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Naira drops to N446 to $1 at black market as calls for currency adjustments increases.

They believe an adjustment would encourage local producers to be more creative, improve their products, and export these products.

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The continuous dollar scarcity and shrinking forex liquidity in Nigeria’s currency market as lately led the naira to depreciate against the dollar to sell at N446 a deferential of one naira from its previous close of N445 to $1 

The ever-increasing dollar outflow from Nigeria in recent months has negatively affected its foreign reserve plummeting to $34.66 billion according to the latest data obtained from Nigeria’s Central bank website

Lately, at the forward market, the naira recently depreciated exchanging at an all-time high against the dollar, with the 5 years non-deliverable forwards falling to N570/$1 from N413/$1Nigeria’s central bank maintains it has enough dollars to meet demand as it commenced the sale of forex last week.

However, Thelma Ugonna Ohiri-Anyanwu, CFA a leading financial expert in Nigeria’s tier 1 bank explained the need for monetary policy stakeholders to readjust the value of the naira. She said

“My recommendation would be to officially devalue the naira which I believe is long overdue, this would make importation more expensive and encourage exportation of goods by local manufacturers which in the long run will increase the dollar inflows, thereby leading to the strengthening of the Naira. 

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“She buttressed on advising Nigeria’s Central Bank in increasing import tariffs rather than an outright ban on selected import items, she continued by saying 

“Nigeria’s central bank needs to remove the current ban on forex allocations for the importation of goods and rather implement trade policies that would increase tariffs on luxurious imported goods and give subsidies to local manufacturers who export their products.

(READ MORE:  Naira depreciates at the parallel market, closes at N437 to $1)

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This would encourage local producers to be more creative, improve their products, and export these products, leading to an increase of improved domestically produced products, thereby, diversifying the economy and reduce the country’s reliance on the China economy.

I would also recommend the reduction of the monetary policy rate to help stimulate the real economy and stall stagflation.

Just recently in a recent report released by Bloomberg, the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN) said that its members were finding it very difficult to access U.S dollars for their business transactions.

Meanwhile, just last month, Nigeria’s central bank resumed the provision of foreign-dominated currencies to commercial banks based in the country

Nigeria’s central said the resumption of the exercise was for onward sales to small and medium enterprises (SMEs) wishing to undertake the importation of essentials needed to help revamp the economy devastated by the deadly COVID-19  pandemic.

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Olumide Adesina is a France-born Nigerian. He is a Certified Investment Trader, with more than 15 years of working expertise in Investment Trading and Financial Market Analysis. Member of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society. You can follow Olumide on Twitter @tokunboadesina or email [email protected]

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Energy

Nigeria to fix irregular power supply in 40 years- Senate

Four decades is needed due to underfunding and the FG’s failure to fix the challenges of electricity generation.

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Customers to pay for metering through cost of tariff- NERC

The Nigerian Senate has said that it will take Nigeria 40 years to fix irregular power supply.

This was disclosed by the Senate Committee on Power on Tuesday after the Minister of Power and his team made a presentation to the Committee, according to Guardian.

The four decades wait, according to the lawmakers, is due to underfunding and the Federal Government’s failure to fix the challenges of electricity generation.

The committee was astonished by the submission of the Minister of Power, Mamman Saleh, that of the N165billion required for capital projects in 2020, N4billion was given as bribe of which only N3billion was cash-backed.

In lieu of this, the Committee dismissed claims made by the minister over raising hope on early provision of constant power supply, while Managing Director of the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN), Sule Ahmed Abdulaziz, painted a gloomy picture during the ministry’s budget defense.

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A member of the Committee, Danjuma Goje, expressed concern that based on Abdulaziz’s presentation, N165billion was proposed, but the ministry gave N4billion in envelope, insisting that it would take 41 years to deliver constant electricity when N165billion is divided by N4billion.

