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Currencies

U.S dollar tumble, Currency traders more risk averse

U.S dollar index used to gauge the greenback’s strength against 6 major currencies lost about 0.2% to settle at 92.710.

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The US dollar remains king, U.S dollar gains against major currencies, America threatens China with sanctions., U.S dollar slumps against major currencies, investors become optimistic about global demand, U.S Dollar Stands Firm, Foreign Exchange Traders Remain Neutral 

The U.S dollar dropped significantly at its last trading session.

The plunge in the greenback’s value is coming on currency traders enthusiasm about a possible COVID-19 vaccine coupled with a strong outflow of funds to riskier assets like stocks.

READ: Rich Bitcoin investor moved $175 million worth of BTC for just $0.84

What we know: At the time of filing this report, the U.S dollar index used to gauge the greenback’s strength against 6 major currencies lost about 0.2% to settle at 92.710 points.

The macro weighing heavily on the U.S dollar bulls is reports on Pfizer’s experimental vaccine was more than 90% effective, leading currency market traders to be more risk-averse at the last trading session of the week after Federal Reserve and the European Central stressed that the economic outlook remains blurry.

READ: Why Gold prices are skyrocketing after a Joe Biden win

The U.S dollar pulled also dropped against most of its major rivals amid worries about the second wave of COVID-19 caseloads in the emerged markets.

What you must know: The U.S. Dollar Index tracks the greenback against a basket of major global currencies such as the Japanese yen, British pound sterling, Swedish Krona, Euro, etc.

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READ: U.S dollar pull back some gains, investors’ appetite for risk strengthens

Individuals hoping to meet foreign exchange payment obligations via dollar transactions to countries like Europe, and Japan, would need to pay more dollars in fulfilling such payment obligations.

Giving key insights prevailing at the currency market Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in a note to Nairametrics gave market reports on other notable pairs.

READ: Ethereum robber transfers $1.5 million worth of Crypto

“Interest rate differentials – so often a principal driver for FX through both the signaling and carry structures – already show less vigor for currencies. Suggesting the most apparent nominee that will drive FX performance in this ‘new normal regime’ is the comparative growth.
The bullish dials are pointing to AUD, NZD, NOK, and SEK as the first pass candidates, and the laggards are likely to be the GBP, EUR, and JPY. With the dollar smack dab in the middle of all divergencies, I think it’s pretty clear idiosyncratic drivers will be the key in 2021 currency outlooks.”

READ: U.S Government makes biggest crypto grab, worth $1 billion

What to expect: Market analysts expect currency traders to intensify their risk going moves into the coming week, meaning the U.S dollar might continue to be under pressure in the near term.

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Olumide Adesina is a France-born Nigerian. He is a Certified Investment Trader, with more than 15 years of working expertise in Investment trading. Message Olumide on Twitter @tokunboadesina. He is a Member of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society.

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Currencies

Naira falls at NAFEX window as dollar supply drops significantly by 78%

Naira depreciated against the dollar to close at N410.67/$ on Monday, 10th May 2021, representing a 34 kobo drop from N410.33/$1 recorded on Friday, 7th May 2021.

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Monday, 10th May 2021: The exchange rate between the naira and the US dollar closed at N410.67/$1 at the Importers and Exporters window, where forex is traded officially.

Naira depreciated against the US dollar to close at N410.67 to a dollar on Monday, 10th May 2021, representing a 34 kobo drop when compared to N410.33/$1 that was recorded on Friday, 7th May 2021.

Meanwhile, the naira remained stable at the parallel market as it closed at N483/$1. This was the same rate that was recorded on Friday, May 7, 2021, as the dollar supply dropped significantly by 77.7%.

Trading at the official NAFEX window

The naira depreciated against the US dollar at the Investors and Exporters window on Monday to close at N410.67/$1, representing a 34 kobo drop when compared to the N410.33/$1 that was recorded on Friday.

  • The opening indicative rate closed at N410.22 to a dollar on Monday, 10th May 2021, representing a 12 kobo gain when compared to the N410.34/$1 recorded on Friday.
  • Also, an exchange rate of N422 to a dollar was the highest rate recorded during intra-day trading before it settled at N410.67/$1. It, however, sold for as low as N400/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window dropped significantly by 77.7% on Monday, 10th May 2021.
  • A cursory look at the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ showed that forex turnover declined massively from $146.52 million recorded on Friday, 7th May 2021 to $32.61 million on Monday, 8th May 2021.

Cryptocurrency watch

Bitcoin, the world’s most popular cryptocurrency, slumped by 5.29% as of Monday evening to trade at $55,682.55.

  • The world’s largest cryptocurrency continues to trade much lower than April’s high of $65,000, which came in anticipation of Coinbase’s direct listing on Nasdaq.
  • While Bitcoin has remained relatively stable, the altcoin market has flourished with the likes of Ethereum more than doubling in 16 days.
  • Recently, American multinational investment bank Morgan Stanley began offering BTC custody to clients. Goldman Sachs also recently announced that clients would be able to invest in Bitcoin.
  • Ethereum, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency, surges above $4,000 for the first time ever as it traded at $4,213.46 before slumping to $3,897.09.

