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As AMCON nears possible ‘liquidation’, what should we expect?

Seeing as AMCON’s job is not fully done, liquidation may not really be an option in the meantime.

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AMCON

It has been exactly ten years and a few days since July 19, 2010, when former Nigerian President, Goodluck Ebele Jonathan, signed the AMCON Act that established the Asset Management Company of Nigeria. As you may well know, AMCON’s main objectives were clear from the onset:

  • Play an integral role in the recapitalisation of affected Nigerian banks.
  • Provide an opportunity for Nigerian banks to sell off their Non-Performing Loans (NPLs).
  • Free up valuable resources and enable Nigerian banks to focus on their core activities.
  • Refocus the ideal lending ideology in Nigerian banks.
  • And most importantly, prevent any possible financial crisis in the Nigerian financial sector.

READ MORE: Dangote gets license to establish new Peugeot plant in Nigeria.

Whether or not AMCON has satisfactorily actualised these objectives remains a topic of passionate debate among Nigerians. But that is not the crux of the matter here. Instead, we are focusing on the questions of when and if AMCON will eventually get liquidated, and what happens next.

AMCON’s initial lifespan

The Asset Management Company of Nigeria had an initial lifespan of ten years, according to the statutes that established it. Going by that initial plan, the agency was scheduled to be wound down around this time of the year. However, a 2019 amendment of the AMCON Act did not clearly specify the next wind-down date for the agency. Therefore, it is unclear, at this point, if and when AMCON will be liquidated.

READ MORE: FCMB Group records N188bn revenue, grows Profit to N20.1billion

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So, what happens now?

Seeing as AMCON’s job is not fully done, a liquidation might never be an option in the meantime. Some experts’ views, which Nairametrics is privy to, have even estimated that a possible liquidation will not happen until sometime in 2023 or 2024. If and when liquidation does happen, the agency’s outstanding debts and its employees might become absorbed by the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Nigerian Deposit Insurance Company, NDIC. At the moment, there is more than N5 trillion worth of AMCON debt still outstanding.

“We now expect AMCON with its current strategies to wind down in 2023/2024. Where its loans and assets in AMCON have not been fully resolved by 2023/2024, we believe whatever is left of the loans, assets, and employees will be divided between the CBN and NDIC,” our source said.

READ MORE: Rating agency Moody’s reacts to Skye Bank license revocation

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The backstory

Note that there have been numerous calls for the dissolution of AMCON. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) was the first to recommend that “a credible exit strategy for AMCON is devised, in line with the one-off character of its operations.” Since then, the likes of Ernst & Young, the Central Bank of Nigeria, and the Nigerian Deposit Insurance Corporation have recommended that AMCON be scrapped.

In the meantime, Ahmed Kuru’s tenure might be over soon

The current Chief Executive Officer of AMCON, Ahmed Kuru, might be getting ready to step aside come August 2020, unless his tenure gets renewed. Recall that he took over from Mustafa Obi, AMCON’s pioneer CEO, in October 2015. Obi had served for exactly five years as CEO of AMCON prior to his replacement.

Emmanuel is a professional writer and business journalist, with interests covering Banking & Finance, Mergers and Acquisitions, Corporate Profiles, Brand Communication, Fintech, and MSMEs. He initially joined Nairametrics as an all-round Business Analyst, but later began focusing on and covering the financial services sector. He has also held various leadership roles, including Senior Editor, QAQC Lead, and Deputy Managing Editor. Emmanuel holds an M.Sc in International Relations from the University of Ibadan, graduating with Distinction. He also graduated with a Second Class Honours (Upper Division) from the Department of Philosophy & Logic, University of Ibadan. If you have a scoop for him, you may contact him via his email- [email protected] You may also contact him through various social media platforms, preferably LinkedIn and Twitter.

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Companies

Dangote Cement to extend clinker export to other African countries 

Dangote is on course to sell more clinker across West Africa and commence shipment to Central Africa in H2 2020. 

