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Currencies

U.S dollar remains firm, global investors rush into safe haven assets

Currency traders remained optimistic about the dollar, despite its recent pullbacks.

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dollar foreign debt, Foreign investors trapped in the debt market as dollar scarcity persists, U.S dollar gains, America sanctions Chinese Airlines from flying into the U.S. , U.S dollar gains, America sanctions Chinese Airlines from flying into the U.S., U.S Dollar Remains Firm, Global Investors Rush Into Safe Haven Assets

The U.S dollar remained firm on Friday morning at London’s trading session holding most of it gains recorded on Thursday amid strengthening concerns over the surge in COVID-19 caseloads in major economies around the world, which include China and United States.

The U.S. Dollar Index, used to gauge the greenback against a bouquet of other currencies, remained firm at 97.35.

Why tracking the U.S dollar Index helps: Individuals hoping to meet foreign exchange payment obligations, and process transactions via the dollar to countries like England, France, or Japan, will need to pay fewer dollars for such transactions.

The American Dollar Index tracks the dollar’s strength relatively against a bouquet of other major currencies around the world, such as Japanese yen, Euro, British pounds sterling, Swedish krona, Canadian dollar, Swiss Franc, etc.

China reported 21 new COVID-19 cases connected to an outbreak at the Xinfadi market on Wednesday, while in Texas, US, there was a surge in reported cases in hospitals.

READ MORE: Forex: Dollar higher as new wave of virus causes risk aversion

The resurgence of COVID-19 cases showed a troubling trend as the number of cases in both major economies, triggered global investors concerns about the global economy.

This boosted confidence that the safe-haven currency would remain bullish, as some global investors, and currency traders remained optimistic about the dollar, despite its recent pullbacks.

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“Upside for U.S. stocks and other risk assets has dwindled because more people are talking about the second wave of virus infections…this supports the dollar and the yen because they are both safe havens,” Junichi Ishikawa, senior foreign exchange strategist at IG Securities, told CNBC.

 

Olumide Adesina is a France-born Nigerian. He is a Certified Investment Trader, with more than 15 years of working expertise in Investment trading. Message Olumide on Twitter @tokunboadesina. He is a Member of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society.

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Currencies

Exchange rate strengthens at NAFEX as dollar supply spikes by 690%

Naira gained against the US Dollar on Thursday to close at N409.65/$1 while dollar supply surges by 690.6%.

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Naira stabilizes at black market as CBN continues its intervention in forex market

Thursday, 8th April 2021: The exchange rate between Naira and the US Dollar closed at N409.65/1$ in the Importers and Exporters window, where forex is traded officially.

Naira gained against the US Dollar on Thursday to close at N409.65/$1. This represents a 0.33% appreciation compared to N411/$1 recorded on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, naira remained stable in the parallel market on Thursday, 8th April 2021 to close at N485 to a dollar, the same rate as maintained since last week.

READ: Naira falls at NAFEX window despite 394% increase in dollar supply

Trading at the official NAFEX window

Naira appreciated against the US Dollar at the Investors and Exporters window on Thursday to close at N409.65 to a dollar. This represents a N1.35k gain when compared to N4111/$1 recorded on Wednesday, 7th April 2021.

  • The opening indicative rate closed at N410.5 to a dollar on Thursday. This represents a N0.76 depreciation when compared to N409.74/$1 recorded on Wednesday.
  • Also, an exchange rate of N419 to a dollar was the highest rate recorded during intra-day trading before it closed at N409.65/$1. It also sold for as low as N394/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window increased by 690.6% on Thursday, 8th April 2021.
  • A cursory look at the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ showed that forex turnover grew from $11.85 million recorded on Wednesday, April 7, 2021, to $93.69 million on Thursday, April 8, 2021.

Cryptocurrency watch

The world’s most popular digital currency, bitcoin recorded a 0.18% decline in value in the early hours of Friday, 9th April 2021.

  • Bitcoin was down by 0.18% to trade at $58,135 on Friday morning, bur lead compared to $36,199 recorded at the close of trade on Wednesday.
  • Meanwhile, according to a research report, bitcoin is expected to surge around 600$ to hit the $400,000 level in 2021. This has been well met as major financial institutions in the world such as Visa, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley have embraced the digitalization of money.
  • The digital currency has been widely adopted by many, replacing gold as the global digital-reserver asset.

READ: Naira remains flat as external reserve fall to just 6 months of imports

Oil price gain

Brent crude oil price recorded a marginal increase on Thursday as it closed at $63.2 per barrel, indicating a 0.06% gain compared to $63.16 recorded at the close of trade on Wednesday.

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  • Crude oil prices are beginning to record tepid growth demands are expected to increase due to revived optimism in the market as the United Kingdom has given the first vaccine to about half of its population, while the US has vaccinated about 30% of its population.
  • Crude oil prices have recorded a marginal increase during the week despite the resolve of the OPEC+ to reduce production cuts in the coming months. However, US Shale Giant have commended the OPEC+ group in bringing supply and demand back to balance.
  • Brent Crude closed at $63.2 (+0.06%), WTI Crude closed at $59.75 indicating 0.25% gain, Bonny Light, $60.6 (-2.63%), OPEC Basket (-1.06%) to close at $60.68 while Natural gas dipped by 0.12% to close at $2.519.

