Connect with us
SSN
Advertisement
IZIKJON
Advertisement
forex
Advertisement
Stanbic IBTC
Advertisement
Binance
Advertisement
Esetech
Advertisement
Patricia
Advertisement
Fidelity ads
Advertisement
app

Currencies

Currency traders flock to U.S dollars amid COVID-19 drama

The U.S dollar index used to track the greenback’s strength against major currencies gained 0.4% to trade at 90.377.

Published

on

Currency traders flock to U.S dollars amid COVID-19 drama

The U.S dollar jumped up against major global currencies at Monday’s trading session. Currency traders are arbitrarily going long on the safe-haven currency, as many countries tightened COVID-19 lockdowns.

  • At the time of writing this report, the U.S dollar index used to track the greenback’s strength against major currencies gained 0.4% to trade at 90.377, after dropping to 89.723 on Thursday for the first time since April 2018.

READ: U.S dollar drops over resurging COVID-19

What this means

U.S dollar bulls prevailing strength is also driven by the plunge seen in the British Pound Sterling on reports revealing the European Union must change position after Brexit negotiators failed to find an agreement on the weekend, increasing fears that the United Kingdom crashes out of the trading bloc’s at the end of 2020 without a deal.

  • The dollar’s rebound comes after it sank to 2 1/2-year lows against major peers last week, driven by optimism that a widening vaccine rollout would revive global growth.
  • The British pound dropped over 1% in value to trade at $1.3381 before trading at $1.3400. The Euro was also down by 0.4% to $1.22135.

READ: U.S dollar tumble, Currency traders more risk averse

What you should know

  • The U.S. Dollar Index tracks the greenback against a basket of major global currencies such as the Japanese Yen, British Pound Sterling, Swedish Krona, Euro, etc.
  • Individuals hoping to meet foreign exchange payment obligations via dollar transactions to countries in Europe or Japan would need to pay fewer dollars in fulfilling such payment obligations.

READ: Currency traders relatively neutral on U.S dollar, despite impressive U.S Jobs report

What they are saying

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, in a note to Nairametrics, gave further insights on macros keeping the widely used currency up

  • “The US dollar has attracted safe-haven demand in the thinly traded Asia morning market. But, since we are miles away from a reflation trade washout or even a Brexit pancake, traders could view this as a good level to sell the dollar. The US dollar is overvalued after a long stretch of US exceptionalism asset market outperformance. The Fed rate cuts have eroded the US dollar carry advantage central bank’s new average inflation targeting framework should keep (real and nominal) interest rates low for several years.”

READ: Gold traders set their bets, U.S election in play

Bottom line

The prevailing situation in the currency market suggests that global investors’ present mood will be dampened on taking more risks, keeping the U.S currency value supported at least for the near term as global investors turn more cautious towards strengthened geopolitical uncertainty.

Olumide Adesina is a France-born Nigerian. He is a Certified Investment Trader, with more than 15 years of working expertise in Investment trading. Follow Olumide on Twitter @tokunboadesina. He is a Member of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Currencies

Naira strengthens at NAFEX window as dollar supply improves in forex market

Naira appreciated against the US Dollar on Thursday as it closed at N406.50 to a dollar at the NAFEX window.

Published

on

Naira, Exchange rate falls across forex markets as dollar liquidity remains low

The exchange rate between the naira and the US Dollar closed at N406.50/$1, at the Investors and Exporters window on Thursday.

Naira appreciated against the US Dollar on Thursday as it closed at N406.50 to a dollar at the NAFEX window, representing a 1.1% gain when compared to N411 recorded on the previous trading day as dollar supply improves in the forex market.

Meanwhile, the naira remained stable against the dollar to close at N480/$1 on Thursday, March 4, 2021. This was the same rate that it closed on the previous trading day.

The forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window dropped by 44% from $59.17 million recorded on Tuesday to $33.15 million on Wednesday, March 3, 2021.

READ: Naira gains at NAFEX window as external reserve plunges $1.1 billion in less than a month

Trading at the official NAFEX window

The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar at the Investors and Exporters window on Thursday to close at N406.50/$1. This represents a N4.50 gain when compared to N411 recorded on the previous trading day.

  • The opening indicative rate closed at N411.10 to a dollar on Thursday. This represents a 44 kobo drop when compared to N410.66/$1 recorded on Wednesday.
  • Also, an exchange rate of N427.45 to a dollar was the highest rate during intra-day trading before it closed at N406.50/$1. It also sold for as low as N389.25/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window rose by 102% on Thursday, March 4, 2021.
  • According to the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ, forex turnover increased from $33.15 million recorded on Wednesday, March 3, 2021, to $66.99 million on Thursday, March 4, 2021.

READ: Nigeria’s ratings risk downgrade over rising debt and lower revenue

Cryptocurrency watch

The world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, after yesterday’s rally, dropped by 7.60% to close above $46,000 compared to its previous closing at about $51,000.

  • The digital currency had earlier slipped 3% in early US trading on Thursday, hovering around $49,000.
  • Prices have surged almost 600% since the start of 2020 on the back of wider mainstream adoption, with bulls seeing it as both an inflation hedge and speculative asset.
  • Jesse Powell, the CEO of Kraken Exchange, in an interview with Bloomberg Television, said Bitcoin could reach $1 million in the next decade, adding that supporters say it could eventually replace all of the major fiat currencies
  • Bitcoin was trading below $44,000 earlier this week, having hit an all-time high the week before above $58,000. Its rebound suggest the third great price rally in its history may still be underway
  • Meanwhile, Ether ETH=BTSP, the coin linked to the Ethereum blockchain network, dropped by 6.9% to $1,478.17 on Thursday.

