Naira regained ground to appreciate massively against the dollar on Thursday, 7th December 2023 at the official market after it plunged to a new low the previous day.
The domestic currency appreciated 12.83% to close at N843.07 to a dollar at the close of business, data from the NAFEM where forex is officially traded, showed.
- This represents an N108.15 gain or a 12.83% increase in the local currency compared to the N951.22 it closed on Wednesday.
- The intraday high recorded was N1176/$1, while the intraday low was N700/$1, representing a wide spread of N476/$1.
- According to data obtained from the official NAFEM window, forex turnover at the close of the trading was $137.35 million, representing a 1.31% increase compared to the previous day.
However, the naira dropped marginally at the parallel forex market where forex is sold unofficially, the exchange rate depreciated by 0.68%, quoted at N1173/$1, while peer-to-peer traders quoted around N1182.48/$1.
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has said it has made tranche payments to 31 banks to clear the backlog of foreign exchange forward obligations.
The apex bank also disclosed that it has set up foreign exchange frameworks to address the FX issues.
What economists are saying
The former President and Chairman governing council of, the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS) and the Managing Director, of Arthur Steven Asset Management Limited, Mr. Olatunde Amolegbe in an exclusive chat with Nairametrics said for the exchange rate to be stable, market and participants confidence is key.
- “Confidence is what makes foreigners want to come to invest in your country and make locals want to keep their investments here.
- “In the absence of these dynamics, demand will naturally outstrip supply and you see the sort of instability we are experiencing now.
- “I think the decision to clear FX commitment backs will be positive for market confidence, but the desired impact might manifest in the medium term rather than in the short run.
- “I also think the efforts at using monetary policy tools to reduce system liquidity could ultimately reduce currency speculation but again it’s not a silver bullet.
- “Deliberate efforts need to intensify at effecting structural changes that will encourage import substitution such as improved security, better infrastructure increased foreign direct investments, and encouraging local production,” he said.
Managing Director/CEO, of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, Bismarck Rewane had said in a report that the naira is expected to remain volatile on lingering forex supply concerns.
The dollar dearth means speculative buying is likely to continue, with an increasing number of market participants taking long positions on the dollar while shorting the naira.
For Naira to appreciate against USD import must be minimized and export encouraged. This will help demand for locally produced or manufactured products, such as governments, businesses, and individuals buying locally manufactured car etc. Stable electricity supply is key to all of this. Today, Nigeria has more religious centers and institutions of higher learning than any manufacturing sectors in the economy. As result of this youths are joining ‘yahoo-yahoo’ business in droves. Some banks and politicians gaining in the spread between parallel markets and official foreign exchange markets. All the institutions in Nigeria that should be interdependent with the economy are now dependent on the economy. The economy is tired and cannot carry along any longer. These things cannot change by themselves, it must take greater leadership and austerity measures to turn things around. Everyone must sacrifice for the future of Nigeria.