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Word on the street: Lafarge, United Capital and MTN

If you have a stake, invest, or plan to invest on the Nigerian Stock Exchange, NASD, and like scoops, then this newsletter is for you.

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Welcome to our Word On The Street Newsletter. This newsletter takes you behind the curtains and into some of the major talking points, snippets, back stories and behind-the-scenes intelligence that affect the value of your position in the stock market. Do well to sign-up for our mailing list to get more exciting Newsletters.

If you have a stake, invest, or plan to invest on the Nigerian Stock Exchange, NASD, and like scoops, then this newsletter is for you. We send this out to our subscribers every Sunday, on or before 2 pm.

We love feedback, so do not hesitate to share any useful tips or comments that we can use to improve this newsletter. And lest we forget, if you have any useful scoop that can help this newsletter get even richer, do not hesitate to tell us. Just send an email to [email protected]. Rest assured of your confidentiality.


On Custom Street

The Nigerian All-Share Index closed the week on a negative note, shedding 0.29%. Stocks are now 4.3% down in June, 2.6% up in the last 6 months, and 15.8% up from a year ago.

Somehow, you get the feeling that we are gradually hitting the bottom in the foreign investor induced sell-off that has gripped the market in the last 10 weeks. Stocks are beginning to appear cheap again, and as we approach the end of another quarter, next week is looking like the best period to double down on bargain hunting for cheap stocks.

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No love for Lafarge

We read two interesting reports last week that seem to condemn Lafarge to the laundry bin of stocks you probably need to dispose of. According to an ARM Research published on Nairametrics, the stock was downgraded to a sell and Lafarge was valued at N34 despite commentary about an “improvement in fundamentals, mainly from higher volumes, energy savings and lower finance cost.” According to ARM, the reason for the downgrade was due to its excessive valuation.

Stanbic, just like ARM, believes that Lafarge’s fundamentals are not bad and forecast an increase in volume during the year. However, they are worried about their huge debts and attendant interest costs, giving them enough reason to assign a sell rating to the stock. Stanbic believes that Lafarge should be sold at N43. The stock closed the week at N39; it last traded within the N43 range back in April.

Positive vibes

A report on Bloomberg during the week quoted analysts from Templeton (a major emerging market investment company) revealing that they were positive about keeping their investments in emerging markets like Nigeria. According to Templeton, the investors believe that higher oil prices will help keep the exchange rate stable, despite other emerging market currencies taking a beating as investors desert. For most foreign investors, exchange rate remains their major concern and so long as there is risk that it could depreciate, they will continue to toy with our market.

So, for this market to continue to attract hot money (Foreign Portfolio Investments), oil prices need to climb, or at least remain stable, while the CBN demonstrates the capability to defend the naira. You shouldn’t, therefore, be surprised when the CBN Governor occasionally grants interviews thumping up his determination to keep liquidity flowing in the Investor Exporter window, while warning banks and BDCs to ensure that they don’t drive up the price by engaging in hoarding and round-tripping.

No Prestige

Penny stocks have plenty of issues and it is petrifying to think that maybe the managers of these companies don’t think that someone is watching them. Take the case of Prestige Assurance Plc. Just a few weeks back, they announced that they were planning a share reconstruction.

They eventually got their wish and had the stock formerly placed on full suspension from Wednesday, 23 May 2018 to Wednesday, 6 June 2018, to enable the Registrars to update the register of members. To our profound surprise, the company issued a press release on the website of the Nigerian Stock Exchange informing it that it was planning an AGM among which they will discuss a possible bonus issue!!

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Just in case you are new to stocks, a share reconstruction involves a reduction in the number of shares which a company has. They often do this, either because they believe the shares outstanding is too much and expensive to manage, or wish to theoretically boost their share price by reducing the number of shares outstanding. It is therefore shocking that the company will be considering to issue bonus shares which inadvertently means they will be bloating their share register yet again.

