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This Investment Firm Believes The Dollar Is Worth N370

Will they get their wish?

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Nairametrics| The announcement last week of a new forex policy by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), coupled with the injection of over $600 million during the week,has crashed parallel market rates from as high as N525 to about N450.

We reported last week that the CBN plans to narrow this margin to as low ad 10% and could pave the way for a float. This narrative seems to be gaining traction with some analysts and surprisingly they now opined that the Naira is valued below N400.

For example in a report released by Renaissance Capital (Rencap) Limited, it reasoned that despite the current combination of crude oil price increase, improved crude oil production and the new forex policy stimulating the country’s external reserves to new highs and reducing the gap between official rates and parallel market rates, a full float would earn the country much-needed FDI.

“We think N450-500/$ would attract investors even without $20 billion of cheap International Monetary Fund (IMF)-led financing. One of our Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) models – the 22-year model which corresponds to a period when oil averaged $55/bl – implies fair value for the naira at N370/$, which via inflation should become N400/$ by end-2017.”

“At the parallel rate of NGN500/$, Nigeria has the cheapest currency in Africa, and even at NGN450/$ it would still rival Egypt at EGP15.8/$1 (the third cheapest in Africa). Given this, a full float of the currency would likely attract billions of dollars to Nigeria, similar to how Egypt has attracted $9 billion since its float in November.

“The vast majority of Nigerian and foreign potential investors ignored Nigeria in 2016 due to exchange rate difficulties, but rising oil prices and production (double the 0.9mbpd 2016 lows) suggest some opportunities may emerge in 2017.”

It remains to be seen if the CBN is using the new forex policy as a means of gearing up for an actual full float of the Naira or if this is just another case of temporary CBN intervention. Whichever it is though, what most analysts agree on is that the reduced gap between the official and parallel market rates bodes well for the Nigerian economy.

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Chacha Wabara-Ogbobine is a Legal practitioner with over 9years post call experience. A research Consultant, professional writer and a blogger at heart,owner of four thriving websites with well over 10years of experience.Totally in love with keeping fit and coaching weight loss enthusiasts. I love my quiet time, being with my kids, watching TV series for hours on end.

1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. Josiah Ilori

    February 27, 2017 at 10:22 pm

    Barring international politics, naira should not have been adversely devalued the way it is now! Barely two decades ago, the naira was at par with the dollar! I agree there are issues which bordered on the relegation of the naira to the extent that its value is the second lowest in Africa! Of course, political issues play marginal role in ruining the position of naira, but nevertheless, Nigerians love for foreign commodities have played a major role toward destroying the currency. Lack of interest by individuals and corporate interests have played prominent role in ruining the economy! Corruption, nepotism and tribalism have their own roles in destroying the economy. First and foremost, Nigerians must learn to respect what they have in form of resources, Develop these resources maximally and promote it effectively. Your interest in promoting foreign goods over and above your own will ultimately lead to disaster to your own economy. Let us harness what we have and project it to the outside world as the best we have and the world at large will accept it. A practical example is our refineries which have been underutilized for years. These refineries, if properly managed, should make available to the nation, finished crude oil instead of importing them from the advanced countries. As a matter fact, the foreign exchange to be realised from the import should be phenomenal. Let us appreciate what is ours; develop it, and market it to the outside world. The assurance of enhancing our forex is guaranteed. Let the Central Bank of Nigeria stands to its responsibility by making adequate announcements to the public, with particular reference to the commercial banks. Intermittent announcements may confused the financial institutions by misinterpreting the good intentions of the Central Bank Conclusively, all hands must be on the deck in order to enhance the exchange rate disparity between the U.S. dollar and the naira. The government alone can not do it, Both the private and public sectors must work hand in hand together in order to bring restitution to the economy.

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Appointments

Buhari reappoints Bala Usman as MD of NPA, reconstitutes the Board

President Buhari has approved the reappointment of Hadiza Bala Usman as the MD of the NPA for another term of 5 years.

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NPA discovers new method Apapa businessmen use to avoid port duties

President Muhammadu Buhari has approved the reappointment of Hadiza Bala Usman as the Managing Director of the Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA) for another term of 5 years.

This follows the expected expiration of the tenure of Usman, who was first appointed as the Managing Director on July 12, 2016.

This disclosure is contained in a series of tweet posts which was issued by the Presidency on its official Twitter handle on Thursday. January 21, 2021.

READ: COVID-19: NPA, NCDC disagree over new cases in Lagos

The Presidency in its statement also announced the approval of the reconstitution of the Non-Executive Board of the NPA, with Emmanuel Olajide Adesoye (representing South-West zone) as Chairman.

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The statement from the Presidency partly reads, ‘’President Muhammadu Buhari has approved the re-appointment of Hadiza Bala Usman as Managing Director of Nigerian Ports Authority (NPA), for an additional five-year tenure.

‘’Also approved is the reconstitution of the Non-Executive Board of the NPA, with Emmanuel Adesoye (from South-west zone) as Chairman.’’

READ: Nigerian Aviation: Exchange rate, 7.5% VAT suspension and other factors to determine survival – Experts

Other members of the reconstituted Board include Ekenyem Nwafor-Orizu (representing South-east zone), Akinwunmi Ricketts (representing South-south zone), Ghazali Mijinyawa (representing North-East zone), Mustapha Dutse (representing North-West zone), and Abdulwahab Adesina (representing North-Central zone).

