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Commodities

OPEC launches Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB)

The ABS would be a platform for reliable research data for analysts and policy stakeholders. 

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OPEC, Historic OPEC+ oil deal still under threat as negotiations drag, New OPEC+ output cut proposal stalls due to Russia, OPEC launches Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB)

The Organization of Oil Exporting Countries (OPEC) has launched a bulletin to track data statistics of its members in the industry and other key economic indicators.

OPEC says that the ABS would be a platform for reliable research data for analysts and policy stakeholders.

“The Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB) contains about 100 pages of tables, charts and graphs detailing the world’s oil and gas reserves, crude oil and product output, exports, refining, tankers, plus economic and other data” the body said.

Comprising of important current time data of the oil production industry, from production to demand and import/exports, including oil transport tracking.

OPEC announced the initial launch report will provide data on oil and gas activities of 13 countries including Nigeria and Algeria, Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, IR Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Venezuela.

OPEC announced that the ASB would come with an interactive version on iOS and Android to optimize the valuable research data on the platform.

READ MORE: OPEC production output now at lowest level in nearly 30 years

OPEC Secretary-General, Dr Mohammed Barkindo said the body is dedicated to high-quality data transparency to provide timely oil and gas metrics for analysts.

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“This underpins OPEC’s overarching goal of fostering sustainable oil market stability for the benefit of producers, consumers and the global economy,’’ he added.

OPEC’s Head of Data Services Department, Ms Boshra AlSeiari, provided timely data from the ASb saying global demand grew 0.9% year on year with an average of 99.67 Million BPD in 2019, adding that the largest growth came from Asia (China and India in particular), Africa and the middle east.

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“Total world crude oil production declined in 2019 by 0.56 million barrels/day (mb/d), or 0.7%, as compared to 2018, to average 75.26 mb/d, following a historical high during 2018.

“OPEC crude oil production declined sharply year-on-year by 1.86 mb/d, or 6.0% while crude production by non-OPEC countries grew by 1.30 mb/d, or 2.9 per cent.

 “OECD oil demand fell slightly in 2019, while oil demand in OPEC member countries returned to growth in 2019,’’ AlSeiari said.

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She also added that total exports from members averaged 22.48 million barrels per day in 2019, decreasing 7.4% from 2018 by 1.80 million barrels per day. She added that oil reserves of OPEC nation increased 3.7% in 2019 to 1,227 billion barrels and capacity to refine grew by 1.21 million barrels per day at 100.98 million by 2019.

 “World proven crude oil reserves stood at 1,551 billion barrels (bn b) at the end of 2019, increasing by 3.6% from the level of 1,497 bn b recorded at the end of 2018,” she said.

 

 

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Commodities

Oil prices surge over China’s growing appetite for energy

British based contract ticked up by 0.3% to trade at $63.59 a barrel while the WTI futures edged near $60 a barrel.

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Where next for oil prices?, Brent crude futures gained 0.14 to trade at $34.70 at the time this report was drafted, recovering some of its losses earlier in the oil trading session. , Brent crude price fails to remain over $40, concerns over pledge cut strengthens

Oil prices rallied high at the second trading session of the week as data from the world’s second-largest oil consumer’s (China) import growth picked up coupled with rising tensions in the Middle East after rebels from Yemen disclosed that they fired missiles on Saudi’s energy infrastructure.

At the time of writing this report, the British based contract ticked up by 0.3% to trade at $63.59 a barrel while the West Texas Intermediate futures edged near $60 a barrel.

READ: Oil prices soar above $70 a barrel over terrorist attacks on Saudi’s oil station

The world’s second-largest economy recorded impressive gains for last month in yet another boost to China’s economic recovery as global demand gained momentum. Crude oil imports into China surged by 21% in March from a low base of comparison a year earlier.

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in a note to Nairametrics spoke on the parabolic of the energy market, as oil traders seem to be uninspired on the resurging COVID-19 virus;

“The oil market’s magnetic attraction to the $63 level should tell us much about the near-term outlook amid conflicting signal of new Covid waves coming to shore ahead of what should be a summer gasoline buying bonanza.

READ: Did OPEC+ April fool the oil market?

But overall, this is an oil market that feels completely uninspired outside of a few micro lurches here and there.

Sigma Pensions

Still, positive comments on the US economy from Fed Chairman Powell help to reassure the outlook for oil demand, balancing concerns about the continued spread of Covid-19 in some regions.”

What to expect

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Recent price actions suggest oil traders might hold the $60 a barrel baseline in the near term even if U.S Treasury yields surge while struggling to resolve with what form and fashion the next leg of the reflation trade will take.

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Commodities

Oil prices stay on course as Saudi’s Energy Minister reassures traders

British based oil contract traded at about $63 a barrel while the WTI futures were trading slightly below the $60 price level.

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Crude oil prices slump, as partial lockdowns resume

Crude oil prices remained relatively firm at the early hours of Friday’s trading session as oil traders digested Saudi Arabia’s defense of OPEC+ plans in raising output thereby capping gains.

At press time, the British based oil contract traded at about $63 a barrel while the West Texas Intermediate futures were trading slightly below the $60 price level.

Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman recently revealed that there were no pressing concerns of demand/supply dynamics changing gear amid the gradual boost in outputs in an interview aired on Thursday, adding that OPEC+ had all ammunition put in place to change course if necessary. OPEC+ will continue to meet monthly on reviewing the energy market supply dynamics.

READ: Has the Naira been devalued?

Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at Axi in a note to Nairametrics spoke on the prevailing market sentiment amid macros pointing to more oil supplies hitting the sensitive energy market and an upsurge in COVID-19 caseloads.

“Positioning is much cleaner, although the market remains directionally long oil. However, the sudden calm and drop in volatility have attracted passive investors back to the fray as the market structure around prompt spreads start to tighten and the dollar begins to roll over.

“Still, the conflicting signals around OPEC+ supply coming back to market amid spiking coronavirus case numbers in India plus parts of Canada as well as Tokyo backtracking into the lockdown Abyss, together with reports linking the UK’s Covid-19 vaccine workhorse to the higher frequency of blood clots, continues to hold the bulls at bay.”

READ: Did OPEC+ April fool the oil market?

Sigma Pensions

What to expect: The most recent OPEC+ agreement on releasing barrels into such present demand was not out of place – suggesting the futuristic price of oil might range between the $60 -$70 price levels with production normalization vs current high excess production capacity taken into consideration.

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