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Dangote Cement Plc. appoints Ms. Berlina Moroole as non-Executive Director

The Management of Africa’s largest cement producer, Dangote Cement Plc (DCP), disclosed during a virtual event yesterday, that the cement producer is set to commence clinker export to other African countries within the next few weeks. 

The Acting Group CFO, Guillaume Moyen, made this known in his presentation at the joint virtual event with NSE, tagged “Facts Behind the Figures and Sustainability report’’ on Wednesday24th September, 2020. 

Backstory: In its half-year report, the Management of Dangote disclosed that on 12 June 2020, the maiden shipment of 27.8Kt of clinker from Nigeria to Senegal left the Apapa Export Terminal. 

READ: Dangote Cement’s N100 billion CP admitted on FMDQ Securities Exchange

The Management reiterated that the company is on course to sell more clinker across West Africa, and commence shipment to Central Africa in H2 2020. As it is in line with the Group’s vision of making West and Central Africa, cement and clinker independent, with Nigeria the main export hub. 

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The absence of limestone in much of West Africa, especially those in the coastal states, forces those countries to import bulk cement and clinker from Asia and Europe, and this is quite expensive. 

READ: BUA Cement Plc posts impressive unaudited H1, 2020 financial results

However, Dangote Cement plans an exporttoimport strategypositioning Nigeria as the main export hub of the continent, in a bid to serve West and Central Africa countries from Nigerian factories, making the region cement and clinker independent. 

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This is consistent with the Group’s vision of cementing Africa’s economic independence, as this would lead to lower clinker cost for pan-African operations, due to the proximity of Nigeria to these countries, as clinker landing cost will be cheaper. 

READ: Nigerian billionaires lose billions amid COVID-19 pandemic

The Management emphasized that this is possible, as Nigeria can serve a potential market of 15 countries, with over 350 million people, given the county’s relative abundance of quality limestone, especially in key Southern regions. 

It is important to note that DCP’s clinker volume, according to figures contained in its H1 2020 results, has increased to 60Kt from 12kt in H1 2019, which translates to 400% increase. 

The benefits of DCP’s export strategy 

It is noteworthy that the innovative strategy of Dangote Cement Plc is expected to; 

  • Cement Africa’s economic independence, and contribute to the improvement of continental, regional, and intra-regional trade, as the company seeks to make regional and continental free trade agreement a reality. 
  • Ensure that the increase in production due to exports, leads to increase in capacity utilization in the Nigerian operation, and in turn, reduces fixed cost per tonnes 
  • Increase foreign revenue exchange for the Nigerian operation, and offset foreign exchange risks. 
  • Reduce clinker landing cost, by leveraging on the proximity of Nigeria to other African countries. 

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Companies

Fidelity Bank to raise N50 billion in bonds in Q4 to refinance existing debts

The new issue will be made to redeem the existing N30 billion bond which was issued at 16.48%.

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Fidelity Bank Plc ,CEO Nnamdi Okonkwo, Fidelity Bank Plc growth plan, SMEs funding

One of Nigeria’s second-tier commercial banks, Fidelity Bank Plc, has concluded plans to issue up to N50 billion ($131.3 million) in local bonds by the fourth quarter of 2020, in order to refinance existing debts as the yields drop.

The disclosure was made by the Chief Operations and Information Officer, Gbolahan Joshua, during an analyst call on Tuesday, September 8, 2020.

The crash of crude oil price globally, which was triggered by the novel coronavirus pandemic, has led to a decline in bond yields on the local debt market. This has made foreign investors to dump their local assets, leaving excess liquidity in the money market. This has also put a lot of pressure on the foreign exchange market as they look for dollars to repatriate their funds.

READ: Guinness Nigeria finding it hard to refinance its loans due to dollar scarcity

The Fidelity Bank top executive disclosed that the new issue will be made to redeem the existing N30 billion bond which was issued at 16.48%.