Crude oil price stalls

OPEC’s crude oil production is estimated to have increased to a 3-month high of 24.96 million barrels per day (BPD) in April.

  • Brent Crude dropped by 0.31% on Monday evening to close at $66.1 compared to its closing price of the previous day’s trading session.
  • The WTI dropped by 0.29% on Sunday to close at $64.73, Bonny light crude dropped by 0.16% to close at $66.71, while the OPEC basket dropped by 2.39% to close at $68.20.
  • Oil prices recorded a weekly gain against the backdrop of optimism over a global economic recovery, despite the Covid-19 crisis in India which is biting hard.
  • In China, data showed export growth accelerated unexpectedly in April while a private survey pointed to strong expansion in service sector activities.

External reserve

Nigeria’s external reserve plunged for the 14th consecutive day on Friday, 7th May 2021 as it dropped by about $18 million to close at $34.72 billion.

  • The nation’s foreign reserve declined from $34.74 billion recorded as of Thursday, 6th May 2021 to $34.72 billion on Friday, representing a 0.05% decline.
  • Nigeria’s foreign reserve has dipped $537.36 million since 16th April 2021 to date.
  • Nigeria will hope to boosts its foreign reserve position as oil prices continue to rally high and the CBN extends its naira 4 dollar initiative.

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Currencies

Naira appreciates across forex markets as dollar supply improves by 38%

The naira appreciated at the parallel market to close at N483/$1 on Friday, representing a N2 gain compared to N485/$1 recorded on Thursday.

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FOREX, Dollar scarcity worsens as exchange rate falls to N472/$1 at black market , Naira falls to N460/$1 as CBN intervention fails to contain speculation

Friday, 7th May 2021: The exchange rate between the naira and the US dollar closed at N410.33/$1 at the Importers and Exporters window, where forex is traded officially.

Naira appreciated against the US dollar to close at N410.33 to a dollar on Friday, 7th May 2021, representing a 67 kobo gain when compared to N411/$1 that was recorded on Thursday, 6th May 2021.

Also, the naira appreciated at the parallel market as it closed at N483/$1, representing a N2 gain when compared to N485/$1 that was recorded on Thursday, May 6, 2021, as forex market liquidity improved by 38%.

Trading at the official NAFEX window

The naira appreciated against the US dollar at the Investors and Exporters window on Friday to close at N410.33/$1, representing a 67 kobo gain when compared to the N411/$1 that was recorded on Thursday.

  • The opening indicative rate closed at N410.34 to a dollar on Friday, 7th May 2021, representing a 2 kobo gain when compared to the N410.37/$1 recorded on Thursday.
  • Also, an exchange rate of N437.41 to a dollar was the highest rate recorded during intra-day trading before it settled at N410.33/$1. It, however, sold for as low as N400/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window rose by 37.8% on Friday, 7th May 2021.
  • A cursory look at the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ showed that forex turnover increased from $106.34 million recorded on Thursday, 6th May 2021 to $146.52 million on Friday, 7th May 2021.

Cryptocurrency watch

Bitcoin, the world’s most popular cryptocurrency, slumped by 1.52% as of Sunday evening to trade at $57,951.21.

  • An amount of 12,354 bitcoins was recently withdrawn from Coinbase totalling over $700 million. The massive outflow could be related to institutional investors.
  • Large financial institutions have started offering bitcoin custody services to their clients.
  • Recently, American multinational investment bank Morgan Stanley began offering BTC custody to clients. Goldman Sachs also recently announced that clients would be able to invest in bitcoin.
  • Ethereum recorded a growth of 1.43% to close at $3,923.43, reaching an all-time high.
  • Meanwhile, payments giant Visa and financial services provider TALA have partnered to boost cryptocurrency adoption in emerging markets.
  • This partnership is aimed at easing the process of converting, storing and using cryptocurrencies by underbanked consumers.

Crude oil price stalls

Crude oil prices moved towards $70 as the oil markets remain optimistic with strong bullish sentiments as summer approaches.

  • Brent Crude rose by 0.28% on Sunday evening to close at $68.28 compared to its closing price of the previous day’s trading session.
  • The WTI rose by 0.29% on Sunday to close at $64.90, Bonny light crude dropped by 0.43% to close at $66.82, while the OPEC basket rose by 2.29% to close at $68.20.
  • Oil prices recorded a weekly gain against the backdrop of optimism over a global economic recovery, despite the Covid-19 crisis in India which is biting hard.
  • In China, data showed export growth accelerated unexpectedly in April while a private survey pointed to strong expansion in service sector activity.

External reserve

Nigeria’s external reserve plunged for the 13th consecutive day on Thursday, 6th May 2021 as it dropped by about $22 million to close at $34.74 billion.

  • The nation’s foreign reserve declined from $34.76 billion recorded as of Wednesday, 5th May 2021 to $34.74 billion on Thursday, representing a 0.63% decline.
  • Nigeria’s foreign reserve has dipped $519.36 million since 16th April 2021 to date.
  • Nigeria will hope to boosts its foreign reserve position as oil prices continue to rally high and the CBN extends its naira 4 dollar initiative.

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