Backstory

Recall that Nairametrics had earlier reported that it will take nothing less than $100 billion to enable stable power supply in Nigeria.

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What they are saying

Mr. Danjuma expressed pessimism over hopes of stable power supply in the country. He went as far as stressing that even if ongoing projects are being completed there is still no hope for stable transmission of power in the country.

Mr. Danjuma was quoted as saying: “Going by the minister’s presentation that transmission gas increased from 5000 to 8000 megawatts, it is not enough. When dishing out figures, we should bear in mind that capacity, transmission, and distribution have increased and that Nigerians, manufacturers, and industrialists want to see stable electricity.

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ENDSARS

#EndSARS: ECOWAS calls for protesters to remain peaceful in their demonstrations

ECOWAS has called on protesters to be peaceful in conducting their protests.

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ECOWAS ministers recommend gradual re-opening of borders 

The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), has called on protesters to be peaceful in conducting their protests and urged Nigerian security operatives to exercise restraint in the handling of protests.

This was disclosed in a statement by the organization on Tuesday and comes on the heels of statements by other International bodies and personalities, who have expressed worry over the nature of brutality meted on protesters, especially after the Lekki shootings.

“ECOWAS Commission notes with concern that demonstrations by Nigerian youth calling for Police reforms, particularly the abolition of the Special Anti-Robbery Squad (SARS) of the Nigerian Police force, accused of misconduct by those demonstrating, have turned violent,” they said.

The body said it recognizes the right to peaceful protests and also called for protesters to be peaceful, due to the rising reported cases of lootings post protests during the curfews.

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While ECOWAS recognizes the right of citizens to freedom of expression and peaceful assembly and protests, it also wishes to stress that those rights should be exercised in a nonviolent manner.

“In this regard, ECOWAS calls on all protesters to remain peaceful in the conduct of their demonstrations. It also urges the Nigerian security operatives to exercise restraint in the handling of the protests and act professionally.”

Bottomline

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The tone of ECOWAS’ message is different compared to the rest of other stakeholders including the statement of the Lagos State Governor, House of Reps Speaker, and the Vice President, who all acknowledged that the protests were peaceful and the protesters were attacked and that the violence from the curfews was not done by the protesters but by hoodlums.

The ECOWAS message is also the first statement by West Africa’s most important regional body since the #EndSARS protests started in the first week of October.

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Economy & Politics

Kano State presents N147.9 billion budget for 2021 fiscal year

Governor Ganduje has presented the total sum of N147.9 billion as Kano State’s proposed budget for 2021 fiscal year.

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Dala Inland Dry Port set to take off after N2.3 billion investment - Kano Govt., DB to support 1.26 million farmers with $95 million

Kano State Governor, Abdullahi Ganduje has presented the total sum of N147.9 billion as its proposed budget for 2021 fiscal year before the Kano State House of Assembly today.

Presenting the budget tagged “Budget for Economic Recovery and Sustainable Development,”Governor Ganduje said the budget is in furtherance of his administration’s vision for diversification of the state sources of revenue which will engineer development in the future.

Backstory: Recall that Nairametrics had earlier reported the drive and optimism by Kano State government to boost its Internally Generated Revenue. This might probably explain why IGR increased by almost 10% between 2020 allocations and proposed estimates for 2021.

What you should know: The breakdown of the budget verified by Nairametrics showed the following key highlights:

  • The total budget increased by approximately 7.0% from N138.279 billion in 2020 to N147.935 billion in 2021.
  • Capital expenditure for the periods under view increased by 10.93% from N60.485 billion to N67.095 billion.
  • Recurrent expenditure also increased from N77.79 billion to N80.839 billion, indicating a 3.92%. increase for the periods under view.
  • Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) increased by approximately 10% from N24 billion to N26.395 billion during the period under view.
  • A breakdown of the budget showed that the Education sector has over N37 Billion representing 25% of the total budget while the health care delivery service has over N25 Billion representing 17% of the total budget.

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