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Commodities

OPEC launches Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB)

The ABS would be a platform for reliable research data for analysts and policy stakeholders. 

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OPEC, Historic OPEC+ oil deal still under threat as negotiations drag, New OPEC+ output cut proposal stalls due to Russia, OPEC launches Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB)

The Organization of Oil Exporting Countries (OPEC) has launched a bulletin to track data statistics of its members in the industry and other key economic indicators.

OPEC says that the ABS would be a platform for reliable research data for analysts and policy stakeholders.

“The Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB) contains about 100 pages of tables, charts and graphs detailing the world’s oil and gas reserves, crude oil and product output, exports, refining, tankers, plus economic and other data” the body said.

Comprising of important current time data of the oil production industry, from production to demand and import/exports, including oil transport tracking.

OPEC announced the initial launch report will provide data on oil and gas activities of 13 countries including Nigeria and Algeria, Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, IR Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Venezuela.

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OPEC announced that the ASB would come with an interactive version on iOS and Android to optimize the valuable research data on the platform.

READ MORE: OPEC production output now at lowest level in nearly 30 years

OPEC Secretary-General, Dr Mohammed Barkindo said the body is dedicated to high-quality data transparency to provide timely oil and gas metrics for analysts.

“This underpins OPEC’s overarching goal of fostering sustainable oil market stability for the benefit of producers, consumers and the global economy,’’ he added.

OPEC’s Head of Data Services Department, Ms Boshra AlSeiari, provided timely data from the ASb saying global demand grew 0.9% year on year with an average of 99.67 Million BPD in 2019, adding that the largest growth came from Asia (China and India in particular), Africa and the middle east.

“Total world crude oil production declined in 2019 by 0.56 million barrels/day (mb/d), or 0.7%, as compared to 2018, to average 75.26 mb/d, following a historical high during 2018.

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“OPEC crude oil production declined sharply year-on-year by 1.86 mb/d, or 6.0% while crude production by non-OPEC countries grew by 1.30 mb/d, or 2.9 per cent.

 “OECD oil demand fell slightly in 2019, while oil demand in OPEC member countries returned to growth in 2019,’’ AlSeiari said.

She also added that total exports from members averaged 22.48 million barrels per day in 2019, decreasing 7.4% from 2018 by 1.80 million barrels per day. She added that oil reserves of OPEC nation increased 3.7% in 2019 to 1,227 billion barrels and capacity to refine grew by 1.21 million barrels per day at 100.98 million by 2019.

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 “World proven crude oil reserves stood at 1,551 billion barrels (bn b) at the end of 2019, increasing by 3.6% from the level of 1,497 bn b recorded at the end of 2018,” she said.

 

 

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Commodities

Gold prices drop below $1,900 after U.S dollar strengthens

The plunge came as appetite for risk assets recovered thanks to a stronger greenback and real rates.

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Gold soars above $1850, rises to 9-year high

Gold prices dropped sharply on Wednesday at London’s trading session. Gold futures were down 2.69% to trade at about $1,893.20 as at the time this report was drafted.

The plunge came as appetite for risk assets recovered, thanks to a stronger greenback and real rates. The U.S dollar is up on Wednesday, continuing to rise from its two-year lows.

The present huge sell-offs recorded in the precious metal market astonished many gold traders after the per-ounce price of the yellow metal plunged below $1,900.

READ MORE: Silver surpasses three-week high, joins Bullish momentum

Here’s an Insight: Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at AxiCorp, in a note to Nairametrics, explained the macros, giving Gold bears such strength, as the precious metal continues its sudden downward trend. He said;

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“The real pain trade gold as swollen positions got hit with the truncheon, and gold plunged the most in seven years as the bottom fell out of the markets with US Treasuries and bunds bear-steepening and real yields higher.

“Gold markets sold off picking speed exponentially as freshly minted gold longs ran for the exit.

“And in typical low liquidity August fashion, market makers were merciless pounding gold to within a hair’s breadth of $1900 as the steam roller got heading downhill when the afternoon Shanghai session saw waves of Asia banks selling en masse.”

READ ALSO: LINK, most profitable crypto-asset in 6 months, gains 451%

Whether or not gold can regain its previous highs will depend on whether there is more room for downside in real yields or more dovish policies by the US Federal Reserve. Still, the possibility of squeezy price action remains in play after the US Bond market sent out the most explicit warning last week.

