This week’s trading was a negative one the Nigerian Stock Exchange, as the All Share Index closed in the red, down 2.51%. The All Share Index shed 790.27 basis points, closing at 30,636.36 basis points. Year to date, the index is down 2.53%.
16 equities appreciated in price during the week, lower than 40 in the previous week. 50 equities depreciated in price, higher than 25 of the previous week, while 102 equities remained unchanged, lower than 103 equities recorded in the preceding week.
ABC Transport Plc
ABC Transport Plc was the best performing stock this week. The stock opened at N0.29 and closed at N0.36, up N0.07 or 24.14%. Year to date, the stock is up by the same margin.
Mutual Benefits Assurance Plc
Mutual Benefits Assurance Plc gained 10% this week. The stock opened at N0.20 and closed at N0.22, up N0.02. Year to date, the stock is up 4.76%.
Beta Glass Plc
Beta Glass Plc appreciated by 9.09% this week. The stock opened the week at N55 and closed at N60, up N0.05. Year to date, the stock is down 12.15%.
Sterling Bank Plc
Sterling Bank Plc opened the week at N2.26 and closed the week at N2.45, up N0.19 or 8.41%. Year to date, the stock is up 28.95%.
UACN Property Development Company
UPDC gained 8.18% this week. The stock opened at N8.65 and closed at N9.20, up N0.55. Year to date, the stock is down 9.95%.
Vitafoam Nigeria Plc
Vitafoam Nigeria Plc opened the week at N4.49 and closed at N4.79, up N0.30 or 6.68%. Year to date, the stock is up 8.86%.
The company this week released its results for the first quarter ended December 2018. Revenue increased from N5 billion in 2017 to N6.3 billion in 2018. Profit before tax also rose from N258 million in 2017 to N513 million in 2018. Profit after tax jumped from N162 million in 2017 to N361 million in 2018.
UACN Plc gained 6.35% this week. The stock opened at N8.65 and closed at N9.20, up N0.55. Year to date, the stock is down 5.64%.
Champion Breweries Plc
Champion Breweries Plc opened the week at N1.70 and closed at N1.80, up N0.10 or 5.88%. Year to date, the stock is down 9.55%.
Total Nigeria Plc
Total Nigeria Plc gained 4.12% this week. The stock opened at N214.50 and closed at N223.30, up 8.80%. Year to date, the stock is up 10%.
University Press Plc
University Press Plc rounds up the top 10 gainers for the week. The stock opened at N2 and closed at N2.08, up N0.08 or 4%. Year to date, the stock is down 4.59%.
Consolidated Hallmark Insurance Plc
Consolidated Hallmark Insurance Plc shed 17.14% and was the worst performing stock this week. The stock opened at N0.35, and closed at N0.32, down N0.03.
Year to date, the stock is down 23.33%.
Niger Insurance Plc
Niger Insurance Plc opened at N0.26 and closed at N0.22, down N0.04 or 15.38%. Year to date, the stock is down 8.33%.
The insurance firm this week released its audited results for the 2018 financial year. Gross premium written fell sharply from N8.7 billion in 2017 to N4.4 billion in 2018. Profit before tax dropped from N421 million in 2017 to N303 million in 2018. Profit after tax also dropped from N389 million in 2017 to N236 million in 2018.
Dangote Flour Mills Plc
Dangote Flour Mills Plc opened the week at N6.50 and closed the week at N5.80, down N0.70 or 10.77%. Year to date, the stock is down 15.33%.
Ikeja Hotels Plc
Ikeja Hotels Plc dropped by 10.71% this week. The stock opened at N1.68 and closed at N1.50, down N0.18. Year to date, the stock is down 1.96%.
Academy Press Plc
Academy Press Plc opened at N0.50 and closed at N0.45, down 10%. Year to date, the stock is down by the same margin, and is trading at a 5-year low.
AIICO Insurance Plc
AIICO Insurance Plc declined by 9.86% this week. The stock opened at N0.71 and closed at N0.64, up N0.07. Year to date, the stock is up 1.59%.
Newrest ASL Nigeria Plc
Newrest ASL Nigeria Plc opened the week at N7.15 and closed at N6.45, down N0.70 or 9.79%. Year to date, the stock is down 18.35%.
Berger Paints Plc
Berger Paints Plc opened the week at N7.75 and closed at N7, down N0.75 or 9.68%. Year to date, the stock is down 18.6%.
First Aluminum Plc
First Aluminum Plc opened the week at N0.35 and closed at N0.32, down N0.03 or 8.57%. Year to date, the stock is down 11.11%.
Meyer Plc rounds up the top 10 losers for the week. The stock opened at N0.59 and closed at N0.54, down N0.05 or 8.47%.
Year to date, the stock is down by the same margin.
The company this week released its results for the 2018 financial year. Revenue was flat at N1 billion in 2018, unchanged from the prior year. The company however recorded a profit before tax of N218 million in 2018 as against a loss before tax of N202 million recorded in the prior year.
Diversion points for third mainland bridge closure revealed
There would be a diversion of traffic in 2 phases during the partial closure of the bridge.
