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Nairametrics
Home Markets Commodities

Nigeria bets on Cocoa as futures settle at $9,187 per ton

Olumide Adesina by Olumide Adesina
May 11, 2025
in Commodities, Markets
Cocoa prices

Image credit: Nairametrics file

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Cocoa settled at $9,187 per ton at the New York Commodity Exchange as Africa’s most populous country, Nigeria, seeks to reduce its over-reliance on Crude oil earnings.

Investors have renewed their interest in cocoa beans as prices skyrocketed due to Nigeria’s attempts to diversify its oil-dependent economy.

United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) data showed Nigeria remained the world’s seventh-largest cocoa bean producer, with production exceeding 280,000 tons in 2023.

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The government aims a production target of 500,000 tons for the 2024-2025 season, propelling Nigeria after Ivory Coast, Ghana, and Indonesia.

An expected decline in output from the top two cocoa-exporting countries, Ghana and Ivory Coast, which together represent 50% of global production, has pushed prices from $2,200-2,500 per metric ton in 2022 to nearly $11,000 by December 2024, as claimed by the International Cocoa Organization, an intergovernmental body.

New York cocoa futures skyrocketed due to poor weather and disease wreaking havoc on crops in West Africa, hitting a record near $13,000 a ton in 2024. Although prices have dipped from the peak due to expectations of a small surplus, cocoa is still significantly more expensive than historical prices.

Nigeria aims to be a major force in Coca production within the next three years, with an investment of $40.5 million made by British International Investment alongside manufacturing company Johnvents Group.

The funding will assist Johnvent’s subsidiary, Premium Cocoa Products Ile-Oluji, by increasing their production capacity from 13,000 to 30,000 metric tons per year, which would give Nigeria a more significant competitive advantage as a worldwide exporter of cocoa.

The Federal Government established a National Cocoa Management Board

The Nigerian federal government is looking to boost the country’s cocoa industry and has proposed a bill to the national assembly to establish a National Cocoa Management Board.

Smallholder farmers’ membership in the Cocoa Farmers Association of Nigeria rose beyond 10,000 for the 2023-2024.

Senator Abubakar Kyari, the Minister of Agriculture and Food Security, stated that the newly proposed board will oversee all cocoa production, processing, and marketing to ensure it is done coherently and efficiently.

Delegations met with counterparts from Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana, which have national cocoa boards that efficiently oversee their cocoa industries.

The meetings discussed strategies for improving cooperation and coordinating efforts throughout the region. He added that the Nigerian Ministry of Agriculture had established a Cocoa Management Committee to evaluate the feasibility of such a board before drafting the bill.

The Federal Executive Council (FEC) approved an action plan in 2024 to achieve sustainable growth in the cocoa sector with a projected investment of more than $300 billion over the next decade.

Demand for Cocoa derivatives is still high

The US division of Nestle SA, the largest food company in the world, will raise the prices of its Toll House morsels, baking cocoa, and fudge kits starting on June 23.

  • The increases come after the company sent letters to some of its commodity suppliers at the end of last year, asking them to lower prices, offer rebates, and cancel supply contracts altogether.
  • The sources claimed that some suppliers refused to comply.
  • Prices for chocolate and certain food items continue to rise despite a slowdown in overall grocery inflation. Limited supply put consumers’ willingness to pay more for snacks to the test.

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Tags: CocoaCrude oil earningsFAONew York Commodity Exchange
Olumide Adesina

Olumide Adesina

Olumide Adesina is a financial market writer, analyst and investment trader. Message Olumide on Twitter @Olumidecapital

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