READ: Nigeria’s foreign reserves fall to 6-weeks low, lose $81.10 million

Oil price decline

Brent Crude oil rose by $2.67 on Thursday evening to close at $66.74 representing a 4.2% increase when compared to $64.07 recorded on the previous trading day.

  • Saudi Arabia and its OPEC+ allies shocked the oil market with a decision to keep the supply in check, sending prices surging and adding inflationary pressure to the global economy as it emerges from the pandemic.
  • A year after a bitter price war that sent crude crashing below zero, Saudi Arabia showed that its priority is preserving the hard-won oil recovery rather than worrying about tightening the market too much.
  • That means the cartel will still be withholding about 7 million barrels a day from the market, equivalent to about 7% of global demand, even as fuel consumption recovers in many countries.
  • WTI Crude closed at $64.39 (0.88%), OPEC Basket $62.15 (+0.29%), Bonny Light $66.12 (+4.77%), and Natural Gas $2,743 (-0.11%).

External reserve dips to lowest in two months

Nigeria’s external reserve continued its decline as it dropped by 0.12% to $34.915 billion as of March 3, 2021, compared to $34.957 billion recorded as of March 2, 2021.

  • This represents the lowest external reserve position Nigeria has recorded in over two-months when it stood at $34.98 billion as of 24, December 2020.
  • It is also worth noting that Nigeria lost over $1.2 billion in external reserves in the month of February.
  • The decline in Nigeria’s external reserve has persisted in the month of February, despite rallying oil prices in the month. This is a cause for worry, as Nigeria will hope to boost its reserve in order to meet up with its accumulated needs, hindered by the crash in oil prices earlier in 2020.

Continue Reading

Currencies

Naira gains at NAFEX window as oil prices rally back

The exchange rate between the naira and the US Dollar closed at N411/$1, at the Investors and Exporters window on Wednesday.

Published

on

Naira falls across forex markets as businesses resume after public holidays

The exchange rate between the naira and the US Dollar closed at N411/$1, at the Investors and Exporters window on Wednesday.

Naira appreciated marginally against the US Dollar on Wednesday as it closed at N411 to a dollar at the NAFEX window, representing a 0.15% gain when compared to N411.63 recorded on the previous trading day. This is as oil prices rallied back at the global market.

Meanwhile, the naira remained stable against the dollar to close at N480/$1 on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. This was the same rate that it closed on the previous trading day.

The forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window dropped by 44% from $59.17 million recorded on Tuesday to $33.15 million on Wednesday, March 3, 2021.

Trading at the official NAFEX window

The Naira appreciated against the US Dollar at the Investors and Exporters window on Wednesday to close at N411/$1. This represents a 63 kobo gain when compared to N411.63 recorded on the previous trading day.

  • The opening indicative rate closed at N410.66 to a dollar on Wednesday. This represents a 55 kobo drop when compared to N410.11/$1 recorded on Tuesday.
  • Also, an exchange rate of N415 to a dollar was the highest rate during intra-day trading before it closed at N411/$1. It also sold for as low as N390/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window dropped by 43.97% on Wednesday, March 3, 2021.
  • According to the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ, forex turnover declined from $59.17 million recorded on Tuesday, March 2, 2021, to $33.15 million on Wednesday, March 3, 2021.

Cryptocurrency watch

The world’s largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin rallied back above $50,000 on Wednesday to close above $51,000 compared to its previous closing of $48,814.26 as it recovers from one of the most severe dips in its history.

  • The cryptocurrency rose by as much as 11% as bullish momentum returned after last week’s selloff, reaching the highest level in 2 weeks.
  • The cryptocurrency has been volatile with prices plunging 21% last week before recovering with the earlier broad bounce back in global equities. On a technical basis, the GTI Global Strength Indicator, which detects trend fluctuations, has begun to curl upward, suggesting a bullish move for Bitcoin.
  • Bitcoin was trading below $44,000 earlier this week, having hit an all-time high the week before above $58,000. Its rebound suggest the third great price rally in its history may still be underway
  • Meanwhile, Ether ETH=BTSP, the coin linked to the Ethereum blockchain network, dropped by 6% to $1,612.4 on Wednesday.

Oil price decline

Brent Crude oil rose by $1.06 on Wednesday to close at $64.07 representing a 1.7% increase when compared to $63.01 recorded on the previous trading day.

  • Oil prices rose on Wednesday, following reports that the OPEC+ group could be weighing the possibility not to increase collective oil production from April as widely expected and despite a shockingly large crude build (the largest on record) as estimated on Wednesday by the EIA, oil prices were still holding strong.
  • The OPEC+ alliance is considering keeping the oil production cuts from March in place in April as well, in view of the still-fragile global demand recovery.
  • Also, a US government report showed a record drop in domestic fuel inventories from the aftermath of a deep freeze that shuttered refineries in several states.
  • WTI Crude closed at $60.91 (0.60%), OPEC Basket $61.97 (-3.53%), Bonny Light $63.11 (-0.64%), and Natural Gas $2,800 (+0.57%).

External reserve dips to lowest in two months

Nigeria’s external reserve continued its decline as it dropped by 0.12% to $34.957 billion as of March 2, 2021, compared to $34.998 billion recorded as of March 1, 2021.

  • This represents the lowest external reserve position Nigeria has recorded in over two-months when it stood at $34.98 billion as of 24, December 2020.
  • It is also worth noting that Nigeria lost over $1.2 billion in external reserves in the month of February.
  • The decline in Nigeria’s external reserve has persisted in the month of February, despite rallying oil prices in the month. This is a cause for worry, as Nigeria will hope to boost its reserve in order to meet up with its accumulated needs, hindered by the crash in oil prices earlier in 2020.

Continue Reading



Advertisement





Nairametrics | Company Earnings