Connect with us
UBA ads

Business News

Nigerians project Inflation and Unemployment Rates to worsen in 2019

Nigerians have expressed their belief that they expect inflation and unemployment rates to rise in the next 12 months.



Standing Deposit Facility, 12 states

Nigerians have expressed their belief that inflation and unemployment rates would rise in the next one year. This was contained in the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Consumer Expectations Survey (CES) report for the third quarter of 2018.

The survey was conducted a few weeks ago from a sample size of 1,770 Households randomly selected from 207 Enumeration Areas (EAs) across the country, with a response rate of 96.9 per cent.


The survey also shows that Nigerians expect the Naira exchange rate value to appreciate in the next 12 months. Majority of Nigerian consumers also projected a fall in the borrowing rate in the next one year.

Nigerian Consumers’ Confidence Returns

According to the CBN report, the Consumer Overall Confidence rose to 1.5 Index points, showing that consumers’ overall confidence in the Nigerian economy bounced back in the third quarter of 2018 as more consumers were optimistic in their outlook, unlike the previous quarter of Q2 2018 (when the index stood at -6.3 points).

The 1.5 index points show a growth of 12.0 basis points from the -10.5 index points recorded in the third quarter of 2017

GTBank 728 x 90

Also, the consumer outlook for the fourth quarter of 2018 and the next 12 months was positive standing at 24.7 points and 30.1 points respectively. This new confidence in the economy may be linked to their expected rise in net household income, expected improvement in the nation’s economic atmosphere and expectations in their savings over the next one year.

High Inflation Forecast

Nigerian consumers are expecting a further rise in the prices of goods and services in the next one year with the index points for the outlook on Price Changes in the next 12 months standing at 16.7%. Transportation, education, medical care, electricity, house rent and telecommunication are the main drivers of the outlook.

After eighteenth consecutive months of disinflation (since January 2017), head on inflation increased by 11.23% year-on-year in August 2018; which is 0.09% higher than the recorded rate in July 2018 (11.14%). The rise in inflation continued in September when it increased by 11.28% year-on-year, which is 0.05% higher than the recorded rate in August 2018 (11.23%).

Consumers to spend less on luxury

Majority of Nigerian consumers nationwide are of the opinion that the next 12 months would not be an ideal time for the purchase of big-ticket items like motor vehicles, house, etc.

The Consumers’ Overall Buying Conditions index in the third quarter of 2018 was 35.1 points while the index for Overall Buying Intention in the next one year stands at 46.6 index points. Respondents have no plan of buying motor vehicles and house with the buying intention indices for the items below 50 points.


Meanwhile, the index for consumer durables stood above 50 points which shows that respondents have intentions of purchasing gas cooker, furniture, and electronics in the next 12 months.


Appreciation in Naira Value

With the Exchange Rate Outlook of 16.4, most Nigerian consumers surveyed believed that the exchange rate value of the Naira will rise in the next 12 months while a majority of the respondents equally expect the rate of borrowing to drop in the next one year, with the Borrowing Outlook standing at -2.6%. The exchange rate of the nation’s currency presently is at US$1 to ₦361.

Also, Nigerian consumers are expecting the unemployment rate to rise in the next one year with the Unemployment Outlook index still positive with 25.0 points in the third quarter of 2018. The last unemployment rate released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) shows the indicator standing at 22.8% in the third quarter of 2017.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Business News

Despite COVID-19, Lagos State Government says Q1 budget performance rose to N163.2 billion

This performance, according to the Lagos State Commissioner for Economic Planning and Budget, Mr. Sam Egube, “is higher than the 68% (N148.3 billion) recorded for the same period in 2019.”



Despite COVID-19, Lagos state raised ₦163.2 billion in revenue in Q1 2020, N14.9 billion higher than Q1 2019

In spite of the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Lagos State Government recorded a 56% budget performance in Q1 2020 with N163.2 billion in revenue, N14.9 billion more than Q1 2019.

This performance, according to the Lagos State Commissioner for Economic Planning and Budget, Mr. Sam Egube, “is higher than the 68% (N148.3 billion) recorded for the same period in 2019.”


Speaking at the press briefing on Wednesday, Egube noted that the downside of the COVID-19 pandemic had necessitated a 21% reduction in the go-forward budget size, to make the budget realistic.

In preparation for the post-COVID-19 economy, the government is working out terms to harness public and private investments towards creating a strong mixed-sector economy, expanding social services, and environmental stability.

(READ MORE:Lagos State partners Microsoft to train 18,000 teachers)

GTBank 728 x 90

According to Egube, “the government will also restart the Lagos State economy by focusing on job creation, economic stabilisation, and fiscal consolidation, in addition to re-imagining the way Lagos operates, focusing on digitisation, business environment reforms and economic diversification.”

All of these are geared towards neutralizing the adverse effects of the pandemic on the economic planning of the state, and building a strong response focused on food security, economic intervention, and public safety.

The government had also assured that the impact of the pandemic on the economy of Lagos state will be minimal, as palliatives have been structured to ensure that residents thrive beyond the crisis.

