Nairametrics
  • Home
  • Exclusives
    • Financial Analysis
    • Corporate Stories
    • Interviews
    • Investigations
    • Metrics
  • Markets
    • Cryptos
    • Commodities
    • Equities
      • Dividends
      • Stock Market
    • Fixed Income
    • Market Views
    • Securities
  • Industries
    • Company News
    • Consumer Goods
    • Content Partners
    • Corporate deals
    • Corporate Press Releases
    • Energy
    • Entertainment
    • Financial Services
    • Hospitality & Travel
    • Manufacturing
    • Real Estate and Construction
    • Tech News
  • Economy
    • Get Data
    • Macro-Economic News
    • Research Analysis
  • Business News
  • Financial Literacy
    • Career tips
    • Personal Finance
  • Lifestyle
    • Billionaire Watch
    • Profiles
  • Opinions
    • Blurb
    • Op-Eds
No Result
View All Result
  • Home
  • Exclusives
    • Financial Analysis
    • Corporate Stories
    • Interviews
    • Investigations
    • Metrics
  • Markets
    • Cryptos
    • Commodities
    • Equities
      • Dividends
      • Stock Market
    • Fixed Income
    • Market Views
    • Securities
  • Industries
    • Company News
    • Consumer Goods
    • Content Partners
    • Corporate deals
    • Corporate Press Releases
    • Energy
    • Entertainment
    • Financial Services
    • Hospitality & Travel
    • Manufacturing
    • Real Estate and Construction
    • Tech News
  • Economy
    • Get Data
    • Macro-Economic News
    • Research Analysis
  • Business News
  • Financial Literacy
    • Career tips
    • Personal Finance
  • Lifestyle
    • Billionaire Watch
    • Profiles
  • Opinions
    • Blurb
    • Op-Eds
No Result
View All Result
Nairametrics
No Result
View All Result
Home Markets Currencies

Nigeria: Pressure on FX to continue in 2021 – Report

Adeyemi Adebayo by Adeyemi Adebayo
January 18, 2021
in Currencies
Foreign Exchange: FX demand backlog, Naira gains against the dollar at I&E window, forex liquidity up by 66% 
Share on FacebookShare on TwitterShare on Linkedin

EFG Hermes has revealed that pressure on FX will continue in 2021 as a result of thin reserve buffers and recovering domestic demands.

This is contained in its recently released report, 2021 The Year Ahead – Is The Recovery In The Price?

The company envisages that adjustment in the country’s current setting is driven primarily by its view that the country’s FX conditions are likely to remain tight in 2021.

RelatedPosts

Official exchange rate (NAFEX) falls to lowest level year-to-date

Ghanaian cedi has lost 22% against the US dollar since the start of 2022

READ: EFG Hermes concludes advisory on Al Habib Group’s $700 million IPO

Further noting that higher oil prices – with a USD55/bbl forecast for 2021 – would still fall short of providing the adequate liquidity needed to ease FX shortages.

According to the company, despite Nigeria’s economy facing a twin-problem of the pandemic shock and lower oil prices, it believes the country is attempting recovery with very few buffers, leaving the economy vulnerable to further shocks.

With rates depressed as they are, the country stands no chance in attracting foreign portfolio investments, which were key in easing liquidity shortages back in 2017.

READ: Central Bank says monetary policy not to blame for rising food cost

What they are saying

The report notes that:

  • “Inflexible currency policy leaves the system plagued with backlogs and a parallel market that is trading at a +20% premium, with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) adopting a policy of reserve conservation (vehemently defending the $35 billion level).
  • “Chronic fiscal problems, mostly in the form of weak revenue collection, has rendered the fiscal channel broken, with a debt service burden ratio of 80%.
  • “The country’s macro position has been further complicated by the absence of major reform initiatives by the government, as a result, depriving it of much-needed financial support. Out of a $6.9 billion package, the country only received $3.4 billion from the IMF, with USD3.5bn from the World Bank and African Development Bank.”

READ: Investors channel funds to forex, equity after OMO ban- Report

What EFG Hermes is advising

  • The report acknowledges that the government has taken certain steps to reform the economy, including de-regulation of fuel prices, and the devaluation of currency by the CBN a couple of times. However, outcomes differ from forecasts, further exposing the economy to highly vulnerable external shocks.
  • The company sees the current policy mix of high inflation, highly depressed rates, overvalued official exchange rate and various monetary policy regulations (mostly on banks’ liquidity) as highly unsustainable, contending that something must be done this year.
  • The company, therefore, asserts that interest rates has to be the target and should jack up from their current near-zero level.
  • The recently approved $1.5 billion loan from the World Bank, as well as a potential Eurobond issuance, are likely to ease short-term FX pressures. Nevertheless, these funds are unlikely to be a game changer and FX pressure would fundamentally require authorities to continue with import controls and an overall tight monetary policy.

Related

Tags: CBNCentral Bank of NigeriaEFG Hermesforex

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Hot forex
Cornerstone
Mega Millions
Polaris Bank
Access Bank
Bankers Committee
First bank


FCMB
Ikeja Electrics




    Business News | Stock Market | Money Market | Cryptos | Financial Literacy | SME |

    Recent News

    • Buhari approves reappointment of Patience Oniha as DG of Debt Management Office
    • Bullish Nigerian Exchange gains N5.64 trillion in HY’2022
    • MTN Nigeria appoints Onyinye Ikenna-Emeka as General Manager, Fixed Broadband

    Follow us on social media:

    Recent News

    Buhari approves reappointment of Patience Oniha as DG of Debt Management Office

    Buhari approves reappointment of Patience Oniha as DG of Debt Management Office

    June 30, 2022
    Bulls stage a comeback at Nigerian stock market

    Bullish Nigerian Exchange gains N5.64 trillion in HY’2022

    June 30, 2022
    • ABOUT US
    • CONTACT US
    • PRODUCTS
    • ANDROID APP
    • iOS APP
    • DISCLAIMER
    • CAREERS
    • PRIVACY POLICY

    © 2022 Nairametrics

    No Result
    View All Result
    • Home
    • Exclusives
      • Financial Analysis
      • Corporate Stories
      • Interviews
      • Investigations
      • Metrics
    • Markets
      • Cryptos
      • Commodities
      • Equities
        • Dividends
        • Stock Market
      • Fixed Income
      • Market Views
      • Securities
    • Industries
      • Company News
      • Consumer Goods
      • Content Partners
      • Corporate deals
      • Corporate Press Releases
      • Energy
      • Entertainment
      • Financial Services
      • Hospitality & Travel
      • Manufacturing
      • Real Estate and Construction
      • Tech News
    • Economy
      • Get Data
      • Macro-Economic News
      • Research Analysis
    • Business News
    • Financial Literacy
      • Career tips
      • Personal Finance
    • Lifestyle
      • Billionaire Watch
      • Profiles
    • Opinions
      • Blurb
      • Op-Eds

    © 2022 Nairametrics

    Social Media Auto Publish Powered By : XYZScripts.com