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Three reasons you should not buy Cadbury shares

Onome Ohwovoriole by Onome Ohwovoriole
October 12, 2018
in Markets, Spotlight, Stock Market
Nigerian stocks, Buy Sell Hold, results
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Buy/Sell/Hold is picked from the top gainers and losers of the previous week, and various analysts’ reports.

 Fidelity Bank Plc: HOLD

Latest Results

Results for the half year ended June 2018 show that gross earnings increased from N85.8 billion in 2017 to N88.9 billion in 2018.

Profit Before tax increased from N10.2 billion in 2017 to N13.1 billion in 2018. Profit after tax also increased from N9 billion in 2017 to N11.8 billion in 2018.

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Price Information

Current Share Price: N1.93
Price to Earnings Ratio: 1.42X
Price to Book Ratio: 0.30
Year to Date Return: -21.54%
One Year Return: 45.21%

External View

Analysts at United Capital have a BUY recommendation on the stock. They have a target price of N2.80, which represents a potential upside of 54.7% from the stock’s price of N1.80, as at when the report was prepared.

Analysts at FBNQuest have a ‘Neutral’ rating on the stock. They have a target price of N3.00, which represents a potential upside of 75% from the stock’s price of N1.90 as at when the report was prepared.

Our View

Fidelity Bank is a HOLD in Nairametrics’ opinion. While the stock is trading quite cheaply, a further decline is possible in view of current market sentiments. Investors would be better off with a 50% decline in price, before taking a position.

Stanbic IBTC: HOLD

Latest Results

Results for the half year ended June 2018, show that gross earnings increased from N97.1 billion in 2017 to N114 billion in 2018. Profit before tax jumped from N29.1 billion in 2017 to N50 billion in 2018. Profit after tax also increased from N24.1 billion in 2017 to N43 billion in 2018.

Price Information

Current Share Price: N45
Price to Earnings Ratio: 6.97X
Price to Book Ratio: 2.18
Year to Date Return: 8.43%
One Year Return: 15.86%

External View: None

Our View

Stanbic IBTC is a HOLD in our opinion, as it is up 8.43% year to date. Investors would be better off waiting for a dip in price before taking a position.

Cadbury Nigeria Plc: SELL

Latest Results

Results for the half year ended June 2018 show that revenue increased from N16.2 billion in 2017 to N17.5 billion in 2018. Loss before tax fell from N766 million in 2017 to N423 million in 2018.

Price information

Current Share Price: N10.30
Price to Earnings Ratio: 30.59X
Price to Book Ratio: 1.70
Year to Date Return: – 34.27%
One year return: 0.31%

External View: None

Our View

Cadbury is a SELL in Nairametrics’ opinion. Not only is the stock trading at over two times the average PE ratio on the NSE, but H1 2018 results are also poor and may be an indication of poor full-year results.

The poor fundamentals, in the last few years, have led to most analysts removing it from their coverage.

Newrest ASL Nigeria Ltd: HOLD

Latest Results

Results for the half year ended June 2018 show that revenue dropped from N2.7 billion in 2017 to N2.5 billion in 2018. However, profit before tax jumped from N197 million in 2017 to N631 million in 2018.

Price Information

Current Share Price: N6.00
Price to Earnings Ratio: 3.35X
Year to Date Return: 0.84%
One Year Return: -16.80%

External View: None

Our View

Newrest ASL is a HOLD in Nairametrics’ opinion. The stock is trading at a year high of N6.00. Investors would be better off waiting for a decline before taking a position.


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Tags: Cadbury Nigeria PlcFidelity Bank PlcNewrest ASL Nigeria PlcOn the MoneyStanbic IBTC
Onome Ohwovoriole

Onome Ohwovoriole

Onome Ohwovoriole has a degree in Economics and Statistics from the University of Benin and prior to joining Nairametrics in December 2016 as Lead Analyst had stints in Publishing, Automobile Services, Entertainment and Leadership Training. He covers companies in the Nigerian corporate space, especially those listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). He also has a keen interest in new frontiers like Cryptocurrencies and Fintech. In his spare time, he loves to read books on finance, fiction as well as keep up with happenings in the world of international diplomacy. You can contact him via onome.ohwovoriole@nairametrics.com

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