FGN Bonds

Welcome to Nairametrics‘ summary of the daily performance of major economic indicators and highlights from trading sessions and key statistics such as Treasury Bills and Bond. This is brought to you by Zedcrest.

This report is dated July 18th, 2019.

***DMO to Issue Higher Volume of FGN Bonds in Q3 2019***

[READ ALSO: Access Bank lists N15 billion green bond]

Bonds: The FGN Bond market remained bullish, with the most demand on the short to mid-end of the curve. Yields consequently declined further by c.7bps on the day.

We expect the market to remain slightly bullish tomorrow, despite the release of the Q3 FGN Bond calendar, where the DMO indicated its intention to raise between N360bn – N480bn of the 5, 10 and 30-yr bonds in Q3 2019, N120bn above its (N255bn – N345bn) Q2 2019 target, and above the c.N305bn total issuance during the period.

Treasury Bills: The T-bills market was relatively flat, with slight buys still observed on the long end of the curve, as market players awaited results of the NTB auction held during the session.

As expected, rates cleared significantly below their previous auction levels, but relatively within the current market levels, which connotes a relatively stable outlook for T-bill yields in the near term, even as some offshores take profit at current low levels.

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Money Market: Rates in the money market were marginally higher by c.1pct, as system liquidity fell by N100bn to c.N250bn. The OBB and OVN rates consequently ended the session at 3.86% and 4.50% respectively.

We expect rates to remain relatively stable tomorrow, barring a renewed OMO sale by the CBN.

FX Market: At the interbank, the Naira/USD rate remained stable at N306.95/$ (spot), and N357.70/$ (SMIS). The NAFEX rate at the I&E window rose higher by 36k to N361.61/$, due to demand from offshores pressuring rates as high N362/$ during the session. Market turnover however moderated slightly by 18% to $279m. At the parallel market, the cash and transfer rate remained stable at N358.10/$ and N361.50/$ respectively.

Eurobonds: Demand Interests in the NIGERIA Sovereigns remained robust, with yields lower by c.6bps on the day. We witnessed the most interest on the NIGERIA 38s and 47s, which gained c.0.4pct on the day.

In the NIGERIA Corps, we witnessed sustained demand on the ETINL 24s, FIDBAN 22s and SEPLLN 23s, with the most gains seen on the FIDBAN and SEPLLN.

[READ FURTHER: Sahara Group canvasses more investment in Africa’s E&P business]


Contact us: Dealing Desk: 01-6311667 Email: research@zedcrestcapital.com

Disclaimer: Whilst proper and reasonable care has been taken in the preparation and accuracy of the facts and figures presented in this report, no responsibility or liability is accepted by Zedcrest Capital or its employees for any error, omission or opinion expressed herein. This report is not an investment advice or a research recommendation and should not be regarded as such. The information provided herein is by no means intended to provide a sufficient basis on which to make an investment decision.

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