Nigerian Pension Funds Continue to Reduce Exposure to Equities


Nairametrics| In a bid to bolster their performance, strengthen their risk management strategies and in response to the lack luster performance of the Nigerian stock market, pension fund managers in Nigeria have increasingly been reducing their exposure to the stock market by allocating less and less of their assets to domestic ordinary shares and more and more to FGN bonds and other fixed income securities.

Analysis of available information conducted by Quantitative Financial Analytics indicates that allocation to domestic ordinary shares has been suffering some reductions month after month since 2013. As at December 2013, 14.58% of pension funds’ assets were invested in domestic ordinary shares, by the same period in 2014, investment in domestic ordinary shares had fallen to 11.79%.

As if that was not enough, by December 2015, pension fund managers reduced their exposure to the stock market by a further 2%, allocating only 9.76% to domestic stock market. The downward spiral continued in December 2016 when just 8.13% of pension fund assets were allocated to domestic ordinary shares only for the sorry allocation to still suffer further reduction in January 2017 to stand at 7.79%.

Source Quantitative Financial analytics/PenCom

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at February 28th, 2017, only 7.45% of pension fund assets was in domestic ordinary shares showing that over the last five years or so, pension funds have reduced their exposure to the domestic stock market by 7.13% and it looks like they are not done yet.

At the other end of the asset allocation spectrum is the tendency for the pension funds to overweight their asset allocation to fixed income securities especially FGN Bonds. As at December 2013, FGN Bonds and Treasury Bills accounted for 58.75% of pension fund assets, but by February 2017, allocation to FGN Bonds and Treasury bills has increased to 72.36%, an increase of 13.61%.

Source: Quantitative Financial analytics/PenCom

Although pension funds have been recording positive returns month after month, (in trickles though), their asset allocation as indicated above is not reminiscent of diversified portfolios and may therefore be sub-optimal. Optimal asset allocation is built on the premise that different asset classes offer returns that are not perfectly correlated and diversifying portfolios across such asset classes helps to optimize risk-adjusted returns. It does appear however that Nigerian pension fund managers’ ability or willingness to diversify is being stymied or fettered by regulatory impediments which specify, among other things, the required maximum allocation to a given asset class.

The importance of asset allocation as a major source of investment returns has been highlighted by researchers and analysts alike. A widely-cited study of pension plan managers has found out that 91.5% of the difference between one portfolio’s performance and another’s are explained by asset allocation. Specifically, in 1986, Gary P. Brinson, CFA, Randolph Hood, and Gilbert L. Beebower posited that asset allocation is the primary determinant of a portfolio’s return variability, with security selection and market timing playing minor roles. Subsequent research results have come to support that assertion and it is hoped that in the near future and subject to the availability of asset classes and within limits of regulatory entanglements, Nigerian pension fund managers will diversify their portfolios optimally.

 

 

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Uche Ndimele

Uchenna Ndimele is the President of Quantitative Financial Analytics Ltd. MutualfundsAfrica.com and mutualfundsnigeria.com (both Quantitative Financial Analytics company website) is a leader in supplying mutual fund information, analysis, and commentary on African mutual funds. We provide reliable fund data; and ratings information that will add value to fund managers, the media, individual investors and investment clubs.

What others say about : Nigerian Pension Funds Continue to Reduce Exposure to Equities..


Anonymous

Sometimes people make comment,then you ask yourself what is the content of the article for ? and what it’s purposes for ? in a kingdom of blind people ,an one eyed man is their king.i have seen this article about 2 days ago.i decided to ignore it,but I did recall ndimele wrote another article,which said for the floating of the naira,so did sanusi.
The truth is I am worried about the ignorance level and the shollowness of such article.you do not need to be a genius Nigerian eqity market is losing value for about 2 years and it is still,and the bulk of the money invested from penson fund did went to stock market,so this article written by uche ndimele does not makes any sense from all angle.
It is all made up and fake or sex-up analysis, designed to acquired and infulences and achieves relevance.oscar onyema the dg of nse, an experienced trader in the money market,he uses to work in new York wall street,you did not seekes his opnion,so is the minister of trade and commerce,another versertile trader,you did not seek their opnion.THIS MAKES YOU LOOKS STUPID,IF YOU ARE NOT.
EVERY DAY NIGERIAN MONEY MARKET GROWS DAILY,any you know nothing and writes nosense,if you president of qualitative or quantative financial analyst of Africa,you should includes asset management,hedge fund,venture capitalist,trust fund,they all exist in Nigeria but in limited means

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