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Commodities

Gold prices drop, Trump wins Texas, Ohio

Gold futures prices were down by over 1% trading at $1886.90/ounce.

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The world’s safe-haven asset’s prices dropped below the $1,900/ounce level amid odds putting the President’s re-election high as he won key crucial states  like Texas, Ohio

What we know

READ: US Election: President Trump, Democrats contender, Biden trade words over victory

At the time this report was drafted, Gold futures prices were down by over 1%, trading at $1886.90/ounce.

According to the most recent poll by Actionnetwork , the incumbent President Donald Trump holds 66.7% as against Joe Biden’s 33.3%.

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READ: Nigeria’s Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala close to being announced as new DG of WTO

Why it’s happening

President Donald Trump is now the odds-on favorite to win the election for the first time since May 5, according to the betting odds at Betfair.

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There are two key races in swing states likely influencing the overall odds, and Trump is favored to win.

 

Olumide Adesina is a France-born Nigerian. He is a Certified Investment Trader, with more than 15 years of working expertise in Investment Trading. Featured Financial Market Analysis for a Fortune Global 500 Company. Member of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society. Follow Olumide on Twitter @tokunboadesina or email [email protected]

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Commodities

Oil prices up, energy demand up

Brent oil futures gained 0.51% to trade at $48.86/barrel and the West Texas Intermediate futures ticked up by 0.46% to trade at $45.92/barrel.

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Five oil majors reduce value of their assets by $50 billion in Q2

Crude oil prices continued their bullish trend at London’s trading session on Thursday morning. Oil traders are going long, as recent data from the world’s largest economy reveals a surprise draw in U.S. crude oil stockpiles, coupled with high buying interest from Asia, strengthened the resolve of oil traders to go long.

READ: FG says recent petrol price increase linked to Pfizer Covid-19 vaccine success

  • At about 6.15 GMT, Brent oil futures gained 0.51% to $48.86/barrel.
  • West Texas Intermediate futures ticked up by 0.46% to trade at $45.92/barrel.
  • Data from the EIA revealed a plunge of 754,000 barrels for the week to November 20.
  • However, Gasoline stocks gained 2.2 million barrels in the week to 230.2 million barrels, the Energy Information Administration said.

READ: NNPC, only Nigerian company to cut losses by N800 billion in one financial year – GMD

What they are saying

In an explanatory note to Nairametrics, Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi, gave deep insights on key fundamentals pushing oil prices up amid a COVID-19 era.

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“Oil traded higher on Wednesday in a very tight range until the rally midday in New York. WTI attempted a clean push through $46, and Brent printed through $49 before retracing some.

READ: Nigeria’s 5,000 BPD refinery will produce 271 million liters of petrol every year

The inventory numbers released earlier in the NY session helped push the market higher, with the EIA figures more bullish than the previous days’ API estimates and bullish to consensus.”

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He also elaborated on the buying interest seen lately from the Asian economic juggernauts, China and India, which is giving oil bulls enough gas in roaring hard, “Asia’s unquenching demand remains for all to see. Chinese and Indian buying interest continues with tenders issued for both spot and term cargoes, directly responsible for increased demand and reflected in the Brent curve, which has moved to a mild backwardation this week.”

READ: How Cash flow, Liquidity, and Leverage impacts your financial plans

Bottom line

The colossal moves prevailing in the crude oil market over the past two days echo optimism amid positive vaccine development. The flattening of the curve suggests that a positive surprise on current demand is also being reflected.

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Commodities

Gold prices tumble, hit lowest level since July

Gold bulls are presently nursing their wounds amid the sharp drop seen lately in gold prices

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Gold bulls are presently nursing their wounds amid the sharp drop seen lately in gold prices. At Tuesday’s trading session, the yellow metal dropped through the $1,800 mark for the first time since July.

What we know: At the time of writing, Gold futures were down 0.16% to trade at $1,801.75/ounce after losing over 35 dollars on Tuesday alone amid a strong appetite for risk among global investors on COVID-19 vaccine turned them away from safe-haven assets.

READ: Nigerian billionaire, Benedict Peters Plans to mine Platinium in Zimbabwe

Adding to the current wave of optimism is the official approval given to the U.S. presidential transition process given by Emily Murphy, director of the General Services Administration.

In an explanatory note to Nairametrics, Stephen Innes Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi spoke on the macros giving gold bears such resolve in taking the price bandwagon down to its lowest level since July;

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READ: Investors pump N7 billions into New Gold ETF

“The improved expectation for material vaccine deployment in 2021 has likely closed the door on the gold upside. And given the heft of ETF positions, especially the massive accumulation since the beginning of this year, there is definite scope for a deluge of ETF unwinds. So, look for a massive clear out again on a break of the psychological $1800.

“Gold fell and hit its lowest level since July. It is much of the same – transfer of ownership continues into stable allocation – with no huge clips dealing with Asian banks providing the offer during Shanghai Gold Exchange hours.

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READ: Why Nigerians Should Invest in Foreign Exchange Traded Funds

“Gold rout continues as investors embrace vaccine news. The break of USD1,800/oz support may take prices near USD1,750/oz as surging investor optimism due to promising COVID-19 vaccines has undermined gold and silver.”

What to expect: The precious metal will continue to be under immense pressure from the gold bears taking into account the commanding macro theme related to a vaccine recovery and the reduced risks associated with central bank debt monetization or the pursuit of quasi-modern monetary theory.

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Commodities

Oil prices hit highest level since Q1

Crude oil prices hit their highest price levels since March at the second trading session of the week.

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Crude oil prices rebound ease investors’ concerns for Nigeria debt market, How substantial is compliance for the Oil market?, Crude Oil price soars high on new COVID-19 vaccine

Crude oil prices hit their highest price levels since March at the second trading session of the week. The macros driving crude oil bulls to such gains include reports that COVID-19 vaccine candidate might likely tame the rising COVID caseloads, coupled with U.S. President-elect Joe Biden going ahead to begin his leadership transition.

  • At the time of writing this report,  Brent crude futures rose higher than 1% to trade at $46.56 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude soared higher than 1%, to $43.59 a barrel.
  • Brent crude futures on Tuesday struck its highest price level since early March after the fight between the two oil-producing juggernauts (Saudi Arabia and Russia), which sent oil prices melting like an ice cream exposed in the sun.
  • Both major oil benchmarks closed 2% up yesterday after gaining about 5% last week.

READ: Crude oil prices up 12% in barely 4 days, triggered by OPEC+ proposed cuts

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in an explanatory note to Nairametrics dissected the macros hitting crude oil prices to soar higher;

“Oil benefited from the vaccine news, with WTI trading around $43 a barrel and Brent near $46 even when the US dollar rallied on positive US PMI numbers and taking a bit of steam out of the broader commodity markets.

READ: Buying signs: Ethereum’s total coin supply held off exchanges continues to rise

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“While the air looks a bit thin above WTI $43, still, the announcement over the weekend that US COVID-19 vaccinations could begin in early December has spurred another wave of optimism for oil and wider markets, bolstered yesterday by the AstraZeneca version of the vaccine.

“Oil markets are rightly jumping for joy as the AstraZeneca delivery is a big deal as most of the developed world will be able to immunize its most at-risk population to COVID by the spring and likely the entire community by mid-year.”

READ: Newly created accounts for Bitcoin hit highest level since January 2018

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What to expect: The curve has continued to shift, flattening considerably from 3Q21 into 1Q22, with the time spreads from Dec21 now in backwardation. The shortage is priced into WTI from the end of next year as a capital discipline remains the priority for oil firms.

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