Fragility where it matters most: Relatively higher volumes of products notwithstanding,
Total Nigeria Plc’s Q1 2019 revenue bared tepid growth of 2.35%, pitching in at NGN77.42bn (Q1:2018: NGN75.65bn).
More evidently, it was a story of inefficiency in the selection of products to vend. While an extensive retail footprint is expected to drive growth in Premium Motor Spirit (PMS)
sales, a consideration of the current demand and supply dynamics of the downstream sector requires a strategy to drive more volumes of high margin products such as lubricants and aviation fuel.
On the contrary, Total increased petroleum product sales by 111.88%, while lubricant sales
waned by a substantial 70.47%. For context, the company vended 4.77 times more petroleum products than it did lubricants in Q1:2019 (vs. 0.66 times in Q1:2018). To make matters worse, petroleum product sales inclined more towards the General Trade (Corporate Sales) segment which is notorious for weaker margins, with the Network (retail) segment posting a 2.17% y-o-y deterioration.
Our outlook on the company’s top-line has been moderated downwards, though
we envisage an expansion of the lubricant segment in succeeding quarters, causing FY:2019 expected revenue growth to settle at 7.50% (NGN331.09bn).
Costs remain obstinate in the face of industry headwinds: In Q1:2019, direct costs outpaced revenue growth, contributing to a softer gross margin. With average oil price lower by 5.06% compared to the same period last year, landing costs were expected to taper down but remained relatively flat due to higher global freight costs. Consequently, Cost-to-Sales surged to 89.49% (vs. 88.99% in Q1:2018) while gross margin deteriorated to 10.51% (vs. 11.01% in Q1:2018).
Operating expenses corroborated the broad story of stubbornly elevated costs, as they soared by 25.62% due to a 27.18% uptick in administrative expenses and a 17.08% rise in depreciation charges. Notably, Foreign Exchange Losses (classified as “Other Expenses”) also snowballed.
On the back of these, total operating expenses settled at NGN7.17bn (vs. NGN5.70 in Q1:2018) and operating profit dipped by 57.49% to NGN1.38bn from NGN3.24bn in Q1:2018. Finance costs ballooned to NGN1.91bn, a 178.61% rise that triggered a loss before tax and net loss of NGN0.42bn and to NGN0.47bn respectively. This return is the worst since Q4:2010 and continued a trend which began in Q4:2018 where net earnings were only NGN0.30bn.
Operating Accruals reflect poorer earnings quality: Sales to the general trade segment
(Corporate Clients) swelled by 7.54% over the period under review. Traditionally, heightened corporate sales are precursors for an uptick in receivables and Q1:2019 was no different, as trade and other receivables expanded by 31.46% to reach NGN68.37bn (FY:2018: NGN52.01bn).
The operating accruals, the difference between after-tax profit and operating cash flow, was at NGN21.92bn, a suggestion of poorer earnings quality when compared to the FY:2018 figure of – NGN1.57bn.
Outlook and Recommendation: Our outlook on crude oil prices for FY:2019 is now in the
USD60pb – USD70pb range, implying lower landing costs and a boost to NNPC’s importation cum supply efforts. Similarly, a stronger play on volumes of deregulated products and lubricants should ordinarily impact Total’s margins positively. However, we expect that costs will remain stubbornly high, causing FY:2019 earnings to moderate to NGN5.46bn, a 31.46% contraction.
This earnings outlook is premised on a sturdier Q2 performance, as antecedents indicate.
FY:2019 expected EPS is NGN16.07, and with a target PE of 9.35x, we arrived at a target price of NGN150.25, a downside potential of 11.62% to the current share price of NGN170.00.
Nigerians will now pay N50 stamp duty on electronic receipts – FIRS
“Any electronic receipt for, or electronic transfer of, money deposited with any bank or with any banker in any type of account of an amount from N10,000 upwards shall attract a singular or one-off duty of the sum of N50.” –FIRS
Nigerians will now pay stamp duties on all forms of electronic notifications acknowledging receipts of funds.
This includes SMS and messages on any electronic platform such as emails and Whatsapp messages.
This is according to a circular that was signed by FIRS’ Executive Chairman, Muhammad Nami, as seen on the tax agency’s website. Part of the circular said:
“Any electronic receipt for, or electronic transfer of, money deposited with any bank or with any banker in any type of account of an amount from N10,000 upwards shall attract a singular or one-off duty of the sum of N50.
“Stamp duty upon receipt (written, printed or in electronic form) for transactions between corporate bodies or between a corporate body and an individual, group or body of individuals, which amounts to N10,000 and above, shall be denoted by payment of N50 per receipt to the service.”
The FIRS circular also stated that stamp duties will be paid on “POS receipts, fiscalised device receipts, Automated Teller Machine (ATM) print-outs.”
The circular went further to categorically state that all receipts, either printed or electronically generated, or any form of electronic acknowledgement of money transactions, will attract the stamp duty of N50.
The agency also clarified that it is the only body authorised to collect such duties because “the Federal Inland Revenue Service is the only competent authority to impose, charge, and collect duties upon instruments specified in the schedule to this act if such instrument relates to matters executed between a company and an individual, group or body of individuals.”
The instruments subject to charge, as listed in the circular, include; fixed duty instruments such as Power of Attorney, Certificate of Attorney, Proxy forms, Appointment of receivers, Memorandum of Understanding, Joint Venture Agreements, Guarantors form, Ordinary agreements and Receipts; and Ad-valorem instruments such as Tenancy or lease agreements, legal mortgage or debentures, Sales agreements and Deed of assignments.
