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Daily Update on Treasury Bills, Forex, Bonds and Oil Prices

Zedcrest Capital by Zedcrest Capital
March 14, 2019
in Markets, Securities
Financial statements
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Daily performance of major economic indicators and highlights from tradings sessions and key statistics such as Treasury Bills, bonds, FX rates, inflation, oil price.

CBN Delivers Further Cut to Stop Rate in c.N400bn OMO Sale

***Nigeria, India to expand $12bn investment***

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Key Indicators

Bonds

The FGN Bond Market traded with mixed sentiments, with slight sell on the 2023s and 2027s towards the close of trading pushing yields marginally higher by c.5bps on the day. Demand however remained relatively firm on the 2028 bond.

We expect yields to remain relatively stable, with declining T-bill yields expected to support demand interests in the near term.

Treasury Bills

The T-bills market remained bullish on the back of the signifcant downtrend in rates at the previous day’s NTB auction. Buying interests were mostly focused on the long end of the curve which remained absent at the OMO auction conducted by the CBN today.

Of the c.N213bn OMO bills that matured today, the CBN sold a total of c.N400bn 91 and 175-day bills in a bid to mop up the excess liquidity in the system. Due to the oversubcription at the auction compared to the N350bn offered, the CBN cut the OMO stop rates further by c.6bps on the 91-day to 11.84% and by c.24bps on the 175-day to 13.20%.

We expect rates to remain relatively stable, with market players expected to sustain demand amid a further decline in the OMO clearing rates. We however expect slight selloff on the shortend of the curve, as market players fund for the CBN’s bi-mothly retail FX auction tomorrow.

Money Market

Rates in the money market inched slightly higher by c.2pct on the back of the significant OMO sale by the CBN which compressed system liquidity to c.N160bn from c.N300bn opening the day. The OBB and OVN rates consequently ended the session at 10.67% and 11.58% respectively.

We expect rates to trend higher tomorrow, as banks fund for a retail FX auction by the CBN.

FX Market

At the Interbank, the Naira/USD rate remained unchanged at N306.95/$ (Spot) and N356.92/$ (SMIS). The NAFEX closing rate in the I&E window however weakened slightly by 0.02% to N360.36/$. At the parallel market, the cash rate remained unchanged at N358.00/$, while the transfer rate strengthened by 0.27% to N364.00/$.

Eurobonds

The NGERIA Sovereigns turned bullish in today’s session following sustained gains in oil prices. Yields were consequently lower by c.3bps, with the most demand witnessed on the 2038s.

The NGERIA Corps were relatively quiet except for slight interests witnessed on the ACCESS and FBNNL 21s.


Contact us: Dealing Desk: 01-6311667 | Dayo: 07032208237 | Seyi: 08023231396 | Nnamdi: +2348133385000 | Tosin: +2347039394376
Email: research@zedcrestcapital.com
Disclaimer: Whilst proper and reasonable care has been taken in the preparation and accuracy of the facts and figures presented in this report, no responsibility or liability is accepted by Zedcrest Capital or its employees for any error, omission or opinion expressed herein. This report is not an investment research or a research recommendation and should not be regarded as such. The information provided herein is by no means intended to provide a sufficient basis on which to make an investment decision.


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Tags: BONDSFX markettreasury bills
Zedcrest Capital

Zedcrest Capital

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