An Exit and some trades in the “family”

Last week, the erudite CEO of United Capital, Toyin Sanni announced that she was resigning from the company. Madam Toyin is well respected in the industry and is one of the CEOs we admire quite much at Nairametrics. Word on the street suggests that she is going into her own private business and could be launching something big quite soon.

Just as she was announcing her exit, we noticed large trades in United Capital and Afri Prudential Stocks. We reached out to a few of our contacts to decipher what was going on and if there was a reason to panic. From what we gathered, a majority shareholder (I am guessing you know who by now) in both companies was “moving things around” their portfolio being part of a strategic business decision. It’s basically Mr/Mrs. A moving shares in their SPV1 to SPV 2.

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MTN Rumours

As we await the big MTN IPO, word on the street suggests that they are looking to raise about $500 million. Probably not true considering that they are currently raising about $741 million. No date has been fixed yet for this IPO but it appears that it could take place sometime in late July/Early August.

We also gather that they could be looking to place about 30% of their shares as free float, which is a welcome liquidity for our very shallow stock market. MTN has also been equipping its Investor Relations Unit ahead of this Nigerian IPO and we hear that they are determined to make this a massive success.  

Smart CWG

Computer Warehouse Group, one of the few tech companies listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange, announced last week that it had been selected as one of the Meter Asset Providers by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC). Being a MAP means that CWG can now finance, procure, install, repair and even replace electricity meters.

According to CWG, it “initiated and designed a ‘Smart Metering Solution’ which works in the form of a connected mobile app for electricity consumers – both the Maximum Demand Customers (MDCs) and the Non-maximum Demand Customers (NDCs).”

CWG claims that its solution can help “power Distribution Companies to detect power theft, monitor and measure usage for improved power efficiencies.” Energy theft costs power companies over N12 billion monthly, by our estimates.  

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While all of this sounds good and points to a potential revenue stream for the company, word on the street suggests that CWG does not have the capital to execute this task (well, at least currently). With less than N300 million in the bank (as at 2018 Q1) and a net asset of just N1.5 billion, one wonders how they will seize this opportunity.

Perhaps they might turn to bank lending, seeing as they do not have external loans on their balance sheet. It is also interesting to note that CWG Software Business was worth just N781 million in 2017, down from N1.4 billion in 2016. The company makes nearly half its N10 billion in revenue from its Managed Support Business were it helps companies with service maintenance and outsourcing.

World Cup and Stocks

Ever wondered how Nigerian stocks perform during World Cups? Our research team looked at how stocks performed at the end of the world cup with focus on the month of July of every world cup year. Here is what we found out.

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To think that Nigeria missed out on the 2006 World Cup.

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Nairametrics is Nigeria's top business news and financial analysis website. We focus on providing resources that help small businesses and retail investors make better investing decisions. Nairametrics is updated daily by a team of professionals. Post updated as "Nairametrics" are published by our Editorial Board.

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Company Results

Sterling Bank reveals N215 billion sequestered by CBN as CRR Debits

Sterling Bank Plc, one of Nigeria’s tier 2 banks reported that the Central Bank of Nigeria’s CBN restricted about N215.5 billion of its customer deposits as of June 2020.

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Sterling Bank

Sterling Bank Plc, one of Nigeria’s tier 2 banks reported that the Central Bank of Nigeria’s CBN restricted about N215.5 billion of its customer deposits as of June 2020.

The bank reported this in its 2020 half-year interim results published on the website of the Nigerian Stock Exchange. According to the data, Sterling Bank’s confirmed the amount of its customer deposits now held by the CBN is about N215.5 billion and explained it “represent mandatory reserve deposits and are not available for use in the bank’s day-to-day operations” which can be interpreted as Cash Reserve Requirement “CRR”.

READ ALSO: CBN debits banks another N459.7 billion for failure to meet CRR target

Sterling Bank Data

  • Deposits from Customers – N915.3b (N892. 6billion)
  • Loans to customers – N615 billion (Dec 2019: N618.7 billion)
  • Sterling Bank CRR – N215.5 billion (Dec 2019: N122.1 billion)
  • Sterling Bank got debited N93 billion so far this year
  • This breaks down to about N71.1 billion and N21.9 billion debited in the first and second quarters respectively.
  • CRR as a percentage of deposits as at June 2020 – 23.5%

READ MORE: As AMCON nears possible ‘liquidation’, what should we expect?

