Connect with us
nairametrics

Companies

Analysis: Dangote Sugar, Buy Sell or Hold

Published

on

ARM| Over 2016, Dangote Sugar Refinery Plc. (DSR) reported an upsurge in earnings despite lingering pressures: currency weakness, elevated raw sugar prices and higher energy cost. Solid earnings reflected the steep hike in refined sugar prices as well as volumes resilience hinged on the largely non-discretionary nature of DSR’s product. In addition, the company improved its financial efficiency by refinancing its expensive debt with CBN’s concessionary borrowings which, together with support from higher revaluation gains on biological assets, capped an impressive year for the company. In view of this, the company raised its DPS to N0.60 (2015: N0.50).

Price hike tempers elevated cost pressures: Over 2016, DSR faced sizable input cost pressures as steep naira depreciation combined with bullish raw sugar prices (+40% YoY) to drive cost of raw materials nearly two-fold higher YoY. Faced with sizable input cost pressure, DSR responded by hiking refined sugar prices 68% YoY (9M 16: +36.3% YoY) to N10,900/50kg bag on average. Though volume growth consequently suffered in the final quarter of the year (YoY: 9M 16: +16%, Q4 16: -33%), overall sales in the year was flat at 778.5KMT to leave DSR’s top-line printing at a record high of N169.7 billion over FY 16.

Financial efficiency and one-off gains support earnings growth: In a bid to minimize margin compression, DSR substituted its more expensive inter-company loan (interest rate at 13.5% per annum) with concessionary CBN financing (9% per annum). Aided by improved cash position, stemming from efficient working capital management, the company reported net finance income of N302 million vs. net interest charge of N653 million in FY 2015. In addition, the company reported a more than two-fold YoY rise in fair value adjustments on biological asset reflecting improved yield and longer tenor life. Consequently, mainly riding pass-through from strong top-line growth, DSR reported its fastest earnings growth in four years.

Price support to leave earnings in green zone: Going forward, whilst we expect volumes to track lower (FY 17E: -13% YoY to 674KMT) as corporate institutional clients seek cheaper alternatives, revenue should maintain its upswing on the back of higher prices. Aided by the impact of stronger naira (at the parallel market) on COGS, cheaper borrowings, as well as improved cash position, we expect earnings (+13% YoY to N16.3 billion) to rise for the second consecutive year in 2017.

DSR trades at a current P/E of 6.4x vs. 16.4x for Bloomberg Middle East & Africa peers. The stock has gained 0.16% YTD (Food: -7.3% YTD, NGSE: -4.6%) with last trading price of N6.12 at a 32% discount to our FVE of (N8.08). We have a BUY rating.

GTBank 728 x 90

Nairametrics is Nigeria's top business news and financial analysis website. We focus on providing resources that help small businesses and retail investors make better investing decisions. Nairametrics is updated daily by a team of professionals. Post updated as "Nairametrics" are published by our Editorial Board.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Companies

Dangote delays London Stock Exchange listing

Dangote Cement Plc isn’t expected to attempt a U.K. initial public offering until at least 2023.

Published

on

Aliko Dangote rallies private sector operators against COVID-19, 10 fantastic things Aliko Dangote has done in the last 10 years

Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote, is once again delaying plans to list Nigeria’s second most capitalized company on the London Stock Exchange, rather choosing other options like boosting exports and the Nigerian company’s foreign-exchange reserves in a report credited to Bloomberg.

Dangote Cement Plc, Africa’s biggest producer of building material isn’t expected to attempt a U.K. initial public offering until at least 2023, Temilade Aduroja, Head of Investor Relations, at the Lagos-based company, said by email.

READ: Dangote Cement’s faltering pan-African operations is taking its toll 

READ: Access Bank N15bn green bond set to be the first cross listing ensuing from NSE-LuxSE partnership

“The London listing is not something which will happen in the short to medium term. We are focused on our export strategy and increasing our foreign-currency revenue,” he said.

GTBank 728 x 90

Dangote, a major shareholder of Dangote Cement, with a net worth of more than $14 billion has longed for the company to have a secondary London Stock Exchange listing to diversify its holding and gain more leverage to cheaper funds on international markets.

READ: Rocket Internet sells stake in Jumia, as eCommerce firm struggles with post-IPO scandal

READ: Afreximbank forced to postpone IPO plan in London; here’s why 

Deal book 300 x 250
GTBank 728 x 90

Aliko Dangote said in 2018 that the listing would happen the following year (2019), only for Brian Egan, former Chief Financial Officer, to state that 2020 was more likely.

