Business News
This data suggest it’s time to converge the FX Windows
Reports from Stanbic Stockbrokers indicates Nigeria’s IEFX window exchanged a whopping $5bn dollars in March 2018. According to Stanbic, “this is the (2nd highest levels since the launch of the IEFX market in April last year).”
FX Windows
Source: Stanbic IBTC Stockbrokers
According to the data above, Nigeria’s IEFX window has traded about $38.9 billion since April 2017, when the market was launched. This compares to about $15 billion in the CBN SMIS window confirming the IEFX window as the dominant window for FX transactions in Nigeria.
The report also suggests that the CBN is selling $1bn dollars monthly at the CBN SMIS window and believes it is time that the CBN converges both markets (CBN SMIS and the IEFX Window).
“We have seen dollars in the CBN SMIS window get transacted between NGN328 – NGN340. If the CBN sells you a 75day forward at the NGN340, the time value of money and implied exchange rate is closer to NGN360 – which looks almost like a convergence. Probably time to completely converge both markets???
External Reserve hit $46 billion
Data from the Central Bank of Nigeria also indicates that Nigeria’s external reserve has risen to $46 billion, the highest in over 5 years. Since April 2017, when the I/E window was introduced, Nigeria has added a net $16 billion to external reserve. However, between December 2017 and March 29, 2018, Nigeria’s FX reserve has increased by about $11 billion. Stanbic again weighs in, explaining the increase in reserves over the last 6 months.
Stanbic on Reserves
Of the c.USD13.5bn rise in FX reserves over the course of the last 6 months, I have USD5.5bn resulting from Eurobond issuances and another c.USD5.0bn as a result of CBN buying FX from portfolio investors from the IEFX window. That leaves about USD3.0bn from oil sales, which makes some sense due to the fact that the NNPC is still subsidizing petrol imports. This means that the country is not fully benefiting from the increase in oil prices as a substantial portion of it is being lost in implicit subsidy payments.
Is this good or bad?
Starting from the downside, the economy is relying on FX inflows from Foreign Portfolio Investments and Debt to shore up its reserves. These sources have significant costs attached to them and are susceptible to capital flights. However, the fact that Nigeria is yet to benefit from the hike in oil prices suggest the economy is less reliant on oil to boost stabilize its exchange rate. If the government thus decides to take a decision on fuel subsidy, Nigeria could benefit immensely from dollar savings.
Appointments
Dangote Sugar appoints Ravindra Singhvi as GMD/Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Ravindra Singhvi has been appointed as the substantive Group Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc.
The Board of Directors of Dangote Sugar has appointed Mr. Ravindra Singhvi as substantive Group Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc, effective October 30, 2020.
This disclosure was made by the company in a notification of the resolution of its board meeting, to the Nigerian Stock Exchange.
The statement partly reads:
“Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc. wishes to notify the Exchange and the investing public that at the Board of Directors Meeting of the Company held today, Friday October 30, 2020, the Board approved (a) the Unaudited Financial Statement for the Quarter Ended September 30, 2020, and (b) the appointment of the current Ag. Managing Director, Mr. Ravindra Singhvi as substantive Group Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc. effective October 30, 2020.”
What you should know
Prior to his new appointment, Mr Singhvi had been the ag. Managing Director of Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc since 18th June, 2019, after serving as the company’s Chief Operating Officer.
The Board’s stance on the appointment
The Board has stated that it is “confident that he is a great asset to the Company, particularly at this time when it is on a rapid growth trajectory, in view of its recent acquisition and it’s several backward integration projects (BIP) to position itself for further job creation in local plantations and factories, import substitution and deeper contribution to national economic development.”
Mr. Singhvi is wished the very best in his endeavors.
About Mr. Ravindra Singhvi
He has over 39 years of proven experience in leadership positions in Manufacturing and Processes in Sugar, Petrochemicals, Cement, and Textiles products industries in India.
He is a Chartered Accountant with background in Company Secretarial Practice, Corporate Governance and Management, and holds a Bachelor’s Degree in B.Com (Hons) and Law(I) from the University of Jodhpur, India.
Prior to joining Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc, Mr. Singhvi had served as the Managing Director & CEO of NSL Sugar Limited, Hyderabad, India, and Managing Director, EID Parry (1) Limited, Chennai, India, one of top three sugar producing companies in India.
ENDSARS
IGP says protesters attacked 205 public, private facilities
Data collated when the #End SARS peaceful protest started indicated that 14 states recorded major violence.
The Nigerian Police Force has stated that about 205 critical national security assets, corporate facilities and private properties were razed down and vandalized during the EndSARS protest, which was hijacked by hoodlums and arsonists.
This was disclosed by Mr Mohammed Adamu, the Inspector-General of Police, during a virtual conference of Senior Police Officers in Abuja, according to a news report by NAN.
READ: Buhari approves free business name registration for 250,000 SMEs
READ: #EndSARS: Our police reform agenda is a game changer to end impunity – Osinbajo
Adamu disclosed that data collated between Oct. 11, when the #End SARS peaceful protest started as a demonstration, and Oct. 27, after it was hijacked by the vandals, indicated that 14 states recorded major violence.