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READ: Haulage cost increases by more than 50% in a week as Apapa gridlock bites harder

What you should know

  • Hadiza Bala Usman was born on January 2, 1976, in Zaria, Kaduna State and has a B.Sc. Business Administration from Ahmadu Bello University (ABU), Zaria and a Post Graduate in Development Studies from University of Leeds, the UK in 2009.
  • She worked at the Bureau of Public Enterprises (BPE) from July 2000 to August 2004 as Enterprise Officer and hired by the UNDP for the Federal Capital Territory Administration (FCTA) from October 2004 to January 2008 as Special Assistant to the Minister on Project Implementation.
  • Ms Bala Usman worked, between 2011 and 2015) as Director of Strategy of the Good Governance Group, a non-governmental organisation founded by Kaduna State State Governor, Nasir El-Rufai, and his friends.
  • Ms Bala Usman, one of the founders and conveners of #BringBackOurGirls, a campaign group pushing for the rescue of the abducted Chibok schoolgirls, was also a member of the Presidential Advisory Council on Anti-Corruption.
  • Prior to her appointment as the Managing Director of Nigerian Ports Authority, she was the Chief of Staff to Governor Nasir  El-Rufai of Kaduna, apposition she was appointed to in 2015.

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Coronavirus

Covid-19: Africa records higher death rate than the global rate

Africa’s coronavirus death rate is now higher than the global average according to Africa CDC.

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Covid-19: African Union in talks with China and Russia over vaccine

Africa’s coronavirus death rate has been reported to be higher than the global average as the continent struggle with a shortage of oxygen and other resources during this second wave of the coronavirus pandemic.

The continent’s fatality rate currently stands at 2.5%, which is higher than the global rate of 2.2%, a departure from earlier in the pandemic, when the death rate in Africa was lower than that at the global level.

READ: African Union secures 270 million Covid-19 vaccine doses from drugmakers

According to a report from Reuters, this disclosure was made by the Director of Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), John Nkengasong, on Thursday, January 21, 2021, during a press conference.

While describing the trend as alarming experts, the continent’s CDC boss pointed out that earlier in the pandemic, Africa’s death rate had been below the global average.

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READ: FG alerts that Nigerian hospitals are running out of facilities as Covid-19 spreads fast

He said, “The case fatality rate is beginning to be very worrying and concerning for all of us.’’

Nkengasong also said that 21 African countries are now recording Covid-19 death rate of above 3% as the number of countries in the continent with a higher fatality rate than the global average continues to grow.

Some of the countries include Egypt, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Liberia, Mali, Sudan and a host of others.

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READ: Covid-19: WHO warns the world faces catastrophic moral failure due to vaccine nationalism

What you should know

  • Africa has so far recorded 3.3 million cases of the coronavirus infections with 82,000 fatalities as at Thursday.
  • These figures represent a small fraction of the global total, but cases have been reported to have increased by 14% each week in the last 1 month.
  • According to data from Africa CDC, over the past week, cases decreased by nearly 7% compared to the previous week while deaths increased by 10%.
  • The continent reported 207,000 new cases in the past week, with South Africa alone reporting 100,000 of those new cases.

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Cryptocurrency

Ex-Real Madrid Striker, David Barral becomes first-ever footballer to be bought with Bitcoin

Former Real Madrid Striker, David Barral has become the first-ever footballer to be bought with Bitcoin.

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Former Real Madrid striker, David Barral, makes transfer history as he became the first-ever professional player to be bought solely with virtual currency, Bitcoin.

Spanish third division side, DUX Internacional de Madrid, simply known as Inter Madrid, has officially signed the 37-year-old after teaming up with their new sponsors, Criptan that deals in cryptocurrency, The SUN reports.

Inter Madrid who are part of DUX gaming, eSports club owned by footballers Borja Iglesias and Real Madrid star, Thibaut Courtois, is yet to disclose the total value of the deal.

The Segunda Division B club went to Twitter to welcome their new signing and thank their sponsor.

“David Barral new player of DUX Internacional de Madrid, welcome to the infinite club! He becomes the first signing in history in cryptocurrencies. Thanks to Criptan, our new sponsor, for making it possible,” the club tweeted.

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The 37-year-old, who made over 50 appearances playing in the Real Madrid reserve side, expressed his delight at his latest move. Barral has also played for Spanish La Liga clubs Sporting Gijon, Levante, and Racing Santander.

“Glad to join the project of @interdemadrid with eager ambition and responsibility to continue competing and achieve important challenges in my sports career,” he wrote on his official Twitter handle.

What you should know

  • A similar deal was when a Harunustaspor, Turkish amateur side, paid 0.0524 Bitcoin (£385) plus 2,500 Turkish Lira in cash (£841) for Omer Faruk Kıroğlu in 2018.
  • Back in December, Carolina Panthers offensive tackle Russell Okung became the first high-profile athlete in the United States to be paid in bitcoin.
  • Similarly, the Mark Cuban-owned Dallas Mavericks became the second NBA franchise to accept Bitcoin as a means of payment for both game tickets and merchandise.

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