/21/2020Pounds582593582593Low
10/21/2020Euro535540535540Low
10/20/2020Dollar456460456460Low
10/20/2020Pounds582593582593Low
10/20/2020Euro535540535540Low
10/19/2020Dollar455460455460Low
10/19/2020Pounds583592583592Low
10/19/2020Euro530535530535Low
10/16/2020Dollar455460455460Low
10/16/2020Pounds583592583592Low
10/16/2020Euro530535530535Low
10/15/2020Dollar455460455460Low
10/15/2020Pounds583592583592Low
10/15/2020Euro530535530535Low
10/14/2020Dollar455460455460Low
10/14/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/14/2020Euro530535530535Low
10/13/2020Dollar453458455460Low
10/13/2020Pounds585590585590Low
10/13/2020Euro530535530535Low
10/12/2020 0:00Dollar452458452458Low
10/12/2020 0:00Pounds580585580585Low
10/12/2020 0:00Euro530535530535Low
10/9/2020 0:00Dollar452457452457Low
10/9/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
10/9/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
10/8/2020 0:00Dollar452457452457Low
10/8/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
10/8/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
10/7/2020 0:00Dollar452457452457Low
10/7/2020 0:00Pounds585590585590Low
10/7/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
10/6/2020 0:00Dollar452457452457Low
10/6/2020 0:00Pounds580585580585Low
10/6/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
10/5/2020 0:00Dollar452455452455Low
10/5/2020 0:00Pounds570580570580Low
10/5/2020 0:00Euro540545540545Low
10/2/2020 0:00Dollar460465460465Low
10/2/2020 0:00Pounds575585575585Low
10/2/2020 0:00Euro530540530540Low
10/1/2020 0:00Dollar460465460465Low
10/1/2020 0:00Pounds575585575585Low
10/1/2020 0:00Euro530540530540Low
9/30/2020Dollar460465460465Low
9/30/2020Pounds570580570580Low
9/30/2020Euro530535530535Low
9/29/2020Dollar460465460465Low
9/29/2020Pounds565575570580Low
9/29/2020Euro530535530535Low
9/28/2020Dollar460465460465Low
9/28/2020Pounds565570565570Low
9/28/2020Euro530535530535Low
9/25/2020Dollar460465460465Low
9/25/2020Pounds565575565575Low
9/25/2020Euro535540535540Low
9/24/2020Dollar460465460465Low
9/24/2020Pounds565570565570Low
9/24/2020Euro535540535540Low
9/23/2020Dollar455460455460Low
9/23/2020Pounds580585580585Low
9/23/2020Euro535540535540Low
9/22/2020Dollar455460455460Low
9/22/2020Pounds575585575580Low
9/22/2020Euro530535530535Low
9/21/2020Dollar453455450455Low
9/21/2020Pounds565570565570Low
9/21/2020Euro525530525530Low
9/18/2020Dollar450460450460Low
9/18/2020Pounds575595575595Low
9/18/2020Euro535540535540Low
9/17/2020Dollar455460455460Low
9/17/2020Pounds570580570580Low
9/17/2020Euro530535530535Low
9/16/2020Dollar450460450460Low
9/16/2020Pounds565570565570Low
9/16/2020Euro525530525530Low
9/15/2020Dollar450460450460Low
9/15/2020Pounds565570565570Low
9/15/2020Euro525530525530Low
9/14/2020Dollar445455445455Low
9/14/2020Pounds560575560575Low
9/14/2020Euro515525515525Low
9/11/2020 0:00Dollar450455450455Low
9/11/2020 0:00Pounds555565555565Low
9/11/2020 0:00Euro525530525530Low
9/10/2020 0:00Dollar455460455460Low
9/10/2020 0:00Pounds545560545560Low
9/10/2020 0:00Euro525530525530Low
9/9/2020 0:00Dollar430440430440Low
9/9/2020 0:00Pounds540555540555Low
9/9/2020 0:00Euro500510500510Low
9/8/2020 0:00Dollar435440435440Low
9/8/2020 0:00Pounds540550540550Low
9/8/2020 0:00Euro505515505515Low
9/7/2020 0:00Dollar435440435440Low
9/7/2020 0:00Pounds525530525530Low
9/7/2020 0:00Euro505515505515Low
9/4/2020 0:00Dollar425440425440Low
9/4/2020 0:00Pounds560580560580Low
9/4/2020 0:00Euro505515505515Low
9/3/2020 0:00Dollar425440425440Low
9/3/2020 0:00Pounds560580560580Low
9/3/2020 0:00Euro520535505515High
9/2/2020 0:00Dollar425440425440Low
9/2/2020 0:00Pounds570580560580Low
9/2/2020 0:00Euro535540520535Low
9/1/2020 0:00Dollar462465435440High
9/1/2020 0:00Pounds565575570580Low
9/1/2020 0:00Euro535540535540Low
8/31/2020Dollar463470460465High
8/31/2020Pounds585595580590Low
8/31/2020Euro540545540545Low
8/28/2020Dollar472477472477Low
8/28/2020Pounds580595580595Low
8/28/2020Euro545552545552Low
8/27/2020Dollar472477472477Low
8/27/2020Pounds580590580590Low
8/27/2020Euro542552542552Low
8/26/2020Dollar472477472477Low
8/26/2020Pounds580590580590Low
8/26/2020Euro542552542552Low
8/25/2020Dollar472477472477Low
8/25/2020Pounds575585575585Low
8/25/2020Euro542552542552Low
8/24/2020Dollar473477473477Low
8/24/2020Pounds580590580590Low
8/24/2020Euro542550542550Low
8/21/2020Dollar474477474477Low
8/21/2020Pounds575585575585Low
8/21/2020Euro545550545550Low
8/20/2020Dollar475478473477Low
8/20/2020Pounds575585575585Low
8/20/2020Euro540550540550Low
8/19/2020Dollar475480475480Low
8/19/2020Pounds575585575585Low
8/19/2020Euro540550540550Low
8/18/2020Dollar477480477480Low
8/18/2020Pounds575580575580Low
8/18/2020Euro545550545550Low
8/17/2020Dollar470475470475Low
8/17/2020Pounds580590580590Low
8/17/2020Euro525535525535Low
8/14/2020Dollar470475470475Low
8/14/2020Pounds570580570580Low
8/14/2020Euro525535520535Low
8/13/2020Dollar470475470475Low
8/13/2020Pounds570575565575Low
8/13/2020Euro525530520530Low
8/12/2020 0:00Dollar470475470475Low
8/12/2020 0:00Pounds570575570575Low
8/12/2020 0:00Euro520530520530Low
8/11/2020 0:00Dollar477485477485Low
8/11/2020 0:00Pounds572584572584Low
8/11/2020 0:00Euro510523520535Low
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Data is collated from various black market dealers on the mainland and island parts of Lagos State where forex is sold. The price quoted daily on this page represents the average price obtained by our Research Team. Our prices are a guide and could be slightly different from the price you get when you eventually decide to buy or sell. This is a daily tracker and updated close of business. See table below for parallel market exchange rate dating to 2019.