The Federal Government has announced the different phases points of diversion of traffic during the partial closure of the Third Mainland bridge for repair works.
This was disclosed during a joint press conference by the Federal Controller of Works in Lagos, Engr Olukayode Popoola, the Lagos State Commissioner for Transportation, Dr. Frederic Oladeinde and the Special Adviser to Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu on Works, Engr Aramide Adeyoye, on Tuesday at Alausa Ikeja.
During the press conference, the Federal and Lagos State Governments have appealed to motorists and Lagos residents to cooperate with government and appropriate agencies during the 6 months partial closure of the Third Mainland Bridge for maintenance work, which is expected to start on July 24.
They also assured Lagosians that necessary measures would be put in place to reduce gridlocks during partial closure of the bridge as they would work with appropriate authorities to direct and control traffic movement in the affected areas and alternative routes.
Engr. Popoola revealed that there would be diversion of traffic in 2 phases during the partial closure of the bridge between Friday, July 24, 2020 and January 24, 2021.
He said the First Phase of the diversion, which will last for 3 months of repairs of the Oworonsoki bound lane of the Third Mainland Bridge, would be for morning traffic from 12:00 am to 1:00 pm from Oworonshoki to Lagos Island on the Lagos Island-bound lane, while the afternoon traffic from 1:00 pm to 12:00 am would be from Lagos Island to Oworonsoki on the Lagos Island-bound lane.
Engr. Popoola said the Phase 2 of the diversion, which would last also for three months of repairs of the Lagos Island-bound lane of the Third Mainland Bridge, would be for morning traffic from 12:00 am to 1:00 pm from Oworonsoki to Lagos Island on the Oworonsoki bound lane, while the afternoon traffic from 1:00 pm to 12:00 am would be from Lagos Island to Oworonsoki on the Oworonsoki bound lane.
Popoola said, “Motorists are advised to also ply these alternative routes: First, from Carter Bridge through Iddo through Oyingbo to join Adekunle ramp inward Oworonsoki. Secondly, from Ijora Olopa through Western Avenue to Ikorodu Road.”
On his own part, the Lagos State Commissioner for Transportation, Dr. Oladeinde said priority will be given to those driving from Mainland to the Island in morning and afternoon to use the Third Mainland while those driving against traffic will use the alternative routes.
Dr. Oladeinde assured motorists that Lagos State Traffic Management Authority (LASTMA) will work with Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC) in all the alternative routes to ensure that motorists have a smooth journey during the partial closure of the bridge.
The commissioner advised those who don’t have any genuine reason to be on the road to stay at home to reduce vehicular movement during this period while adding that the public vehicles would be available and affordable for road users.
He said: “If you don’t have to travel, I will advise that you stay at home so that we can minimise the number of vehicles on the road. If you can work at home, please do. But if you can’t, we will ensure will be on the road for you to get to your destination as quickly as possible.”
Dr. Oladeinde also advised people of Lagos State to use alternative transport such as ferries. He said there will be an increase in the number of fleets by the Lagos Ferry Services in the morning for people from Ikorodu and Mile 2 as alternative transportation.
Also speaking, Engr. Adeyoye while appreciating the Federal Government for the repair of Third Mainland Bridge, said Lagos State Government has commenced necessary preparatory works on all the alternative routes in the state to make them motorable for the commuters.
Adeyoye said the state will do its best within two weeks to work on all the roads that may likely cause gridlocks to be free of potholes.
She also warned trucks and vehicles that are not road worthy or serviceable to stay away from Lagos roads.
Federal Government and LASG have appealed to motorists and Lagos residents to cooperate with government and appropriate agencies during the six months partial closure of the Third Mainland Bridge for maintenance work, which is expected to commence on July 24#ForAGreaterLagos pic.twitter.com/yUOOQIwe62
— The Lagos State Govt (@followlasg) July 7, 2020
Africa’s GDP could fall by 3.4% in 2020 if COVID-19 continues – AfDB
The bank warns projected GDP losses for 2021 ranges from $27.6 billion to $47 billion.
The African Development Bank (AFDB) published its African Economic Outlook 20202 Supplement on Tuesday and warned that the continent’s GDP would fall by at least 1.7%, and if the coronavirus pandemic continues into the second half of 2020, it could contract up to 3.4%.
“Real GDP in Africa is projected to contract by 1.7% in 2020, dropping by 5.6 percentage points from the January 2020 pre-COVID-19 projection of the virus, if the virus has a substantial impact but of short duration. If it continues beyond the first half of 2020, there would be a deeper GDP contraction in 20202 of 3.4% down by 7.3 percentage points from growth projected before the outbreak of COVID-19,” the bank said.
Access Economic Research Data and the Associated Insights from Nairametrics
AFDB warns that cumulative GDP losses could range between $173.1 billion and $236.7 billion in 2020-2021.
“Africa could suffer GDP losses in 20202 between $145.5 billion (baseline) and $189.7 billion (worst case) from the pre-COVID-19 estimated GDP of $2.59 trillion for 2020”.
The bank warned some losses will be carried over into 2021, as the projected recovery would be partial, and warns projected GDP losses for 2021 ranges from $27.6 billion to $47 billion (worst case).