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The global economic situation has seen yields in the debt market drop from as high as 18% about 3 years ago to less than 5% for the one-year treasury bill.

READ: GTBank, Zenith Bank, UBA record losses, investors down by N12.2 billion

Fidelity Bank had revealed that it expected to see a 15% drop in profit this year when compared to 2019 result due to the coronavirus pandemic. Its profit after tax increased by 21.9% to N12 billion for the half-year 2020.

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The second-tier bank also disclosed that its income declined in the second quarter due to a downward review of lending rates on loans as a result of the economic downturn.

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Companies

Heineken buys more units of Nigerian Breweries Plc

The Dutch firm has invested N276 million in NB since August, to increase its stake in the Brewer by 0.10%.

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Heineken scoops more Nigerian Breweries shares in insider disclosure

The major shareholder of the largest brewer in Nigeria, Heineken Brouwerijen B.V, has increased its stake in Nigerian Breweries, with the purchase of 233,110 additional units of Nigerian Breweries shares. This was disclosed by the company in a notification sent to the Nigerian Stock Exchange, which was seen by Nairametrics.

According to the notification, which was signed by the Company’s Secretary, Uaboi G. Agbebaku, the purchase was made on the bourse over two transactions on the 2nd and 3rd of September.

This disclosure is a regulatory requirement that must be reported to the Nigerian Stock Exchange, especially when a major shareholder or director of a publicly quoted company purchases shares in the company they own.

READ: GTBank revenue for H1, 2020 rises to N225.14 billion

The analysis of these transactions indicates that the purchase consideration for the 233,110 additional units of Nigeria Breweries shares at an average price of N39.94 is put at N9.3 million.

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This purchase and previous purchases further cement Heineken Brouwerijen B.V’s status as a major shareholder; the company has accumulated a total of 7,720,236 since 30th June.

READ: Vitafoam’s 2020 oncourse to make light–work of 2019

As of June 30th, when Nigerian Breweries released its Half-year financial results and reviewed its shareholding pattern, the company had exactly 7,996,902,051 outstanding shares, with Heineken Brouwerijen B.V being the majority shareholder with 3,019,363,804 units, which amount to 37.76% of the total shares of the company outstanding. 

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Hence, with the current purchase of 233,110 additional units, and previous purchases in August and September 1, which amount to 7,487,126 units, Heineken’s ownership percentage of Nigeria Breweries is now put at 37.85%.

Insider transactions, both sales and purchases, are often an indication of how shareholders perceive a company’s valuation. It could also mean a possible capital raise or that the majority shareholders are strengthening their existing holdings.

READ: Heineken scoops more Nigerian Breweries shares in insider disclosure

In like manners, the purchase of the shares of Nigerian Breweries by Heineken and other majority shareholder has mopped up stray volumes on the bourse, and pushed the stock price higher by 29% or N9, from N31 it closed at on the 3rd of August to its current value of N40 with 38.2x earnings.

About the company

Nigerian breweries is the largest brewing company in Nigeria. It engages in the brewing and marketing of lager beer, stout and non-alcoholic malt drinks, and the bottling of the Schweppes range of soft drinks and Crush Orange. Its brands include Star, Gulder, Legend, Heineken, Maltina, Amstel Malta, Fayrouz, Climax, Goldberg, Malta Gold, and Life. These products are mainly sold in Nigeria and other neighbouring countries.

READ: Flour Mills and its diverse challenges

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Key takes on NB’s financials

Nigerian Breweries was affected by the disruption in the global and domestic demand and supply chain, as profit after tax of the largest brewer dropped by as much as 58%, at the back of the adverse impact of the sharp contraction in economic activities.

The knock-on effect of the COVID-19 lockdown, which affected the trade segment of the business, affected the company sales and this triggered the 11% drop in revenue in the first half of the year.

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