Ministry of Health approves COVID-19 protocols for aviation sector, as airports prepare to resume
Flight attendants would be required to undergo mandatory COVID-19 test every fortnight, at the expense of their employers.
Flight crew members will now be required to wear Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) and observe Infection, Prevention and Control (IPC) measures for the duration of their flights.
They would also be required to undergo mandatory COVID-19 test every fortnight, at the expense of their employers.
This is part of the mandatory COVID-19 protocols approved by the Federal Ministry of Health for the aviation industry, as the Nigeria Civil Aviation Authority (NCAA) prepares to gradually ease the lockdown on its operations on June 7.
NCAA Director-General, Captain Musa Nuhu, stated this at a virtual event organised by the Aviation Safety Round Table Initiative (ART) titled COVID-19: The Challenges and Opportunity for Nigeria’s Aviation Value Chain, During and Post.
According to Nuhu who sent letters to airline operators, airports, and other service providers, these new protocols override existing practices where the international flight crew members are quarantined for 14 days upon their return to Nigeria.
In addition, the airlines must also conduct orientation and sensitisation of their crew on Infection, Prevention and Control (IPC) measures, in addition to having adequate stock of PPE, minimum 70% alcohol-based hand sanitizers, and Universal Precaution Kits (UPK) on board every aircraft.
The letter reads; “Onboard the flight crew will request passengers wash their hands after using the lavatory, apply disinfectant spray in lavatory every 60 minutes during the flight and maintain a safe distance between passengers and themselves; avoid direct physical contact and serve only pre-packed meals to passengers.
“Flight deck crew must wear non-medical face masks and gloves but can remove face masks when the cockpit door is closed. They must also ensure safe removal of gloves after performing specific tasks and avoid touching their face and eyes with unclean hands.”
The new protocols according to Nuhu, are a result of a proposal earlier sent by the NCAA to the Ministry of Aviation for approval.
Recall that on March 13, President Muhammadu Buhari had announced a shutdown of airport operations for one month. The shutdown was initially extended by two weeks and then later extended by four weeks; all part of measures to contain the COVID-19 pandemic.
The decision to commence flights at the airports on June 7, according to the NCAA, is to avoid chocking the “system”.
The airports where operations will commence are the Murtala Mohammed Airport, Ikeja; Nnamdi Azikiwe Airport, Abuja; Aminu Kano Airport, Kano and the Port Harcourt Airport, Choba, Rivers State.
“We may resume domestic operations with four or five airports and we hope to expand as we get better. We don’t want to rush everything at the same time and get it choked up,” he said.
On the issue of physical distancing…
The issue of a 2 metre physical distance has, however, not been concluded in the newly approved protocols, as the NCAA has stated that airlines may not be able to adhere to it.
“Every money is important and we cannot achieve the two-meter physical distance. We are hopeful in the next few days we can resolve those issues and allow the airlines to commence operations,” he said.
In his presentation, Air Peace Chairman, Mr Allen Onyema, also disagreed with plans to leave the middle seats of aircraft free as that could further affect the revenue of the airlines.
He suggested instead that the government provide intervention for local carriers to enable them retain their workers as the pandemic has bored a deep hole in their pockets.
“We should be asking the government for specific things that would help retain jobs. Job retention should be first and foremost. These people’s livelihood are endangered and we must do everything possible to keep their jobs.”
Job listings spike up by 183% in April –Jobberman
Jobberman released figures showing a 183% increase in job listings on its platform in April 2020, thanks to its #UnityInAdversity campaign.
Notable job placement website, Jobberman, has released figures showing that there was a 183% increase in job listings on its platform in the month of April 2020.
This increase, according to Jobberman, is a result of the #UnityInAdversity campaign which allowed companies to post job listings and access Jobberman’s database of over 2.2 million professionals across Nigeria for free, rather than paying the usual fees. This was the company’s way of showing support to businesses and individuals, amid the economic challenges which resulted from the COVID-19 pandemic.
According to the release from Jobberman, this campaign came at a cost to the company since it was trading off its revenue by offering for free, the same services which formed its major source of income.
“At the beginning of March, Jobberman Nigeria saw a 70 percent decrease in job listings due to the reduced economic activity caused by the enforced lockdown and many companies shutting down recruitment budgets to cut costs. Jobseeker sign-ups also decreased by 17 percent. Jobberman took the bold step to put employers’ and job seekers’ needs first” the statement read.
The campaign, which is billed to run till June 30, has paid off greatly as data for April’s job listings alone was more than that of the entire Q1 2020 period. See a breakdown of the job listings below:
- Almost a fifth of the positions (18.79%) were listed in the tech sector
- Banking, finance, and insurance accounted for 9.27%
- Education and training had 6.78 percent
- IT & Software positions accounted for 11.69%
- Sales had 13.32%.
Note that with the increase in job listings, job seeker sign-ups also increased by 39% in April alone.
Speaking about the campaign, the CEO of Jobberman Nigeria, Hilda Kragha said, “The COVID-19 pandemic has made the process of connecting talent to opportunities more complicated and we are fully aware of the strain businesses and individuals in Nigeria are facing. We plan to be here for the next 10 years so making this small sacrifice to help our users navigate these difficult times is something that we think is definitely worth doing”.
Kragha also noted that the campaign has encouraged healthy competition as candidates strive to show themselves qualified for the position.
“We have found that soft skills such as emotional intelligence, business etiquette, time management, which are often overlooked and underestimated in Nigeria, can make a big difference. We know the power of soft skills and we are committed to empowering individuals with the training and soft skills they need to succeed in the workplace” she explained further.
Sequel to this, the company also launched a free soft skills training programme to help job seekers (between age 18 and 30 years) acquire the needed soft skills and better their chances of gaining employment.