CBN CRR Policy

The central bank of Nigeria increased its cash reserve requirement (CRR) to 27.5% from 22.5% at the monetary policy committee meeting held on January 23rd to 24th. The CRR is the amount the CBN debits from banks accounts in compliance with its monetary policy objective of mandatorily keeping cash on behalf of banks. The amount is not available for banks to use.

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Sterling Bank Results

The Bank also published its 2020 second-quarter results showing net interest income was up 16% to N18 billion.

  • Pre-tax profits also rose 24% YoY to N3.3 billion despite the Covid-19 pandemic induced economic lockdowns.
  • Despite the improved profits, the bank did report a spike in its provisions for impairments jumping almost 3 folds to N5.3 billion.
  • To put this into context, Sterling Bank suffered an impairment of N5.8 billion in the whole of 2019.
  • Sterling Bank’s cost to income ratio remains high at about 86%.

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Currencies

Daily Parallel Market exchange rate – ₦475/$1

The US dollar closed at ₦475/US$1 in the parallel market

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Forex, NIGERIA: Daily Parallel Market, Exchange Rate

The exchange rate between the naira and the US dollar as of Wednesday, August 12th 2020 closed at 475/US$1 in the parallel market. The exchange rate closed at 485/US$1 on Tuesday 11th August 2020.

  • Naira:475
  • Dollar: $1
  • Date: August 12th, 2020

The exchange rate between the naira and the British pound sterling closed at  ₦575/₤1 on Wednesday 12th August as against ₦584/₤1 recorded on Tuesday 11th August 2020.

  • Naira: ₦575
  • Pounds Sterling: ₤1
  • Date: August 12th, 2020

Explore Economic Research Data From Nairametrics on Nairalytics

The exchange rate between the naira and the European euro closed at ₦530/€1 on Wednesday 12th August 2020. The exchange rate also closed at ₦535/€1 on Tuesday 11th August 2020.

  • Naira: ₦530
  • Euro: €1
  • Date: August 12th, 2020

Activity: USD closed at 475/US$1 in the parallel market

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READ ALSO: The risk of buying Forex at black market rate of N460/$1 