More detail later as the story is developing…

Continue Reading

Companies

NB Plc to raise additional N20 billion from its N100 billion Commercial Paper

Nigerian Breweries has announced the continuation of its N100 billion Commercial Paper (CP) Issuance Programme.

Published

on

dividend, Nigerian Breweries reports reduced profits for first three quarters of 2019 , Analysis: Nigeria Breweries, the glory days are gone, Nigerian Breweries to raise additional N20 billion from its N100 billion CP programme

Nigerian Breweries has announced the continuation of its N100 billion Commercial Paper (CP) Issuance Programme in a bid to raise up to N20 billion to support its short term funding needs. The company has launched Series 9 and 10 of the programme for this purpose.

This information was disclosed in a notification signed by the Company’s Secretary, Uaboi G. Agbebaku, and sent to the Nigerian Stock Exchange.

The notification reads;

“[Nigerian Breweries Plc] is pleased to inform the Nigerian Stock Exchange and the investing public of the continuation of its “CP” (Commercial Paper) programme with the launch of Series 9 and 10 of the programme.

“Series 9 of the Commercial Paper programme would be for a tenor of 180 days, while Series 10 would be for 270 days. However, the launch of the CP opens today 23rd October 2020.”

GTBank 728 x 90

(READ MORE:Nigerian Breweries stock up by 58% since August )

What you should know

According to data obtained from Financial Market Dealers Quote (FMDQ), Nigerian Breweries has raised up to N90.12 billion since the start of the year.

Deal book 300 x 250
GTBank 728 x 90
  • N52.76 billion was raised from Series 6 between February 12 to November 6, 2020.
  • N13.03 billion was raised from Series 7 from April 15 to October 14, 2020.
  • N24.33 billion was raised from Series 8 from April 15 to January 8, 2021.
  • The recent issuance of the Series 9 and 10 CP will bring the total funds raised to N110.12 billion.

Why it matters

  • The CP will help the company navigate through the recent impact of COVID-19 and other trade disruptions.
  • The programme will strengthen the balance sheet of the company, and enable the brewer to execute its plans while delivering value to customers and creating wealth for shareholders,
  • In like manner, the CP programme is expected to provide opportunities for non-equity investors to invest in the company and support its cost management initiatives.

Continue Reading

Companies

MTN shareholders have made approximately N1 trillion since April 2020

Shareholders of MTN Nigeria gained close to a trillion naira in less than 7 months.

Published

on

MTN Nigeria, MTN Nigeria Communications Plc. begins N100 billion commercial paper issuance today, MTN Nigeria Communications Plc: increase in other income, others boost revenues.

MTN Nigeria shareholders have gained N986.58 billion since the first trading session in April 2020.

This was uncovered by calculating the difference in the telecommunication giant’s market capitalization of ₦1.832 trillion at the open of trade, for the first trading session in the month of April 2020, and the market capitalization of ₦2.646 trillion at the close of trade in the first trading session in the month of October.

READ: Shell to cut 9,000 jobs globally due to oil price crash as it shifts to clean energy

This gives a whopping N814 billion increase in market capitalization, and this with the dividend the company has paid to shareholders on two occasions between this time period, brings the total gains both realized and unrealized to approximately N1 trillion.

READ: FUGAZ; Nigerian banks considered too big to fail

GTBank 728 x 90

Hence, the N814 billion increase in market capitalization translates to the joint gains MTN investors have made from the increase in the shares of the company, as the share price of the company has increased by 44.44% or ₦40.00 between April 1, 2020, and October 2, 2020, with the share price of increasing from ₦90.00 to ₦130.00.

However, the gains MTN NG investors have made from their investments in the telecommunication company, is not limited to the gains driven by the increase in the price of the shares.

READ: World Bank says Nigerian banks are at risk of being destabilised by COVID-19

Deal book 300 x 250
GTBank 728 x 90

Recall that the company declared payment of dividends to its shareholders on two occasions, as investors/shareholders of the company, whose names appear in the Register of Members, as of the close of business on April 17, 2020 and August 14, 2020 were paid a cumulative dividend per share of ₦8.47, for all the outstanding shares of 20,354,513,050 held by the shareholders, and this translates to a total dividend payout of N171 billion by the company to its shareholders.

It is noteworthy that the realized and unrealized gains MTN investors have made from holding the shares over this period stands at N986.58 billion.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement
ikeja electric
Advertisement
Advertisement
Patricia
act markets
Advertisement
FCMB ads
Advertisement
IZIKJON
Advertisement
Fidelity ads
act markets
Advertisement
first bank
Advertisement
bitad
Advertisement
Stallion ads
Advertisement
financial calculator
Advertisement
deals book
Advertisement
app
Advertisement