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Blurb

Foreign investors ship $21.14 billion to 22 States in 10-month 

22 states in Nigeria attracted the sum of $21.14 billion foreign investment between January and October 2019, as investors abandoned others. #Lagos #FDI

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Ten States in Nigeria, Foreign Investors abandoned 27 States, as Lagos and Abuja attracted $5.8 billion, tax revenue, Foreign investors dump 29 states in Nigeria, as Lagos attracts $4.97 billion in 3-month , Foreign investors ship $21.14 billion to 22 States in 10-month , 36 states contravene DMO rule, took debt more than revenue, FAAC disburses N650.8 billion as South-South states receive highest share

Twenty-two (22) states in Nigeria attracted the total sum of $21.14 billion foreign investment between January and October 2019, as investors abandoned others. This is contained in the latest capital importation data published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The data revealed that the 22 states in Nigeria attracted $21.14 billion between January to October 2019, as against $14.21 billion recorded in the same period of 2018. This means foreign investments across the 22 states in Nigeria rose by 48%.

Lagos dwarfs others, as Kwara records huge inflow

The breakdown of foreign investments inflow showed that Lagos State attracted the biggest investment within the period, accounting for 66.9% ($14.16 billion) of the total foreign investment.

  • The closest to Lagos State on the chart is Abuja. The Federal Capital Territory attracted $5.6 billion foreign investment inflow within the period.
  • Kwara state ranked third on the list, recording an accumulated $1.14 billion foreign investment. It should be noted that Kwara attracted $1.14 billion foreign investments in October 2019, and this pushed the state to rank among the top three.
  • Other states that made the top 10 states with the biggest foreign investment inflows include Abia ($93.5 million), Adamawa ($25 million), Benue ($25 million), Cross River ($25 million), Ogun ($14 million), Kaduna ($4.47 million) and Oyo ($3.74 million).

[READ MORE: Foreign investors dump 29 states in Q3)

Investors abandoned 15 states  

Foreign investment inflows into Nigeria spread across 22 states (plus FCT). Despite the huge inflow of foreign investments across major states in the country, 15 states suffered a huge blow, as the investors abandoned them.

  • As earlier published on Nairametrics, in the second quarter of 2019 only, most states that received foreign investments in the first quarter of 2019, were badly hit with zero foreign investments.
  • Analysis of the data shows that Delta, Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Rivers, Benue, Sokoto, Bayelsa, Osun, Ekiti, Zamfara, Gombe, Ebonyi, Plateau, Yobe, and Kebbi were abandoned by foreign investors within the period under review as they recorded zero foreign capital.

What it means:

The rise in the foreign investment inflow across states means the amount of foreign capital that investors brought into the Nigerian economy between January and October 2019 rose significantly.

  • This means the sentiment of foreign investment in some states in Nigeria improved and this is good for the economies of the states.
  • Although the capital importation report still shows a worrying trend as the foreign direct investment inflows into the economy dropped further, and this is not good for the economy.
  • Meanwhile, as the states continue to lose out on foreign investments, it suggests a downturn in their economy. This may spur unemployment rates and low economic activities across the country.

Samuel is an Analyst with over 5 years experience. Connect with him via his twitter handle

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Blurb

Dangote Sugar, sweet in more ways than one

Significant growth in gross revenue was driven largely by sale to Nigerian Bottling Company Limited and Seven-Up Bottling Company Limited.

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Quick take: Sustained cost pressure weighs on profit, Dangote Sugar Refinery: Revenue recovers but cost pressures remain

By refining capacity, Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc (DSR Plc) is acknowledged as the largest Sugar Refinery in sub-Saharan Africa and one of the largest in the world. With up to 60 percent market share, it is also clearly, the most dominant player in the Nigerian sugar market.

DSR Plc recently released its audited Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2020 and overall and year-on-year group performance results were very good.

Despite the impact of the Covid-19 induced lockdown which curtailed distribution across the country and resulted in decreased revenues from income generated from freights, gross revenues increased by over 33 percent year-on-year to ₦ 214.3 billion. The significant growth in gross revenue was driven largely by a rise in revenue from the sale of its 50kg sugar, with the two main customers being the Nigerian Bottling Company Limited and Seven-Up Bottling Company Limited who operate principally from Lagos.

READ: Dangote Sugar completes acquisition with Savannah Sugar Company Limited 

Year-on-year, gross profit increased by over 40 per cent to ₦ 53.75 billion, Profit before tax increased by almost 53 per cent to ₦ 45.62 billion, and Profit after tax increased by 33 per cent to ₦ 29.78 billion.