External reserve

Nigeria’s external reserve gained $1.79 million on Thursday, 8th April 2021 to close at $34.977 billion, being the highest external reserve position recorded in over a month.

  • This indicates a 0.01% increase when compared to $34.975 billion recorded on Thursday 1st April 2021.
  • This also represents an increase in the country’s external reserve position for the 12th consecutive day, having endured a significant downturn in the early parts of the year. Nigeria’s reserve has added a total of $560.5 million in 12 days.
  • This recent increase in Nigeria’s external reserve could however be attributed to the increase in crude oil prices recorded earlier in March before the recent bearish trade in the crude market.
  • It could be attributed to the possible increase in diaspora remittance as the CBN offers incentives for every unit of dollar received in Nigeria from diaspora remittance.

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Currencies

Exchange rate weakens to record N438/$1 during intra-day trading

The exchange rate at NAFEX trades at N438/$1 during Intra-day trading NAFEX as forex turnover drops by 71%

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Forex, Nafex, parallel market, exchange rate, Naira, Dollar

Wednesday, 7th April 2021: The exchange rate between the naira and the US Dollar closed N411/$ at the Investors and Exporters window.

The Naira depreciated against the US Dollar for the third time in a row on Wednesday, 7th of April 2021, to close at N411/$1. This represents a 0.12% decline when compared to N410.5 recorded on Tuesday.

Despite the depreciation recorded in the I&E window, the naira remained stable in the parallel market on Wednesday to close at N485 to a dollar, the same as recorded since last week.

Meanwhile, the dollar supply in the official exchange market dropped to its lowest in over 5 months as it declined by 71% on Wednesday to stand at $11.85 million.

READ: Naira gains at NAFEX window despite 26.2% drop in dollar supply


Trading at the official NAFEX window

Naira depreciated against the US Dollar at the Investors and Exporters window on Wednesday to close at N411 to a dollar. This represents a 50 kobo decline when compared to N410.5/$1 recorded on Tuesday, 6th April 2021.

  • The opening indicative rate closed at N409.74 to a dollar on Wednesday. This represents a N0.26 depreciation when compared to N409.48/$1 recorded on Tuesday.
  • Also, an exchange rate of N438 to a dollar was the highest rate recorded during intra-day trading before it closed at N411/$1. It also sold for as low as N405/$1 during intra-day trading.
  • Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window dropped by 71% on Wednesday, 6th April 2021.
  • A cursory look at the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ showed that forex turnover declined from $40.8 million recorded on Tuesday, April 6, 2021, to $11.85 million on Wednesday, April 7, 2021.

READ: Naira gains at NAFEX window despite 26.2% drop in dollar supply


Cryptocurrency watch

Major crypto assets recorded a significant drop in Wednesday’s trade as the world’s most popular crypto asset, Bitcoin slumped by 3.13%, losing about $1,818.66 in a single day’s trade.

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  • Bitcoin fell by 3.13% as of 11:00 pm on Wednesday to trade at $56,199.64
  • Also, Ethereum lost 5.56% to trade at $1,995.18, hence losing a total of $117.51.
  • Meanwhile, Nairametrics reported that the court has granted Ripple access to U.S SEC documents expressing the financial regulator’s interpretation or views about crypto assets. This saw the asset rallied in the early hours of the say.

Oil price gain marginally

Crude oil prices recorded a marginal gain on Wednesday to close at $63.09 (Brent Crude), representing a 0.56% gain.

  • The marginal growth in the price of crude could be attributed to the revived optimism in the market as the United Kingdom has given the first vaccine to about half of its population, while the US has vaccinated about 30% of its population.
  • Crude prices grew despite extended lockdowns in major countries in Europe as they battle with the third wave of the pandemic.
  • Brent Crude closed at $63.09 (+0.56%), WTI Crude closed at $59.77 indicating 0.74% gain, Bonny Light, $62.24 (+1.14%), OPEC Basket (-0.6%) to close at $61.33 while Natural gas grew by 2.61% to close at $2.52.

External reserve

Nigeria’s external reserve gained $129.8 million on Tuesday, 6th April 2021 to close at $34.98 billion, the highest single-day gain recorded in about 3 months.

  • This indicates a 0.37% increase when compared to $34.85 billion recorded on Thursday 1st April 2021.
  • This also represents the 11th consecutive increase in the country’s external reserve position having endured a significant downturn in the early parts of the year. Nigeria’s reserve has added a total of $558.8 million in 11 days.
  • This recent growth could however be attributed to the increase in crude oil prices recorded earlier in March and the possible increase in diaspora remittance as the CBN offers incentives for every unit of dollar received from diaspora remittance.
  • Nigeria will now hope for the reserve to $40 billion so as to be able to meet up with pent-up demand that had accumulated since the crash of crude oil price in 2020.

 

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