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Business News

Oil drops below $80, contradicting initial forecasts

Crude oil prices have declined, currently trading below $80 per barrel.

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InterContinental Exchange

Crude oil prices have declined, with the global benchmark (Brent crude) currently trading below $80 per barrel; the lowest ever price in more than a month.

Brent kept fluctuating between $79 and $80, before finally stabilising below the eighty dollars mark, especially today.

Reason for the price drop

This development has been linked to a major increase in crude oil inventories, especially in the United States of America. According to the country’s Energy Information Administration, crude inventories in the United States of America have been rising since the middle of September, reaching its month-long high of 6.5 million barrels earlier this month.

Global oil Prices have dropped. Image source: Oilprice.com

This contradicts earlier forecasts

Just recently, there was a serious speculation that global oil prices might spike as much as $200 per barrel in the aftermath of the mysterious disappearance of the Saudi-American journalist, Jamal Khashoggi.

Mr Khashoggi’s disappearance and feared death, which happened weeks ago inside the Saudi consulate in the Turkish capital Istanbul, sparked international outrage. There was pressure on the United States’ Government to impose sanctions on Saudi Arabia over the kingdom’s failure to account for what happened to the journalist.

This sanction, according to the speculations, would have ultimately cut off oil supplies from Saudi Arabia into the international market; thereby drastically reducing inventories and causing prices to spike.

Earlier forecasts by Total SA and CBN’s Emefiele have been proven wrong

As we reported earlier, the Global Chief Executive Officer of Total SA, Mr Patrick Pouyanne last month projected that oil price would soon reach $100. The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emefielereinforced this sentiment shortly afterwards by stating that he did not think crude oil would trade below $80 per barrel for the rest of 2018. Nairametrics analysed that his forecast could be wrong, and now we can prove that with evidence.

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There is hope for Nigeria

In the midst of this latest development, Reuters reported that offers for Nigerian oil went up yesterday. This is a good development, provided that global oil prices do not decline any further.

Nigeria needs the price of oil to remain high because the country’s economy is largely dependent on foreign exchange earned through crude exportation.

Emmanuel is a professional writer and business journalist, with interests covering Banking & Finance, Mergers and Acquisitions, Corporate Profiles, Brand Communication, Fintech, and MSMEs.He initially joined Nairametrics as an all-round Business Analyst, but later began focusing on and covering the financial services sector. He has also held various leadership roles, including Senior Editor, QAQC Lead, and Deputy Managing Editor.Emmanuel holds an M.Sc in International Relations from the University of Ibadan, graduating with Distinction. He also graduated with a Second Class Honours (Upper Division) from the Department of Philosophy & Logic, University of Ibadan.If you have a scoop for him, you may contact him via his email- [email protected] You may also contact him through various social media platforms, preferably LinkedIn and Twitter.

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Business

FG explains why Lagos-Ibadan rail line was not linked to the sea

The government in its explanation said that the delay was due to disruption by trucks going in and out of the port complex.

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FG needs $656 million to complete Lagos-Ibadan railway project – Amaechi, Nigeria loses N150 billion annually to shipping tariffs, Ibadan to Kano rail construction

The Federal Government has stated why the China Civil Engineering Construction Company (CCECC) Nigeria Limited could not link the final part of the Lagos-Ibadan rail line to the sea.

The government in its explanation said that it was due to disruption by trucks going in and out of the port complex.

According to a press statement signed by the Director, Press and Public Relations of the Federal Ministry of Transportation, Eric Ojiekwe, this disclosure was made by the Minister of Transportation, Rotimi Amaechi, while on a routine tour of the Lagos-Ibadan rail line project on Saturday, April 10, 2021.

The Minister pointed out that the original blueprint for the Lagos-Ibadan rail line project was not adhered to by CCECC Nigeria Limited and TEAM consortium and therefore warned that the master plan of the soon to commence Ibadan-Kano rail line project should not be changed.

The statement from the ministry partly reads, “The Nigerian Government has restated its commitment to connect the whole country by rail with the soon to commence Ibadan-Kano Standard Gauge Rail project.”

Amaechi forewarned that the master plan of the soon to commence project should not be changed as the original blueprint for the Lagos-Ibadan wasn’t adhered to by Messrs CCECC Nigeria and TEAM consortium. The Minister who rode the train from Ebute-Meta to the 8.72 km Apapa Port Spur line, informed the media that the inability of Messrs CCECC Nigeria to link the final part of the rail line down to the sea is rather due to disruption by trucks going in and out of the port complex.’’

The Minister had noted that the Federal Government has paid its share of the counterpart funding of the Ibadan-Kano rail line project and is waiting for China-Exim bank to ratify its side of the agreement for the project to commence.

He also advised the Nigerian Railway Corporation (NRC) to acquire more land around the train stations and the rail tracks for future development adding that this will be near impossible to do in the future as whatever space available now would have been taken over by businesses attracted to the rail line.

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In case you missed it

It can be recalled that full commercial train services commenced on the Lagos-Ibadan rail line after train operations commenced on December 7, 2020, with only Lagos, Ibadan and Abeokuta residents enjoying the train services.

This is because other minor and major stations along that route were yet to be completed.

 

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Manufacturing

Industrial Index loses -12.39 points, as BUA and Lafarge Cement shares top losers list

The NSE Industrials index lost 12.39 index points in the first trading week in the month of April.

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Manufacturing: Activity levels pick up albeit readings still below water

The Nigerian Stock Exchange Industrial Index at the close of trading activities for the first week in the month of April closed on a bearish note, following a 0.66% decrease in the shares of BUA CEMENT and Lafarge.

At the close of trading activities on the Nigerian Stock Exchange on the 9th of April 2021, the industrial index depreciated by 55.01 index points, to close lower at 1,928.18 index points for the week.

When compared to the overall performance of the market, the NSE Industrial index underperformed, noting that the NSE All-Share Index and Market Capitalization depreciated by 0.66% to close the week at 38,866.39 and N20.3350 trillion respectively.

READ: COVID-19, VAT, FX scarcity adversely impacted our operations in 2020 – Nigerian Breweries boss says

What you should know

The NSE Industrial Index was designed to provide an investable benchmark to capture the performance of the Industrial Sector. It comprises the most capitalized and liquid companies in the industrial sector and is based on the market capitalization methodology.

The index tracks the performance of ten industrial companies on the Nigerian Stock Exchange which includes Dangote, BUA, and Lafarge Cement.

The overall performance of the companies for the week was bearish, as the index closed on a negative note driven by the decrease in the share price of BUA Cement and Lafarge.

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MEYER (19.51) was the only gainer for the week, while BUACEMENT (-1.09%) and LAFARGE WAPCO (-3.00%) were the only losers for the week.

GAINER

  • MEYER up by19.51% to close at N0.49.

LOSER

  • WAPCO down by -3.00% to close at N21.00.
  • BUACEMENT down by -1.09% to close at N72.70.

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