The APC in its quest to kick our Senator Bukola Saraki may be siting on a Kamikaze plot as indications suggest the PDP is on the right track to benefit from all of this. Analysis shows the PDP’s plans is as much a game of numbers as it is politics. The number game it seems, has fallen squarely in favour of PDP. Here is how it might play out.
The Nigerian Senate has 109 seats, with one of the seats vacant as a result of death.
The remaining 108 are made up of 59 APC senators and 49 PDP senators.
The APC Senate Caucus is currently divided along the line of those in support of Saraki and those against him
PDP on the other hand are firmly united and need about 11 Senators from the APC to get the required votes.
11 Senators will give them 60 votes and an overwhelming majority if an election is called.
According to Senate Election rules, either party only needs a simple majority to determine the winner of the Senate Presidency.
As it is, getting 11 rogue Senators from the APC is more likely than retaining the loyalty of all the members of the APC.
To make it worse, if the PDP gets the Senate Presidency it is unlikely that he can be impeached as it will require a two-third majority to get out a sitting Senate President.
Politics at the end of the day is a numbers game and as it seems PDP has the aces.