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Home Markets Equities

How to pick the right Nigerian stocks in 2025 

Idika Aja by Idika Aja
October 16, 2025
in Equities, Financial Literacy, Markets, Stock Market
Why young Nigerians must consider investing in local and foreign stock markets
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As Nigeria’s economy cools and equities surge, investors face a new question: where to find value next.

After two years of high inflation and tight monetary policy, Nigeria’s economy is now in a disinflationary phase.

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has begun to ease the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), triggering expectations of lower fixed-income yields.

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For many investors, this signals a gradual shift away from high-yield government securities and back toward equities, where opportunities are emerging.

The ongoing bank recapitalization exercise is reshaping investor sentiment, with Nigerian banks expected to inject over N4 trillion into the financial system.

This move is not only strengthening the capital base of the banks but also boosting market liquidity and deepening investor confidence.

In addition, the planned recapitalization of the insurance sector and relative stability in the foreign exchange market have further brightened the outlook.

The moderation in FX volatility has reduced the foreign exchange losses that weighed heavily on the profits of consumer goods, industrial, and ICT companies between 2023 and 2024.

As a result, many listed firms are now reporting improved margins and stronger bottom lines.

The Nigerian Exchange (NGX) has reflected this investor confidence. As of October 14, 2025, the All-Share Index (ASI) has gained 43.60% year-to-date, while market capitalization stood at an impressive N93.77 trillion.

In this evolving landscape, the key question for investors is: How do you pick the right Nigerian stocks in 2025?

Liquidity first 

Liquidity determines whether you can buy or sell shares easily without triggering large price swings or experiencing long delays.

It is generally safer to invest in companies with strong trading liquidity, as this ensures easier entry and exit positions.

  • As a practical guide, investors should focus on companies that have recorded an average monthly trading volume of around 20 million shares consistently for at least three consecutive months.
  • While firms with lower volumes say around five million shares per month may still be considered, higher trading volumes provide greater flexibility and confidence.

For instance, FCMB, Universal Insurance, Linkage Assurance, Fidelity Bank, Access Holdings, AIICO Insurance, Zenith Bank, and UBA are among the most actively traded stocks on the NGX, each recording an average of over 500 million shares traded monthly in the past three months.

Define your investment objective 

Once liquidity is established, investors must define their investment objective, the “why” behind every stock choice.

Your goal determines whether you focus on companies that are growing, pay dividends, or are undervalued.

Growth 

If you’re looking for growth, focus on companies with a proven record of strong earnings and profit expansion.

True growth stocks are those that have demonstrated consistent performance even through Nigeria’s volatile economic cycles, from currency devaluations to inflationary and disinflationary phases.

A good benchmark is to identify firms that have achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of at least 30% in profit over the past five years.

This level of sustained growth indicates operational strengths, consistency, and resilience.

  • Banking sector: On average, banks have delivered a five-year profit CAGR of about 63%. Wema Bank, for instance, has grown its profit by over 100% annually.
  • Agricultural sectors: Okomu Oil and Presco Plc have demonstrated strong performance, each recording an average profit growth of over 64% per year over the past five years. Though not as heavily traded as the major banks, both companies maintain healthy trading liquidity, averaging over five million shares per month in the last three months, meeting the combined criteria of growth and tradability.

Income Investors 

If your investment objective is income, prioritize regular dividend payouts over aggressive growth.

Focus on mature, cash-rich firms with a track record of paying consistent dividends, ideally maintained over the past several years.

Examples include Seplat Energy, Okomu, Presco, Dangote Cement, Aradel, and BUA Foods. These companies combine stable earnings with predictable dividend payments.

It is crucial to assess the actual dividend yield relative to the share price, as this determines the income efficiency of your investment.

The higher the yield, the better. Many banking stocks are also known for high dividend yields, offering both liquidity and income stability.

Value Investors 

Chasing value is about identifying a stock’s real worth, not just its market price. The key question is whether the market value reflects the company’s intrinsic value. If the market price is below what the stock is actually worth, you’re getting true value.

Target solid companies trading below their intrinsic worth, offering upside potential.

Look for low earnings multiples combined with strong profit growth. Even companies with higher multiples may still represent value if earnings are growing rapidly.

For example, BUA Foods trades at 28x earnings, which may appear high at first glance. However, it has delivered a compound annual profit growth of over 70%, and coupled with double-digit dividends, it remains an attractive investment.

Overall, at first glance, navigating liquidity, growth, income, and value criteria may seem complicated or stressful.

Investors can either engage a trusted financial adviser or painstakingly adopt these measures themselves.

That said, there are several stocks on the NGX that fit neatly into these combined criteria.

  • Banking stocks such as FCMB, Zenith Bank, GTCO, UBA, Access Holdings, and Fidelity Bank offer strong liquidity and sustained profit growth, often coupled with attractive dividends.
  • In the agricultural sector, Okomu Oil and Presco Plc deliver robust profit growth with sufficient tradability.
  • In other sectors, companies like Seplat Energy, BUA Foods, and Dangote Cement combine consistent earnings, dividends, and market presence, making them suitable candidates for investors seeking a balance of growth, income, and value.

By focusing on stocks that meet these practical benchmarks, investors can increase the likelihood of both smooth trading and strong long-term returns, while reducing the risk of being trapped in thinly traded or fundamentally weak stocks.

 

 

Idika Aja

Idika Aja

Idika is a Chartered Stockbroker with expertise in financial analysis, equity research, perspective analysis, and investment commentary.

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Comments 3

  1. Ayanfe Oluwasegun says:
    October 17, 2025 at 4:03 pm

    I need a broker

    Reply
  2. FRANCIS OLA SOBALOJU says:
    October 18, 2025 at 2:03 am

    Having go through your post on this page , I need your help to connect me with the right brokers whom you know that can assist me to claim all the past dividend from the various shared that I have bought for almost over the 20 years ago
    These are the companies from which I have bought the shares 1 Access Holding
    2 Co-operative Bank
    3 Wema Bank
    4 Sky Bank
    5. West African Portland
    Cement
    In a case of verification to the above complain I have with me all the documents concerning the shares which I can produce upon request. Even I have been receiving dividends on them before , but now nothing since about over 20 years ago.
    Pls. Kindly help me sir , for heaven help those who help them self . You shall be seen the favor of god as from now till the end of your life in Jesus name . Amen

    Reply
  3. Hope Atsevgo Moses says:
    October 31, 2025 at 7:12 pm

    Thanks for sharing this insightful knowledge. Navigating the above features for choice of appropriate stocks seems stressful, however learning carefully over time, must an investor engage the services of a stock broker before she will be successful in the Nigerian Stock Exchange Market? Kindly share your view to help my decision.

    Reply

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