The bank said countries with poor healthcare systems, oil-exporting nations, tourism-dependent nations and other resource-dependent nations will be the hardest hit.
The bank calls for countries to reopen economies and advised a “phased and incremental approach that carefully evaluates the trade-off between restarting economic activity to quickly and safeguarding the health of the population”.
The Economic Outlook Supplement is a revised projection from an earlier January outlook that projected 3.9% growth from Africa’s largest multilateral bank.
Exchange rate remains stable as CBN “adjust official rates” from N360 to N381/$1
The CBN still continues to warn against currency speculators who patronize the black market.
Data published on the website of the FMDQ on Tuesday reveals that the CBN official rate has been adjusted from N360 to a dollar to N381 to a dollar sending mixed messages to traders who wonder if the CBN has devalued again. However, the official rate quoted on the website of the CBN remains at N360/$1.
According to Reuters, “the naira eased 5.5% on the official market on Tuesday, after the central bank sold dollars to lenders at a lower rate, bowing to pressure from international lenders to unify its multiple exchange rates.” Reuters also reports “the naira eased to 380.50 in off-market trades, from 360.50 close on Monday” quoting sources from traders.
Nairametrics cannot confirm if the latest adjustment is reflective of the SMIS rates or if the central bank has now taken a bold step towards unification and adjusted its official rate. Reuters claims it’s a move to “unify the exchange rate”.
NAFEX: The exchange rate between the naira and dollar at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window remained stable on Tuesday, closing at N386.50 to a dollar. This was the same rate that was recorded on Monday as traders continue to mull over CBN’s adjustment of the exchange rate at the SMIS window. The opening indicative rate was N387.18 to a dollar on Tuesday. This represents an 18 kobo drop when compared to the N387 to a dollar opening rate that was recorded on Monday.
Parallel Market: At the black market where forex is traded unofficially, the naira remained stable as it closed at N461 to a dollar on Tuesday which was the same rate that it exchanged on Monday.
Nigeria continues to maintain multiple exchange rates comprising the CBN official rate, the BDC rates, SMIS and the NAFEX (I&E window). Nairametrics reported last week that the government has set plans in motion to unify the multiple exchange rates in line with requirements from the World Bank. Nigeria is seeking a world bank loan of up to $3 billion.
Meanwhile, forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window had a rebound on Tuesday, July 7, 2020, as it gained 918.4% day on day, a significant increase from the figure that it achieved on Monday at the foreign exchange market. This is according to data from the FMDQOTC, an exchange where forex is traded by foreign investors and exporters.
According to the data tracked by Nairametrics, forex turnover rose from $10.15 million on Monday, July 6, 2020, to $103.37 million on Tuesday, July 7, 2020, representing a 918.4% gain on a day-to-day basis. This is a reversal from the previous day’s drop in turnover but falls short of the $200 million mark that was in January and last week.
The improved liquidity appears to have brought some measure of temporary stability in the foreign exchange market.
Forex Sales Data
The latest figure from the CBN shows that the apex bank injected $11.5 billion foreign exchange into the economy in the first quarter of 2020. The data showed that CBN supplied $2.96 billion, $3.39 billion and %4.7 billion in the months of January, February and March respectively into the forex market.
The I&E window, small and medium enterprises and invisible segments had a total of $7.23 billion, the BDC segment got $3.6 billion and the interbank and WDA/RDAS received $0.67 billion.
The CBN suspended the sales of forex due to the lockdown in the country in April which was triggered by the coronavirus outbreak. It however resumed partial sales of forex in May to commercial banks for households and SMEs making essential imports.
Forex Liquidity Issues
The volatility and uncertainty of the forex market still persist due to accumulated demand and liquidity shortages across markets. The rise in demand and contrasting drop in supply has called for another round of devaluation, which the CBN has insisted it had plans to implement.
The CBN on Friday adjusted the naira at the retail forex auction from N360 to a dollar to N381 to a dollar in a move that most analysts see as part of the plans to unify the exchange rate of the Naira. A devaluation last occurred in March. The apex bank wants to unify the exchange rate to conserve the dwindling external reserves which have been hard hit by demand by ever-increasing importers and the foreign investors wishing they exit the country.
This current step taken by the CBN has moved the retail auction for importers and individuals, which is the official rate, closer to the over-the counter-spot for investors and exporters. Nairametrics spoke to some traders who are still reviewing what the latest move by the CBN could mean on the future price of forex. Whilst some believe this is a major step towards reunification others believe the real test of the value of the exchange rate could be when the economy finally opens. For now, projection is all speculation, one trader informs Nairametrics.
The CBN still continues to warn against currency speculators who patronize the black market, thus widening the gap between it and the I&E window. The CBN maintains that the perceived demand cannot be substantiated following the drop in economic activities induced by the COVID-19 pandemic suggest demand should be low due to travel restrictions and drop-in economic activities.
The further decline in liquidity could further fuel speculations in the black market where the exchange rate has traded at a premium of N60+ over the last few weeks. The CBN claims most of the demand being cited is not represented by any official documentation and that it has informed foreign investors with genuine forex demand to be “patient” and that they will get their forex.