DateCurrencyBuy(AM)Sell(AM)Buy(PM)Sell(PM)Volatility
08/12/2020Dollar470475470475Low
08/12/2020Pounds570575570575Low
08/12/2020Euro520530520530Low
08/11/2020Dollar477485477485Low
08/11/2020Pounds572584572584Low
08/11/2020Euro510523520535Low
08/10/2020Dollar477485477485Low
08/10/2020Pounds572584572584Low
08/10/2020Euro510523520535High
08/07/2020Dollar475486475486Low
08/07/2020Pounds578585578585Low
08/07/2020Euro536550536550Low
08/06/2020Dollar470480475486Low
08/06/2020Pounds575587578585Low
08/06/2020Euro534545536550Low
08/05/2020Dollar465475473483Low
08/05/2020Pounds570580575587Low
08/05/2020Euro525540532545Low
08/04/2020Dollar470480470480Low
08/04/2020Pounds560570560570Low
08/04/2020Euro520530520530Low
08/03/2020Dollar470480470480Low
08/03/2020Pounds560570560570Low
08/03/2020Euro520530520530Low
7/31/2020Dollar470480470485High
7/31/2020Pounds570582575585Low
7/31/2020Euro500520505520Low
7/30/2020Dollar470490470485High
7/30/2020Pounds550570550580High
7/30/2020Euro495520500525High
7/29/2020Dollar468475467475Low
7/29/2020Pounds575585580590Low
7/29/2020Euro530540530545Low
7/28/2020Dollar469475467475Low
7/28/2020Pounds575593580595Low
7/28/2020Euro550560540550Low
7/27/2020Dollar465473466473Low
7/27/2020Pounds570580575583Low
7/27/2020Euro510520515530Low
7/24/2020Dollar465472464472Low
7/24/2020Pounds570580572582Low
7/24/2020Euro510520505520Low
7/23/2020Dollar460472465472Low
7/23/2020Pounds565575565580Low
7/23/2020Euro510520505520Low
7/22/2020Dollar465472465472Low
7/22/2020Pounds565575560578Low
7/22/2020Euro510525510528Low
7/21/2020Dollar461472462472Low
7/21/2020Pounds560573560575Low
7/21/2020Euro498515500520Low
7/20/2020Dollar460473462473Low
7/20/2020Pounds550570555575Low
7/20/2020Euro495505500510Low
7/17/2020Dollar462470460470Low
7/17/2020Pounds560570558570Low
7/17/2020Euro490500490500Low
7/16/2020Dollar460470460470Low
7/16/2020Pounds558565560570Low
7/16/2020Euro485495485499Low
7/15/2020Dollar455465455470Low
7/15/2020Pounds560565558570Low
7/15/2020Euro485495488498Low
7/14/2020Dollar448462455470Low
7/14/2020Pounds540550557570Low
7/14/2020Euro485495489498Low
7/13/2020Dollar450460448462Low
7/13/2020Pounds540550540550Low
7/13/2020Euro485495485495Low
07/10/2020Dollar453460458465Low
07/10/2020Pounds520525550555High
07/10/2020Euro465467510520High
07/09/2020Dollar455461455463Low
07/09/2020Pounds550558550562Low
07/09/2020Euro495504498505Low
07/08/2020Dollar455461455461Low
07/08/2020Pounds550558550558Low
07/08/2020Euro495504495504Low
07/07/2020Dollar455461455461Low
07/07/2020Pounds550558550558Low
07/07/2020Euro495502495502Low
07/06/2020Dollar455462455461Low
07/06/2020Pounds550562547555Low
07/06/2020Euro495502496502Low
07/03/2020Dollar455462454461Low
07/03/2020Pounds548560550560Low
07/03/2020Euro495505495502Low
07/02/2020Dollar455462454461Low
07/02/2020Pounds548560550560Low
07/02/2020Euro495505495502Low
07/01/2020Dollar455462455462Low
07/01/2020Pounds548560548560Low
07/01/2020Euro495505495505Low
6/30/2020Dollar452460452460Low
6/30/2020Pounds547560547560Low
6/30/2020Euro495505495505Low
6/29/2020Dollar450460450460Low
6/29/2020Pounds547560547560Low
6/29/2020Euro495505495505Low
6/26/2020Dollar452457452460Low
6/26/2020Pounds547557547560Low
6/26/2020Euro490498490502Low
6/25/2020Dollar452457450455Low
6/25/2020Pounds547557547560Low
6/25/2020Euro490498490499Low
6/24/2020Dollar450460450455Low
6/24/2020Pounds545555545555Low
6/24/2020Euro490495488498Low
6/23/2020Dollar450460445455Low
6/23/2020Pounds545555545555Low
6/23/2020Euro490495490495Low
6/22/2020Dollar450455450455Low
6/22/2020Pounds545555545555Low
6/22/2020Euro488498488498Low
6/19/2020Dollar445455445455Low
6/19/2020Pounds540553540553Low
6/19/2020Euro480490480490Low
6/18/2020Dollar445452445452Low
6/18/2020Pounds537550537550Low
6/18/2020Euro475490475490Low
6/17/2020Dollar445452445452Low
6/17/2020Pounds540553537550Low
6/17/2020Euro475490475490Low
6/16/2020Dollar440450445452Low