He said that some of the states severely affected by this civil unrest are Lagos, Edo, Delta, Oyo, Kano, Plateau, Osun, Ondo, Ogun, Rivers, Abia, Imo, Ekiti, and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT).
READ: #EndSARS: Joe Biden issues press release on violent crackdown of Protesters in Nigeria
The violence had resulted in attacks on critical national security infrastructure, other corporate and private properties, as well as injuries or fatalities to civilians, the police, and other security agents.
READ: #EndSARS: IMF Links protests to economic difficulties
What you should know
- 71 public warehouses and 248 privately owned stores were looted in the course of the protests nationwide.
- 51 civilian fatalities with 37 injured, and 22 policemen gruesomely murdered with 26 others injured were recorded during the protest.
- 10 firearms, including 8 AK 47 rifles, were carted away during the attack on police stations, and a locally made pistol had been recovered from elements operating under the guise of the EndSARS protest.
- 1,596 suspects have so far been arrested in connection with the violence and widespread looting across the country.
Explore the Advanced Financial Calculators on Nairametrics
Macro-Economic News
Nigeria’s food Inflation rises by 110.5% in five years
Nigeria’s Food Inflation has risen by 110.5% between September 2015 and September 2020.
Nigeria’s food inflation has risen by 110.5% in 5 years, between September 2015 and September 2020.
A comparison of the Composite Food Index within the period under review indicated that food inflation rose from 181.8 index points to 382.7 index points.
This means that the price of food items has not only increased, but more than doubled in the last five years of President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration.
READ: UPDATED: Inflation rate jumps to 12.40%, highest in over 2 years
Explore the Advanced Financial Calculators on Nairametrics
Similarly, the All Items Index rose by 92.4% during the same period.
Food items that have witnessed significant increases
Data obtained from Nairalytics, the research arm of Nairametrics, revealed that:
- Foreign rice (Caprice) which sold for an average of N14,500 as of May 2019 is now sold for an average of N30,000.
- A 50kg bag of Ijebu garri that sold for N7,200 in May 2019, now costs N13,700.
- A 25-litre keg of vegetable oil sold for N9,750 in May 2019, now sells for N14,625.
- A piece of frozen fish which cost N417 in May 2019, now sells for N625.
READ: Buhari’s CBN policies may drag Nigerian economy into crisis – Fitch
READ: Debt servicing gulps N7.04 trillion under President Buhari’s administration
Why are the figures going up?
The hike in the cost of staple food items could be attributed to the border closure directive of the federal government that was announced in August 2019.
It is projected to hit 20% by the first quarter of 2021, when the effects of the increase in petrol and electricity prices are accounted for.
Also, yield per hectare for most farming is well below global standards, driving up the cost of whatever is left to be sold to Nigerians.
Farmers also face insecurity, flooding, and sometimes famine affecting their ability to plant and harvest. Even after harvesting, supply chain challenges still persist, leaving farmers to contend with middlemen, transportation, and storage. The result is far less farm produce reaching the final consumer.
READ: Sanusi declares Nigeria under Buhari a Bankrupt Nation
READ: Nigeria must keep inflation down to maximise full potential – IMF
What they are saying
Prof. Steve Hanke, an American Applied Economist at the Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland, USA, expressed his dissatisfaction over the performance of Buhari’s administration.
According to him, the Federal Government could do more than what it is doing; he described the administration as a failure over security of its citizens, unemployment, and inflation.
He tweeted, “President Muhammadu Buhari has failed. Nigeria is in the grip of chaos. Bandits control major highways.
“The government can’t protect its own citizens from Boko Haram or the corrupt Police. Unemployment stands at 27.1%, and Inflation, which I accurately measure every day and that soars at 30.37%/yr.”
READ: Nigeria’s inflation rate rises to 12.56% in June, as food prices surge
READ: More agriculture loans but longstanding bottlenecks remain
.@MBuhari has failed. #Nigeria is in the grip of chaos. Bandits control major highways. The government can’t protect its own citizens from #BokoHaram or the #Corrupt police. #Unemployment stands at 27.1%, and #Inflation – which I accurately measure every day – soars at 30.37%/yr. pic.twitter.com/LZOzHWkiau
— Prof. Steve Hanke (@steve_hanke) October 28, 2020
READ: Northern States worst hit as Nigeria’s inflation jumps to 11.85% in November
What you should know
- On October 15, 2020, Nairametrics reported that Nigeria’s inflation rate rose to 13.71% (year-on-year) in September 2020, indicating 0.49% point higher than 13.22% recorded in August 2020. This was contained in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) about two weeks ago.
- According to the report, Nigeria has endured persistent increase in inflationary rate —growing from 12.13% in January to 13.71% in September—the highest recorded in 30 months.
- A closely watched component of the food inflation index rose by 16.66% in September 2020 — a 0.66% increase compared to 16% recorded in the previous month.
- On a month-on-month basis, the food sub-index rose by 1.88% compared to 1.67% recorded in August 2020.
- Meanwhile, the rise in the food index was caused by increases in prices of bread and cereals, potatoes, yam and other tubers, meat, fish, fruits, and oils and fats.
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