Around the World
Nigeria’s growth forecast has been raised by the IMF
Nigeria’s economic growth for 2019 was on Tuesday revised by the International Monetary Fund (@IMFNews). The global monetary cooperation raised Nigeria’s growth forecast by 0.3 percent.
Nigeria’s economic growth for 2019 was on Tuesday revised by the International Monetary Fund. The global monetary cooperation raised Nigeria’s growth forecast by 0.3 percent. However, despite the increase, Nigeria and other emerging markets continue to pose risk to global economic growth.
In line with the new forecast, the IMF believes that Nigeria’s economy will grow by 2.3 percent by the end of 2019. In the meantime, the 2020 growth has been put at 2.6 percent. This is according to the IMF World Economic Outlook for the month of July.
[READ MORE: Nigeria Economy is recovering, but too slow to reduce poverty – IMF]
Nairametrics had previously reported that the IMF revised Nigeria’s economic growth forecast for the period under review, trimming it down to 2.1 in June. Before then, the IMF had predicted a 2.2 percent growth for Nigeria’s economy in 2019.
IMF building
The monetary fund had blamed the June downgrade on;
- Slower-than-expected mining
- Slower oil production,
- Domestic policy uncertainties.
It was stated then that the aforementioned will delay the growth recovery in some of the largest commodity exporters such as Angola, Nigeria, South Africa, and other Sub-Saharan African countries.
Nigeria is a risk to global growth: Nigeria and other emerging economies will pose risks to global growth, Nairametrics learned. The IMF July report which was titled, “Sluggish global growth call for supportive policies”, has shown that the growth of global economy weighs heavily on emerging economies.
[READ ALSO: CBN finally confirms licensing three new banks in Nigeria]
The IMF had earlier forecast 0.1 percent for the global growth in 2019 and 2020. But according to the report, the 2019 growth is now set for 3.2 percent, while 2020 growth is fixed at 3.5 percent.
In the meantime, about 70 percent of the global growth is hinged on the emerging market and developing economies. The report also stated that global growth would have been better if not for self-inflicted policies and policy uncertainty. However, contributing factors include trade and technology tensions among advanced economies.
“Global growth is sluggish and precarious, but it does not have to be this way because some of this is self-inflicted.
“We are revising downward our projection for global growth to 3.2 per cent in 2019 and 3.5 per cent in 2020. While this is a modest revision of 0.1 percentage points for both years relative to our projections in April, it comes on top of previous significant downward revisions.
“The revision for 2019 reflects negative surprises for growth in emerging market and developing economies that offset positive surprises in some advanced economies.
“Dynamism in the global economy is being weighed down by prolonged policy uncertainty as trade tensions remain heightened despite the recent US-China trade truce, technology tensions have erupted threatening global technology supply chains, and the prospects of a no-deal Brexit have increased.”
IMF raises Nigeria’s economy growth forecast
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Around the World
Zoom’s market valuation hits $50 billion mark, thanks to COVID-19
Zoom’s share price now trades at an eye-watering 55 times estimated revenue compared with an average of 7 times for information technology stocks in the S&P 500, according to information obtained from Bloomberg.
Zoom Video Communications’ shares surged to record highs on Friday, as bullish runs in the last hours of trading helped the company to close with a market capitalization of more than $50 billion. The stock gained about 9.7% to jump to $179.48, thereby giving it a market value of $50.6 billion.
Note that this is the first time Zoom’s valuation is reaching this high level since it became a quoted company. The tech giant, which owns popular video conferencing software “Zoom”, has gained more than 160% this year. This is because investors are betting that the surge in Zoom users amid the COVID-19 pandemic, would eventually translate to long-lasting revenue growth.
READ ALSO: How VCs are encouraging terrible business practices by founders
Zoom’s share price now trades at an eye-watering 55 times estimated revenue compared with an average of 7 times for information technology stocks in the S&P 500, according to information obtained from Bloomberg.
Following the significant jump in the company’s valuation, the net worth of its founder and Chief Executive Officer, Eric Yuan, also rose significantly by more than $800 million on Friday. He now has a net worth of $9.3 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Meanwhile, in reaction to Zoom’s overnight success, Gennie Gebhart, a researcher with the Electronic Frontier Foundation, said she hoped Zoom would change course and offer protected video more widely. It should be recalled that some users of the app had raised security concerns back in April, as Nairametrics reported.