6/16/2020Pounds540550540553Low
6/16/2020Euro475485475490Low
6/15/2020Dollar440450440450Low
6/15/2020Pounds540550540550Low
6/15/2020Euro475485475485Low
06/12/2020Dollar440450440450Low
06/12/2020Pounds538550538550Low
06/12/2020Euro470485470485Low
06/11/2020Pounds538550538550Low
06/11/2020Dollar440450440450Low
06/11/2020Euro470485470485Low
06/10/2020Pounds538550540553Low
06/10/2020Dollar440450445452Low
06/10/2020Euro470485475490Low
06/09/2020Pounds538550540550Low
06/09/2020Dollar440450440450Low
06/09/2020Euro470485475485Low
06/08/2020Pounds540550540550Low
06/08/2020Dollar440450440450Low
06/08/2020Euro475485475485Low
06/05/2020Pounds535545535545Low
06/05/2020Dollar440450440450Low
06/05/2020Euro460472460472Low
06/04/2020Pounds530543530543Low
06/04/2020Dollar440447440447Low
06/04/2020Euro460470460470Low
06/03/2020Pounds530540530540Low
06/03/2020Dollar440445440445Low
06/03/2020Euro460470460470Low
06/02/2020Pounds535545535545Low
06/02/2020Dollar440450440450Low
06/02/2020Euro460472460472Low
06/01/2020Pounds530543530543Low
06/01/2020Dollar440447440447Low
06/01/2020Euro460470460470Low
5/29/2020Pounds530540530540Low
5/29/2020Dollar440445440445Low
5/29/2020Euro460470460470Low
5/28/2020Pounds535545535545Low
5/28/2020Dollar440450440450Low
5/28/2020Euro460472460472Low
5/27/2020Pounds530543530543Low
5/27/2020Dollar440447440447Low
5/27/2020Euro460470460470Low
5/26/2020Pounds530540530540Low
5/26/2020Dollar440445440445Low
5/26/2020Euro460470460470Low
5/25/2020Pounds535545535545Low
5/25/2020Dollar440450440450Low
5/25/2020Euro460472460472Low
5/22/2020Pounds530543530543Low
5/22/2020Dollar440447440447Low
5/22/2020Euro460470460470Low
5/21/2020Pounds530545530545Low
5/21/2020Dollar450460450460Low
5/21/2020Euro460470460470Low
5/20/2020Pounds530550530550Low
5/20/2020Dollar445460445460Low
5/20/2020Euro450470450470Low
5/19/2020Pounds528540528540Low
5/19/2020Dollar445460445460Low
5/19/2020Euro450465450465Low
5/18/2020Pounds528540528540Low
5/18/2020Dollar445460445460Low
5/18/2020Euro450465450465Low
5/15/2020Pounds530540525535Low
5/15/2020Dollar435450440455Low
5/15/2020Euro450460450465Low
5/14/2020Pounds530540530540Low
5/14/2020Dollar435450435450Low
5/14/2020Euro450460450460Low
5/13/2020Pounds525535525535Low
5/13/2020Dollar430450430450Low
5/13/2020Euro440455440455Low
05/12/2020Pounds525535525535Low
05/12/2020Dollar435450435450Low
05/12/2020Euro445455445455Low
05/11/2020Pounds510530525535Low
05/11/2020Dollar430445435445Low
05/11/2020Euro440450445455Low
05/08/2020Pounds510530510530Low
05/08/2020Dollar425437430445Low
05/08/2020Euro425440440450Low
05/07/2020Pounds510530510530Low
05/07/2020Dollar425437425437Low
05/07/2020Euro425440425440Low
05/06/2020Pounds510520510520Low
05/06/2020Dollar425437425437Low
05/06/2020Euro430450430450Low
05/05/2020Pounds510525510525Low
05/05/2020Dollar410430420430Low
05/05/2020Euro425435425435Low
05/04/2020Pounds500510510525Low
05/04/2020Dollar435450410430Low
05/04/2020Euro430440425435Low
05/01/2020Pounds500510500510Low
05/01/2020Dollar435450435450Low
05/01/2020Euro430445430445Low
4/30/2020Pounds500510500510Low
4/30/2020Dollar435450435450Low
4/30/2020Euro430445430445Low
4/29/2020Pounds500520500520Low
4/29/2020Dollar440460440460Low
4/29/2020Euro450465450465Low
4/28/2020Pounds495510500520Low
4/28/2020Dollar430450440460Low
4/28/2020Euro435450435450Low
4/27/2020Pounds495510495510Low
4/27/2020Dollar430450430450Low
4/27/2020Euro435450435450Low
4/24/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/24/2020Dollar428450428450Low
4/24/2020Euro430440430440Low
4/23/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/23/2020Dollar420430420430Low
4/23/2020Euro425435425435Low
4/22/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/22/2020Dollar420425420430Low
4/22/2020Euro425435425435Low
4/21/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/21/2020Dollar420430420430Low
4/21/2020Euro425435425435Low