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Commodities

Gold price loses $80 following Russia’s COVID-19 vaccine approval

This marks gold’s steepest daily decline in nearly five months.

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ETF, stocks, shares, investment, equity,Gold loses some shine on hopes for COVID-19 vaccines

Gold futures have lost about  5% or $80 in less than four hours, at the London trading session this afternoon.

Gold futures fell as low as $1,950 per ounce, $80 differential from its opening price of $2,030

This marks gold’s steepest daily decline in nearly five months, even as global stocks went bullish following news that Russia’s COVID-19 vaccine has obtained regulatory approval.

READ MORE: Cocoa prices melt lower as COVID-19 weakens demand 

The COVID-19 vaccine approval by Russia was met with some skepticism by experts.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on Tuesday that a locally developed vaccine for COVID-19, Sputnik-V, has been given regulatory approval and is ready for use.

Russian Health Minister Mikhail Murashko said that the vaccine had “proven to be highly effective and safe”, with mass vaccination planned to start in October.

But health regulators elsewhere have cast doubts on the vaccine, as it has not yet gone through safety trials and Russia did not offer any scientific evidence of the vaccine’s effectiveness and safety.

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Commodities

Where is oil headed in the short term?

Oil prices may fall again if there is another surge in Coronavirus cases.

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What is holding oil price?

Oil prices have risen by 128% from it’s April low as it has steadied above $40 a barrel since mid- June. At the same time, fluctuating demand and rising supply present a bottleneck for those who are expecting oil prices to keep climbing. Reduction of the size of output cuts to 7.7million barrels a day from August, by the group of 23 oil-producing countries which is led by Saudi Arabia and Russia would add about 2 million barrels to the daily oil production levels. Most of the extra OPEC+ crude would not reach the global market. These extra cuts would be used to service internal demand for electricity to run air conditioners as a result of the scorching temperatures across the Arabian Peninsula. Fewer citizens have been travelling to Europe to avoid the scorching temperatures.

Rising supply is not the only thing that will put pressure on crude prices. The anticipation for recovery in demand for oil is also running into problems. At a period when crude prices were at the lowest point in April, China made a record purchasing splurge and subsequently, China’s oil buying decreased. The amount of oil kept in Shandong province haulers and refineries has risen by 28% since mid-May and close to hitting a five-month high. However, there is still an enormous pile-up of vessels that are waiting off the seashores to offload their freights. Some of them have been there for two months.

READ ALSO: What banks might do to avoid getting crushed by Oil & Gas Loans

Temporarily, China’s independent refineries started to decrease their processing rate from record levels in mid-June and massive glut across the country may reduce its demand for gasoline and oil by almost 5%, whilst the decline should be temporary.

Vacation States, like Florida and California, are seeing a rise in COVID-19 cases, with a record number of daily infections and increased death tolls. This has caused travel restrictions and also, ruining demand for both gasoline and jet fuel. The recovery in US gasoline demand stalled shortly after the driving summer season got underway. Crude is being squeezed between rising supply and a stagnating demand recovery, which is going to make the oil bulls uncomfortable. It is plausible supply could overload storage facilities, pipelines and refineries, creating little room for domestic production of oil.

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READ ALSO: Gold loses $70 dollars in an hour after reaching $2,000

In the past few months, Saudi Arabia, Russia and most OPEC members complied to slashing production. On the other hand, American oil companies are decommissioning rigs and shutting Wells. These developments helped push oil prices remarkably. Oil prices may fall again if there is another surge in Coronavirus cases and death as governments begin allowing businesses to reopen and people might see that as carte blanche to move about more freely.

The US oil companies have started producing oil from the wells they abandoned when the prices sank, after the restoration of wells that were shut earlier this year. There are chances that prices could also fall when haulers filled with more than 50million barrels of crude oil from Saudi Arabia, reach the US in July ending. US oil companies have increased production by 1.2million barrels a day in the past six weeks. Output went as low as 9.7million barrels a day in the second week of June but has risen to 10.9million barrels a day as activity begin to recuperate in the big shale fields on Texas. US production will now balance at about 11million barrels a day through to the end of 2020 which is well below the 13million barrels a day in March before the Saudi-Russian price war and Coronavirus pandemic devastated the US oil prices.

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