READ ALSO: Did Satoshi Nakamoto cause the panic sell-off in Bitcoin market
Meanwhile, Zoom has recruited Alex Stamos, a former chief security officer at Facebook, and other top security experts to help deal with the security issues which led to some top companies banning its use. While discussing efforts being made to deal with the security challenges, Stamos told Reuters:
“At the same time that Zoom is trying to improve security, they are also significantly upgrading their trust and safety. The CEO is looking at different arguments. The current plan is paid customers plus enterprise accounts where the company knows who they are.”
Around the World
Central banks digital currencies pose a threat against the U.S dollar
In general, digital currencies could weaken the power of U.S. sanctions and the ability of the U.S. Treasury to watch illicit financial flows.
A new report by America’s biggest bank, JP Morgan Chase, said the U.S dollar is being faced with a major threat as many central banks’ digital currencies continue to gain traction.
Analysts, including Josh Younger, the head of U.S. interest-rate derivatives strategy and Michael Feroli, the chief U.S. economist, wrote in a report saying this:
“There is no country with more to lose from the disruptive potential of digital currency than the United States.
“This revolves primarily around U.S. dollar hegemony. Issuing the global reserve currency and the medium of exchange for international trade in commodities, goods, and services convey immense advantages.”
Aditi Kumar and Eric Rosenbach also recently penned an opinion piece for Foreign Affairs in which they noted that “Just recently, America’s arch-rival China became the first major economy to carry a real test of a national digital currency.”
(READ MORE: Why the strong dollar is giving Nigeria headache)
In general, electronic currencies could weaken the power of U.S. sanctions and the ability of the U.S. Treasury to watch illicit financial flows. A digital Chinese currency (yuan) combined with China’s developed electronic payment systems may give China more future influence than it ever bargained for.
What Nigerians should know about Digital currencies
A digital currency is a cash balance recorded electronically on a store value card or other physical devices, which could someday replace the physical notes of the naira, for instance.
Digital currencies can be decentralized, that is where the control over the cash supply can come from diverse sources. Digital currencies can also be centralized, where there is a midway point of control over cash supply, just like the way central banks work.
Although JP Morgan does not see the U.S dollar being overthrown as the world’s reserve currency anytime soon, experts warned that the U.S dollar dominance could weaken. This is because its processing trade settlement and the SWIFT system could make it more vulnerable.
The American bank continued by saying:
“Offering a cross-border payment solution built on top of a digital dollar would, particularly if designed to be minimally disruptive to the structure of the domestic financial system, be a very modest investment to protect a key means to project power in the global economy,
“For high-income countries and the U.S. in particular, digital currency is an exercise in geopolitical risk management.”
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said months ago that the Federal Reserve was taking a critical view on the issues regarding a digital currency.
Around the World
Dollar gains against major currencies
U.S dollar stood firm against major currencies on Monday as fears over rising tensions between America and China over Beijing’s plans to begin
The U.S dollar was up on Monday morning during London’s trading session after protests in Hong Kong yesterday escalated U.S-China tensions.
US dollar stood firm against major currencies on Monday as fears over rising tensions between America and China heightened.
The American Dollar Index that monitors the U.S dollar against a basket of other major currencies was slightly up 0.02% to 99.945 by 11.10 am Nigerian local time.
What it means: Nigerians hoping to meet a foreign exchange payment obligation, transactions via the dollar to countries like Europe, Japan, would have the need to pay fewer dollars to fulfill such transactions.
(READ MORE:Reports: China may defer loans owed by Nigeria and others)
Meanwhile, the friendship between the Americans and Chinese has soured lately since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. US President Trump and President Jinping of China have traded words against each other issues surrounding COVID-19, including accusations of lack of transparency and cover-ups.
Consequently, the U.S. Commerce Department added 33 Chinese businesses to a blacklist on Friday, and some U.S. Senators proposed sanctions on those businesses.
“The biggest concern is the tension between the United States and China, things were already bad, and it is likely to get worse because of the Hong Kong security law. This supports risk-off trades, which is positive for the dollar and the yen,” Tekuya Kanda, the general manager of research at Gaitame.com Research Institute, told Reuters.