4/20/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/20/2020Dollar420430420430Low
4/20/2020Euro425435425435Low
4/17/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/17/2020Dollar420430420430Low
4/17/2020Euro425435425435Low
4/16/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/16/2020Dollar420430420430Low
4/16/2020Euro425435425435Low
4/15/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/15/2020Dollar420430420430Low
4/15/2020Euro425435425435Low
4/14/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/14/2020Dollar420430420430Low
4/14/2020Euro425435425435Low
4/13/2020Pounds490500490500Low
4/13/2020Dollar420430420430Low
4/13/2020Euro425435425435Low
04/10/2020Pounds490505490505Low
04/10/2020Dollar420430420430Low
04/10/2020Euro425435425435Low
04/09/2020Pounds490505490505Low
04/09/2020Dollar420430420430Low
04/09/2020Euro425435425435Low
04/08/2020Pounds490500490500Low
04/08/2020Dollar420430420430Low
04/08/2020Euro425435425435Low
04/07/2020Pounds490500490500Low
04/07/2020Dollar420430420430Low
04/07/2020Euro425435425435Low
04/06/2020Pounds492497492497Low
04/06/2020Dollar402412402412Low
04/06/2020Euro410415410415Low
04/03/2020Pounds485490492497Low
04/03/2020Dollar400410402412Low
04/03/2020Euro410415410415Low
04/02/2020Pounds485490485490Low
04/02/2020Dollar400410400410Low
04/02/2020Euro410415410415Low
04/01/2020Pounds480485480485Low
04/01/2020Dollar395400395400Low
04/01/2020Euro407412407412Low
3/31/2020Pounds480485480485Low
3/31/2020Dollar395400395400Low
3/31/2020Euro407412407412Low
3/30/2020Pounds480485480485Low
3/30/2020Dollar390395395400Low
3/30/2020Euro407412407412Low
3/27/2020Pounds480485480485Low
3/27/2020Dollar385390390395Low
3/27/2020Euro405410407412Low
3/26/2020Pounds480485480485Low
3/26/2020Dollar385390385390Low
3/26/2020Euro405410405410Low
3/25/2020Pounds475480480485Low
3/25/2020Dollar380385385390Low
3/25/2020Euro400405405410Low
3/24/2020Pounds475480475480Low
3/24/2020Dollar380385380385Low
3/24/2020Euro400405400405Low
3/23/2020Pounds474478474478Low
3/23/2020Dollar380385380385Low
3/23/2020Euro400403400403Low
3/20/2020Pounds475480475480Low
3/20/2020Dollar370375365367Low
3/20/2020Euro395400395400Low
3/19/2020Pounds475480475480Low
3/19/2020Dollar370375370375Low
3/19/2020Euro395400395400Low
3/18/2020Pounds471475471475Low
3/18/2020Dollar370375370375Low
3/18/2020Euro390395390395Low
3/17/2020Pounds470475470475Low
3/17/2020Dollar375380375380Low
3/17/2020Euro400403400403Low
3/16/2020Pounds470475470475Low
3/16/2020Dollar370375370375Low
3/16/2020Euro400403400403Low
3/13/2020Pounds470475470475Low
3/13/2020Dollar372377372377Low
3/13/2020Euro400403400403Low
03/12/2020Pounds475485490495High
03/12/2020Dollar365380375404High
03/12/2020Euro405412410420Low
03/11/2020Pounds470475475485Low
03/11/2020Dollar360366365375Low
03/11/2020Euro387403405412Low
03/10/2020Pounds468472470475Low
03/10/2020Dollar358360360362Low
03/10/2020Euro390398387403Low
03/09/2020Pounds468472468472Low
03/09/2020Dollar358360358360Low
03/09/2020Euro392398392398Low
03/06/2020Pounds468472468472Low
03/06/2020Dollar358360358360Low
03/06/2020Euro390398390398Low
03/05/2020Pounds468472468472Low
03/05/2020Dollar358360358360Low
03/05/2020Euro390397390397Low
03/04/2020Pounds468473468473Low
03/04/2020Dollar358360358360Low
03/04/2020Euro387392387392Low
03/03/2020Pounds468472468472Low
03/03/2020Dollar358360358360Low
03/03/2020Euro387392387392Low
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Data is collated from various black market dealers on the mainland and island of Lagos State where forex is sold. The price quoted daily on this page represents the average price obtained by our Research Team. Our prices are a guide and could be slightly different from the price you get when you eventually decide to buy or sell. This is a daily tracker and updated close of business. See table below for parallel market exchange rate dating to 2019.