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Currencies

Naira gains at NAFEX window as external reserves increase by $1 billion

The exchange rate appreciated on Monday as external reserves cross $36.3 billion

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Dollar, Exchange rate, FOREX, NAFEX market turnover drop by 59%, Naira crashes to N470/$1 as currency uncertainty worsens 

On January 18, 2021, the exchange rate between the naira and the dollar appreciated closing at N393.83/$1 at the NAFEX (I&E Window) where forex is traded officially.

This is as Nigeria’s external reserves added $1 billion in 15 days to rise to $36.3 billion.

Also, the exchange rate at the black market where forex traded unofficially maintained stability at N475/$1. The exchange rate at the parallel market closed at N475/$1 on the previous trading day of January 14, 2021.

READ: CBN Governor says Nigeria’s external reserves sufficient to cover 7-months import

This is as the Central Bank of Nigeria sustains its intervention across the foreign exchange markets to meet the needs of manufacturers and end-users who need dollars for their medical trips, school fees payments, travel allowances, and others.

Specta

The apex bank has also resumed its dollar sales to Bureau De Change operators.

The exchange rate disparity between the parallel market and the official market is about N81.17, representing a 16.9% devaluation differential.

READ: CBN considers interest rate cut as trade, economy decline over Coronavirus

The Naira appreciated against the dollar at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window on Monday, closing at N393.83/$1. This represents an 84 kobo gain when compared to the N394.67/$1 that it closed on the previous trading day.

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  • The opening indicative rate was N394.07 to a dollar on Monday, representing a 95 kobo drop when compared to the N393.12 that was recorded on Friday, January 15, 2021.
  • The N415.76 to a dollar was the highest rate during intra-day trading before it closed at N393.83 to a dollar. It also sold for as low as N388/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window increased by 71.2% on Monday, January 18, 2021.
  • According to the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ, forex turnover rose from $40.31 million on Friday, January 15, 2021, to $69 million on Monday, January 18, 2021.
  • The average daily forex sale for last week was about $169.93 million, which represents a huge increase from the $34.5 million that was recorded the previous week.
  • The exchange rate is still being affected by low oil prices, dollar scarcity, a backlog of forex demand, and a shaky economy that has been hit by the coronavirus pandemic.
  • There are fears that the exchange rate at the black market might be under pressure in the coming weeks as importers scramble for dollars to meet their demands.

READ: Nigeria’s External Reserves drop by $2.9 billion, hit 10-month low 

Oil price steady rise

Brent crude oil price is currently at $54.88 per barrel on Monday, as it moves towards the $60 mark, a strong sign that global demand could sustain price increases in 2021.

  • Nigeria’s crude oil price benchmark for 2020 was $40 while it projected an oil production output of 1.8 million barrels per day.
  • Nigeria has a production capacity of 2.5 million barrels per day but is subject to OPEC’s crude oil production cuts, which are expected to help sustain higher oil prices.
  • The higher oil prices and steady production output have positively impacted Nigeria’s external reserves, rising sharply to $36.304 million according to central bank data dated January 14, 2020.
  • This is the highest level since July 2020 and a sign that higher oil prices and steady output levels may be contributing significantly to Nigeria’s foreign exchange position.

READ: Nigeria’s external reserve drop by $261 million in 15 days, oil firms to sell forex to CBN 

Nigeria rising external reserves

  • The external reserve has risen to $36.3 billion as of January 15, 2021, suggesting that the government may have taken receipt of the $1-1.5 billion World Bank Loan.
  • The external reserves have increased by  $1 billion since December 31, 2020, when it closed the year at $35.3 billion.
  • The unification of the exchange rate was previously cited as a major requirement for receiving the world bank facility.
  • Nigeria needs the external reserves to hit $40 billion if it is to adequately meet some of the pent up demand that has piled up since 2020 when oil prices crashed and the pandemic caused major economic lockdowns.

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