Creating a resilience committee

The commissioner added that during Q1 2020, the government inaugurated the Lagos State Resilience Committee which worked with the ministry of economic planning and budget to assess the state and develop a resilience strategy.


(READ MORE:COVID-19: Lagos receives N200 Million, 5 ambulances from BUA Foundation)


“The initiative is aimed at improving the resilience of the State and its ability to bounce back from adversity”, Egube explained.

The strategy entails building “efficient power, effective mass transit systems, access to potable water and key infrastructure to support a growing economy and achieve social progress”. 

Continue Reading


Covid-19 Update in Nigeria

On the 3rd of June 2020, 348 new confirmed cases and 1 death were recorded in Nigeria bringing the total confirmed cases recorded in the country to 11,166.



COVID-19: FCMB reschedule operations

The spread of novel Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19) in Nigeria continues to rise as the latest statistics provided by the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control reveal Nigeria now has 11,166 confirmed cases.

On the 3rd of June 2020, 348 new confirmed cases and 1 death were recorded in Nigeria.


To date, 11166 cases have been confirmed, 3329 cases have been discharged and 315 deaths have been recorded in 35 states and the Federal Capital Territory having carried out 69,801 tests.

Covid-19 Case Updates- 3rd June 2020

  • Total Number of Cases – 11,166
  • Total Number Discharged – 3,329
  • Total Deaths – 315
  • Total Tests Carried out – 69,801

The 348 new cases are reported from 19 states- Lagos (163), FCT (76), Ebonyi (23), Rivers (21), Delta (8), Nasarawa (8), Niger (8), Enugu(6), Bauchi (5), Edo(5), Ekiti (5), Ondo (5), Gombe (5), Benue(4), Ogun (2), Osun (1), Plateau (1), Kogi (1), Anambra (1).

READ ALSO: COVID-19: Western diplomats warn of disease explosion, poor handling by government

GTBank 728 x 90

The latest numbers bring Lagos state total confirmed cases to 5440, followed by Kano (970), Abuja at 763, Katsina (371), Edo (341), Oyo (317), Kaduna (297), Borno (296), Ogun (282), Jigawa (274), Rivers (269), Bauchi (246),  Gombe (169), Sokoto (115).

Kwara State has recorded 111 cases, Plateau (109), Delta (106), Nasarawa (88), Zamfara (76), Ebonyi (63), Yobe (52), Osun (47), Akwa Ibom (45), Adamawa (42), Niger (41), Imo (39), Kebbi and Ondo (33), Ekiti (25), Enugu (24), Bayelsa (21), Taraba (18), Abia (15), Benue (13), Anambra (12), while Kogi state has recorded only 3 cases.

Lock Down and Curfew

In a move to combat the spread of the pandemic disease, President Muhammadu Buhari directed the cessation of all movements in Lagos and the FCT for an initial period of 14 days, which took effect from 11 pm on Monday, 30th March 2020.

The movement restriction, which was extended by another two-weeks period, has been partially put on hold with some businesses commencing operations from May 4. On April 27th, 2020, President Muhammadu Buhari declared an overnight curfew from 8 pm to 6 am across the country, as part of new measures to contain the spread of the COVID-19. This comes along with the phased and gradual easing of lockdown measures in FCT, Lagos, and Ogun States, which took effect from Saturday, 2nd May 2020, at 9 am.



READ ALSO: Bill Gates says Trump’s WHO funding suspension is dangerous

DateConfirmed caseNew casesTotal deathsNew deathsTotal recoveryActive casesCritical cases
June 3, 2020111663483151332975227
June 2, 20201081924131415323972667
June 1, 20201057841629912312271579
May 31, 20201016230728714300768687
May 30, 2020985555327312285667267
May 29, 202093023872612269763447
May 28, 202089151822595259260647
May 27, 202087333892545250159787
May 26, 2020834427624916238557107
May 25, 202080682292337231155247
May 24, 202078393132265226353607
May 23, 202075262652210217451317
May 22, 2020726124522110200750337
May 21, 2020701633921111190748987
May 20, 202066772842008184046377
May 19, 202064012261921173444757
May 18, 202061752161919164443407
May 17, 202059593881826159441837
May 16, 202056211761765147239737
May 15, 202054452881713132039544
May 14, 202051621931683118038154
May 13, 202049711841646107037374
May 12, 20204787146158695936704
May 11, 202046412421521090235894
May 10, 202043992481421777834794
May 9, 202041512391271174532784
May 8, 202039123861181067931154
May 7, 20203526381108460128184
May 6, 20203145195104553425071
May 5, 2020295014899548123704
May 4, 2020280224594641722912
May 3, 2020255817088240020702
May 2, 20202388220861735119522
May 1, 20202170238691035117512
April 30, 2020193220459731715562
April 29, 2020172819652730713692
April 28, 2020153219545425512322
April 27, 20201337644102559942
April 26, 20201273914152399942
April 25, 20201182873632229252
April 24, 202010951143312088552
April 23, 20209811083231977532
April 22, 2020873912931976482
April 21, 20207821172631975602
April 20, 2020665382311884662
April 19, 2020627862221704362
April 18, 2020541482021663562
April 17, 2020493511841593172
April 16, 2020442351311522772
April 15, 2020407341211282672
April 14, 202037330111992632
April 13, 202034320100912422
April 12, 20203235100852282
April 11, 202031813103702382
April 10, 20203051770582402
April 9, 20202881471512302
April 8, 20202742260442262
April 7, 20202541661442042
April 6, 2020238650351982
April 5, 20202321851331942
April 4, 2020214540251850
April 3, 20202092542251800
April 2, 20201841020201620
April 1, 2020174352091630
March 31, 202013982091280
March 30, 2020131202181210
March 29, 2020111221031070
March 28, 20208919103850
March 27, 2020705103660
March 26, 20206514102620
March 25, 2020517102480
March 24, 2020444102410
March 23, 20204010112370
March 22, 2020308002280
March 21, 20202210001210
March 20, 2020124001110
March 19, 20208000170
March 18, 20208500170
March 17, 20203100030
March 16, 20202000020
March 15, 20202000020
March 14, 20202000020
March 13, 20202000020
March 12, 20202000020
March 11, 20202000020
March 10, 20202000020
March 9, 20202100020
March 8, 20201000010
March 7, 20201000010
March 6, 20201000010
March 5, 20201000010
March 4, 20201000010
March 3, 20201000010
March 2, 20201000010
March 1, 20201000010
February 29, 20201000010
February 28, 20201100010