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Currencies

Exchange rate stabilizes as market adjust to new devaluation regime

The Naira remained stable again against the dollar to close at N475/$1 on Tuesday.

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FOREX, Dollar scarcity worsens as exchange rate falls to N472/$1 at black market 

Nigeria’s exchange rate at the NAFEX window remained stable to close at N385.50 during intraday trading on Tuesday, August 11, 2020. In a similar development, the exchange rate at the parallel market remained stable for a second consecutive trading day on Tuesday as it closed at N475/$1 after exchanging for as high as N485/$1.

READ ALSO: Exchange rate falls across the forex markets as CBN devalues the naira

Market Watch

Parallel Market: At the black market where forex is traded unofficially, the Naira remained stable again against the dollar to close at N475/$1 on Tuesday, according to information from Abokifx, a prominent FX tracking website. This was the same rate that it exchanged on Monday, August 10.

READ ALSO: Naira falls to N475/$1, another new low as exchange rate disparity widens

NAFEX: The Naira remained stable against the dollar at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window on Tuesday, closing at N385.50/$1.

GTBank 728 x 90
  • This was the same rate that was reported on the last trading day, Monday, August 10.
  • The opening indicative rate was N386.20 to a dollar on Tuesday. This represents a 3 kobo drop when compared to the N386.17 to a dollar that was recorded on Monday.
  • The Naira fell to as high as N387 during intraday trading before strengthening to the closed rate of N385.50. It also sold for as low as N380/$1 during intraday trading.

Forex is sold at several prices and at different times during the day.

READ ALSO: Naira gains at the NAFEX window as market liquidity improves

Forex Turnover: Meanwhile, forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window improved significantly on Tuesday, August 11, 2020, as it rose by  705% day on day.

  • According to the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ, forex turnover rose from $3.97 million on Monday, August 10, 2020, to $31.96 million on Tuesday, August 11, 2020.
  • The forex turnover for the day although improved significantly from the previous trading day, still remained low. This just as dollar supply has remained very weak.
  • The average forex sale for last week was about $50.6 million which is an improvement on the $32 million that was recorded the previous week. FX turnover which hit a record low of $3.97 million, recorded a significant improvement but is still a far cry from the over $200 million turnover that was recorded in January.
  • Total forex trading at the NAFEX window in the month of July was $937 million compared to $875 million in June.
  • The exchange rate disparity between the official NAFEX rate and the black-market rate is still as wide as N89.5. Nigeria maintains multiple exchange rates comprising the CBN official rate, the BDC rates, SMIS, and the NAFEX (I&E window). The wide disparity between the 2 rates has created huge arbitrage opportunities for some highly connected individuals.

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Exchange rate unification remains on the cards and yet to be implemented weeks after the central bank governor confirmed it will be executed.

The foreign exchange market appears to be getting used to the recent adjustment of the official exchange rate by the Central Bank of Nigeria.

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