Notwithstanding the good result, the group operating results showed some issues and headwinds. First, during the year, DSR Plc wound up Dangote Niger Sugar Limited (one of four companies that had been set up to acquire large expanse of land and locally grow sugarcane as part of its concerted backward integration project). The winding-up was sequel to continued community dispute over land acquired in Niger State for this purpose. This winding-up event cost DSR Plc approximately ₦ 100 million.

Second, there continues to be a heavy reliance on Lagos for its gross revenues as revenues generated from Lagos State increased significantly from circa 33 per cent at the end of 2019 to over 50 per cent by the end of 2020. The share of the Lagos segment in gross revenue thus continued to grow and currently represents a significant market concentration risk for DSR Plc.

READ: Nigeria’s biggest oligopolies: Who are the real beneficiaries?

Third, provision for impairment on financial assets or in simple terms, receivables that are unlikely to be collectable, also trended upwards from ₦ 1.3 billion in 2019 to ₦ 1.45 billion by end of 2020 with net financing expenses also rising significantly from ₦ 516.2 billion in 2019 to ₦ 1.92 billion by the end of 2020. This rise in expenses was largely driven by a significant rise in exchange losses incurred in the ordinary course of business, rising from about ₦ 7 million in 2019 to over ₦ 1.57 billion at the end of 2020.

Finally, administrative expenses represented mainly by employee salaries grew year-on-year by over ₦ 1.2 billion.

With the recent reopening of land borders, we expect that revenues and margins will become squeezed as sales and production volumes become constrained by the influx of largely smuggled, lower quality, and much cheaper sugar and its substitutes. DSR Plc’s sugar refinery is also strategically located very close to the Apapa port and its logistics operations, distribution of raw materials and delivery of finished goods will continue to be impacted by the infamous Apapa Traffic Gridlock and road diversions/closures around the axis. Although the effort of Lagos state and the recent introduction of the electronic call up of truck by the NPA has eased the issue, still, it needs to be watched closely.

READ: Dangote Sugar yearly revenue surge by 33%, announces a dividend of N1.50

Earnings per share at the end of 2020 was ₦ 2.45 (2019: ₦ 1.87; 2018: ₦ 1.85)

Subject to approval at its forthcoming Annual General Meeting, DSR Plc board of directors have proposed a dividend of N1.50k per ordinary share (2019: ₦ 1.10k, 2018: ₦ 1.10k).

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This performance is sweet in more ways than one.

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CBN “Naira 4 Dollar Scheme” Explained

What the CBN’s Naira 4 Dollar scheme means for your money.

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CBN

In what appears to be an attempt to incentivize dollar remittances by all means possible, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) released a circular to Deposit Money Banks (DMBs), International Money Transfer Operators (IMTO), and the General Public, advising that remittances paid into a bank account will attract an additional credit alert for every USD$1 received!

Yes, you read that correctly. The CBN will facilitate a special additional credit alert of N5 for every USD$1 received. In other words,

  • if someone sends you $10,000, you get an additional special credit alert for N50,000.
  • If someone sends you $100,000, you get an additional special credit alert for N500,000.

Who is eligible?

To be eligible, the diaspora remittances need to be processed and received from one of the registered IMTOs and funds received into a Bank account operated by the DMBs. (So, if you are receiving funds via Crypto sorry you are not eligible).

Additionally, the circular says this “incentive runs from Monday 8th March 2021 to Saturday 8th May 2021″. So, if you have plans to receive dollars, you can plan accordingly.

The circular is not clear how exactly the commercial banks will know which account to pay the extra special credits into. Although, that may be a question diaspora funds recipients will need to ask their DMB accounts officers to clarify for them.

How will this be funded?

The circular notes that the “CBN shall through commercial banks, pay to recipients the N5 incentive for every USD$1”. In other words, it is the CBN funding the cost of this special extra credit.

  • One would argue that given the costs of alternative incentives to attract dollars such as the special OMO window for FPI, this may be a cheaper alternative for the CBN.
  • But we will need to see the volume of expected remittance to be certain of that. Nigeria attracts about $5billion per quarter in remittances and only trails oil in terms of foreign earnings.

Why this matter to Nigerians?

Following the collapse of US Dollar inflows into the country, the CBN initially tried to balance its current account deficits and avoid an official devaluation by tackling FOREX demand (Think ban of 41 items, etc).

Finally, this short-term Naira-4-Dollar scheme will not be called an official Naira Devaluation. But a question is what do we call the new short-term price of N412.50 + N5.00? Maybe we can call it Naira Modulation.

 

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