Continue Reading

Around the World

Who will ruin the OPEC+ party?

Russia has always been the black sheep in the OPEC+ family as they tend to ever deviate from consensual commitment concerning the oil market.




The stage is set for OPEC+ to virtually meet on the 4th of June to discuss the extension of output cuts. The previous agreement on curbs resulted in a historic reduction of 9.7m barrels per day. Compliance has been commendable even to the point where some nations started shutting production before the effective date. The meeting in April was an emergency meeting after the diplomatic intervention by Donald Trump, who needed to save the energy industry in the United States.

This week’s meeting does not have any dramatic buildup to it (although the date has been brought forward to factor certain fundamentals). Still, there is a consensus or belief that the meeting will be successful, which is why prices have soared in the last couple of days. On Tuesday, Oil prices closed in on three-month highs because of the positive anticipation that OPEC+ producers would conclude in the extension of the production cuts at the forthcoming meeting. Brent Oil broke the $39 range, which has not been feasible since March.


READ ALSO: Subsidy and PIB

But energy analysts and traders familiar with the history of OPEC meetings know very well that surprises and disagreements can spring up during the sessions and can negatively affect prices. To recall the last two meetings, the first meeting in March that led to the crash of prices from $50 to $32 after the discord between Russia and Saudi Arabia were Russia did not believe cuts were necessary to salvage the demand destruction caused by the coronavirus. The second meeting, which is the more recent, featured a Mexican standoff were Mexico would defiantly not accept their part in the global cuts. It took efforts by Trump (again) to agree to shoulder some of the cuts imposed on Mexico.

Skeptics believe Russia might be this week’s party pooper. Russia has always been the black sheep in the OPEC+ family as they tend to ever deviate from consensual commitment concerning the oil market. On Wednesday, Oil was observed to retreat by more than 4%, after reports suggested that Russia was mulling over easing production cuts as planned in July. Russian Minister, Novak expressed how the country expects global supply and demand to balance in June and July. This optimism is shared amongst Russian industry players who have felt the pains of output cuts, especially producers who must maneuver shutting down many wells without causing damage to the oil fields.  To be fair, Russia is responsible for about a quarter of the total OPEC+ cuts and prices at these levels still negatively impacts the Russian budget.

GTBank 728 x 90

READ MORE: Global oil market to re-balance in 2 months’ time

Although scaling back curbs is line with the OPEC+ deal and demand picking up globally as expressed by the Russian Energy Minister is true, it would be a classic tale of Russian Roulette if countries ease back on production cuts. The market demand must fully recover. There is still a shortage demand for consumption for jet fuel as airlines are not operating at normal levels, with experts saying it would take years before the airline industry recovers. History suggests we should be cautious with Russia. Moscow is solely interested in increasing market share and winning its veiled rivalry with U.S shale oil.  In the short-term, Russia’s defiance in February is why we are at these levels.

It is no surprise that Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman and United States President Donald Trump individually have had calls with Russia’s President on the need for coordination and cooperation in the oil markets days before the OPEC+ meeting. It seems that these discussions have been positive, and prices have reacted in this manner. Head of Oil market analysis at Rystad Energy, Bjornar Tonhaugen affirmed that “at this stage, there are two only variables that can significantly move prices, which are “Hints on the direction at this meeting and the outcome, and the rate of the shut production’s reactivation.”

READ ALSO: Ajaokuta’s completion to kick off as Russia provides funds


Oil Bear traders would be monitoring this meeting; any sign of disagreement would be treated with selling pressure. However, a successful meeting does not mean an immediate rise in price because the success has already been “priced in.” Hopefully, we have a successful meeting. Oil prices need back to back rallies to sustain its ascension to the top. Nigeria needs this, the OPEC cartel needs this, Shale oil companies need this, and the Kremlin budget needs this too.


Continue Reading