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Commodities

Gold prices post gains WoW amid blurred outlook

For the week to week though, Gold futures were up 0.7% while spot gold gained 0.5%.

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ETF, stocks, shares, investment, equity,Gold loses some shine on hopes for COVID-19 vaccines

Gold futures prices closed the week on a cumulatively bullish note amid prevailing macros, though it was unable to show clear direction to gold traders.

For the week to week though, Gold futures were up 0.7% while spot gold gained 0.5%.

U.S. gold for December delivery closed at $1947.9 per ounce, losing up to 0.8% at its last trading session. It had however gained over $27 in three previous sessions. Notwithstanding that, the precious metal remains far below its record highs of nearly $2,090 hit on Aug 7.

READ: GTBank, Zenith Bank post gains, as market liquidity weakens 

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at AxiCorp, in a note to Nairametrics, spoke on the precious metal, with vital insight on the macros prevailing. He said:

“Gold seems to have set a bottom and is still trading with a high correlation to US equities.

READ: Plan to overhaul Nigeria’s Power grid attracts investors – Siemens

“I expect interest and volatility to fade a bit, as there has been a fair amount of hyperactivity in the past month. I still think we test $1910 next week as the markets get spooked by positive vaccine news and a not-so-dovish September FOMC.

Flow-wise, there is extraordinarily little buying interest from real money accounts and some tentative selling from fast money.”

Quick fact: Gold is mainly used for making jewelry, physical coins, and in recent times, for industrial purposes. Humans are emotionally and physically drawn to gold. It provides a significant store of value. Global Investors buy gold to hedge against inflation.

Olumide Adesina is a France-born Nigerian. He is a Certified Investment Trader, with more than 15 years of working expertise in Investment trading. Follow Olumide on Twitter @tokunboadesina. He is a Member of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society.

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Commodities

Oil prices stay on course over successful rollout of COVID-19 vaccines

The British-based oil contract, Brent crude surged by 0.46%, to trade at $62.99 a barrel, up from four days of losses.

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Oil prices gain likely to halt over demand uncertainty as US-China tension intensifies

Crude oil prices recorded early gains at the third trading session of the week. Oil traders are riding, on high hopes on progress made by COVID-19 vaccine rollouts in the world’s largest economy.

At the time of drafting this report, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained 0.3%, to $59.93 a barrel, partly recovering from the week losses.

Also the British-based oil contract, Brent crude surged by 0.46%, to trade at $62.99 a barrel, up from four days of losses.

However, it’s fair to say the bulls were not yet in full control as recent price action suggested capped gains.

Some oil pundits anticipate energy demand recovery is on the right track partly to the successful rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines at emerged markets.

That being said, Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in a note to Nairametrics spoke on the rising oil stockpiles at the world’s largest economy, keeping oil bulls far from holding their grip,

“U.S oil stockpiles rose last week and product inventories fell sharply in a cause and effect of the cold snap that forced refiners to shut down Texas operations.

“The unexpectedly large crude inventories build hit at a worrying time for oil bulls. This is particularly significant on the rising possibility that OPEC major oil producers could agree to ease production cuts at a critical meeting this week amid concerns that demand will likely outstrip supply as the global vaccine-led recovery gathers a head of steam,” Innes said.

What to expect: Oil traders are anxiously waiting for Thursday’s OPEC+ meeting. It appears to represent some overdue caution going into the OPEC+ meeting as market participants continue to draw straws and attempt to gauge the likely rise in production.

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Commodities

Oil prices plunge on fears OPEC+ may increase Oil supply

Oil traders are becoming wary that OPEC+ will increase oil output and further distort the energy demand/supply dynamics.

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OPEC+ Alliance, US, Russia, Canada, Mexico reach historic deal to cut 13.4 million bpd, Oil market still uncertain over the OPEC+ deal as prices react positively, 7 oil producing countries most affected by covid-19, see where Nigeria is placed

Oil prices lost more than a percent at the second trading session of the week. Oil traders are virtually going to extend short on concern that OPEC may agree to increase global supply in a meeting this week and Chinese demand may be dropping.

At the time of writing this report, Brent crude dropped by 1.2%, to trade at $62.91 after losing 1.1% in the past day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude dropped by 1.2%, to trade at$59.90 a barrel, having lost 1.4% on Monday.

Oil traders are becoming wary that OPEC and its allies, a group often referred to as OPEC+, will increase oil output and further distort the energy demand/supply dynamics.

READ: Oil prices drop, despite strong fuel demand in play

The group meets is scheduled to hold on Thursday as discussions might include allowing as much as 1.5 million barrels per day of crude oil back into the market.

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in a note to Nairametrics explained why the OPEC+ meeting matters most to many oil traders.

“Constructive oil market fundamentals have blown slightly off course ahead of the OPEC + meeting on Thursday as oil prices took to the plunge pool overnight, with Brent back to the soft US$63 handle after trading as high as $66.82 only last Thursday.

“Commodities were mostly weak overnight as the dollar regained a bit of ground. OPEC+ will meet this Thursday, and expectations are that despite Saudi Arabia’s call for caution, most members will push for an increase in output,” Innes stated.

READ: Oil Price: A dead cat bounce in the making?

Bottom line: energy pundits expect the all-important meeting this week in being one of the most interesting oil meetings in recent times, with Saudi Arabia urging producers to remain “extremely cautious”.

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