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Home Sectors Energy

Nigerian crude sells for $75 per barrel amid fragile output

Olumide Adesina by Olumide Adesina
September 11, 2024
in Energy, Markets, Sectors
What Israeli-Hamas war means for Nigeria’s economy 
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Nigerian crude is trading at about $75 per barrel amid media reports highlighting that the country’s benchmark crude traded below $70 per barrel while its oil output remains fragile.

Nigeria’s oil blends, known as light-sweet crude oil blends because of their low sulfur content and predominance of light oil grade, are still preferred by oil traders.

This preference is evidenced by the country’s oil blends—Brass River, Bonny Light, and Qua Iboe—trading above $74.50 per barrel, higher than the current Brent contract.

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The country’s oil production remains lukewarm, adding significant economic pressure on West Africa’s largest economy. According to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries’ September Monthly Oil Market Report, Nigeria’s crude oil production increased from 1.307 million barrels per day in July to 1.352 million barrels per day in August.

OPEC reported a slight increase in average daily crude production of 45,000 barrels per day based on data from the Federal Government (FG). This report contradicts assertions made by the Federal Government that daily oil production was close to 1.6 million barrels per day.

Nigeria’s oil production decreased to 1.25 million barrels per day in May, despite the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited maintaining that the country’s oil production was almost at 1.7 million barrels per day. According to OPEC figures, Nigeria dropped 30,000 barrels per day, with its crude output falling from 1.28 million barrels per day in April to 1.25 million barrels per day in May.

Oil prices rose by more than 1% on Wednesday, offsetting some of the losses from the previous day, as worries about Hurricane Francine affecting output in the world’s largest producer—the United States—outweighed concerns about weakening global demand. At 0704 GMT, Brent crude futures had increased by 84 cents, or 1.2%, to $70.03 per barrel, while U.S. crude futures increased by 81 cents, or 1.2%, to $66.56 per barrel.

On Tuesday, both benchmarks saw an almost $3 decline, as OPEC revised its demand projections for this year and 2025, with Brent reaching its lowest point since December 2021 and WTI reaching a May 2023 low. OPEC’s latest monthly report indicated a lowered prediction for global oil demand growth to 2.03 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2024 from 2.11 million bpd last month. OPEC also reduced its forecast for global demand growth in 2025 from 1.78 million barrels per day to 1.74 million barrels per day.

Nevertheless, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) highlighted that U.S. output growth will be lower than anticipated this year, even though global oil demand is expected to reach a new high. The week ending September 6 saw a decrease in U.S. crude oil stockpiles of 2.793 million barrels, while the number of barrels of gasoline in stock dropped by 513,000, according to market sources citing data from the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday.

China’s daily crude oil imports set a new high last month, but they are still 7% less than a year earlier and 3% less than the same period last year, according to customs data and records obtained by Reuters on Tuesday.


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Tags: Nigeran crude oilOPEC
Olumide Adesina

Olumide Adesina

Olumide Adesina is a financial market writer, analyst and investment trader. Message Olumide on Twitter @Olumidecapital

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