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Commodities

Gold prices up 2% on oversold signal

At about 10.05 am Nigerian time on Tuesday, November 10, Gold futures were up 1.69% at $1885.60.

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Gold Up as U.S. hits Record Number of COVID-19 Cases, Gold stands firm above $1,800 over increasing virus fears and weaker dollar , Gold stands firm above $1,800 over increasing virus fears and weaker dollar, Gold prices surge higher, Traders focus on U.S. Federal Reserve

The yellow metal rallied above 1% at the second trading session of the week after falling more than 5% yesterday. Investors and gold traders are going long amid the fall of the U.S dollar and signs in its recent price action showing it’s in an oversold condition.

  • At about 10.05 am Nigerian time Gold futures were up 1.69% at $1885.60.
  • Sequel to Tuesday trading session, high price swing was prevailing at the yellow metal market on reports that Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine had a 90% efficacy, leading investors to quit the safe-haven metal for stocks, sending gold prices down hard.

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What they are saying

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, in an explanatory note to Nairametrics, spoke on the present fundamentals disrupting the precious metal market,

“Macro liquidation was the unanimous flow in gold’s $100 pullback and it explains the frantic price action. Massive stops in cascading fashion got triggered below $1940, and also the psychological $1900 level.

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As has been the case in prior sell-offs, gold begins to flow into stronger hands at the $1850 level, and it seems like the market could be basing.

“The medium-term macro picture remains supportive, given both fiscal and monetary stimulus will be required to kick start the economy, while emerging from the second wave pandemic.

“But gold will continue to take its cues from the dollar and real rates, while keeping an eye on the equities rally.”

READ: Gold prices rally high, gains 3% on U.S dollar drop

What this means

Gold volatility spiked with spot collapsing earlier in the day and buyers have emerged across the curve, with particular emphasis on the front dates.

Olumide Adesina is a France-born Nigerian. He is a Certified Investment Trader, with more than 15 years of working expertise in Investment trading. Follow Olumide on Twitter @tokunboadesina. He is a Member of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society.

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Commodities

Oil prices soar above $70 a barrel over terrorist attacks on Saudi’s oil station

Brent crude futures were up by more than 2%, trading at $70.84 a barrel in early Asian trade, the highest since Jan. 8, 2020

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Oil prices jumped past the $70 a barrel price level, at the first trading session of the week for the first time since the worst pandemic in human history began, while U.S. crude touched its highest price level in more than two years, on reports of terrorist attacks on Saudi Arabia’s facilities.

At the time of writing, Brent crude futures were up by more than 2%, trading at $70.84 a barrel in early Asian trade, the highest since Jan. 8, 2020, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for April surged by 2.4%, to $67.69, the highest since October 2018.

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, in a note to Nairametrics, gave critical insights on why oil prices are hovering high amid the terrorist attacks on OPEC’s leading oil producer’s facilities capable of squeezing supplies momentarily.

READ: How Nigeria can make more money from Oil

“Oil prices have spiked higher this morning after Iran-backed Houthi rebels unleashed a coordinated attack on Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities and military bases.

“With OPEC pursuing a tight oil policy and US shale oil inelastic supply response to higher prices, any disruption to the Middle East supply chain could shoot oil prices considerably higher.

“Indeed, this could be the flashpoint that ignites that smoldering Middle East powder keg as apparent lines in the sand got crossed when the attacks targeted civilians.”

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Bottom line: Although recent reports reveal there have been no reports of significant damage or oil supply chain disruptions, this is an evolving story that will keep oil traders on their toes thereby keeping oil prices north at least for the near term.

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Commodities

Oil prices near $70 a barrel, rising for a 7th week in a row

For the week, Brent crude gained 5.2%, rising for the 7th week in a row for the first time since December,

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global oil market, Bonny Light and Brent crude oil, Arthur Eze, Nigeria cuts crude oil production to 1.77mbpd, Nigeria wants international oil companies to pay up now , OPEC+ deal gets a boost as Russia and Saudi Arabia consider further output cut, 4 key reasons why Brent crude might slip back to $35 per barrel, How substantial is compliance for the Oil market?

Crude oil prices were all fired up at the last trading session of the week, hitting their highest levels in more than a year.

Oil prices are on yearly highs as recent data in the world’s largest economy revealed a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report, coupled with a decision by OPEC+ to keep the status quo.

For the week, Brent crude prices gained 5.2%, rising for the 7th week in a row for the first time since December, while WTI surged by 7.4% after gaining almost 4% last week.

At the end of the Friday trading session, Brent Crude futures gained 3.9%, to settle at $69.36 a barrel. The session high for Brent crude was its highest since January 2020.

Also, the U.S based oil contract, U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures, rallied by 3.5% to settle at $66.09 a barrel.

In an explanatory note to Nairametrics, Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, gave key insights on OPEC+ supply dynamics at the world’s biggest commodity market.

“Saudi Arabia seems to have used its 1mb/d voluntary cut as a bargaining chip to persuade most OPEC+ members not to raise production and also appears to have reiterated the desire to see compensation cuts from OPEC+ participants who have produced above quota so far.

“Oil soared as the rest of OPEC+ holds steady at current production levels. Saudi Arabia’s output will start to phase back in from May and it seems likely increases will be permitted across the whole of OPEC+.

“Driven by a need to benefit from higher oil prices, Russia desires to raise production amid concerns about sending the wrong signal to US shale producers. At the same time, Saudi Arabia says shale is “not on the radar” as a risk.”

What to expect: Oil traders in the mid-term would place their gaze on the next meeting scheduled to hold in April, where energy prices will pose a volatility tango all over again.

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