There is an old saying among investors “Don’t catch a falling Knife.”
While hedge funds can go long or short oil and make money either way, for Nigeria economic managers its more bad news as oil prices may extend its slide below the $50 per barrel.
This is because U.S. refineries, which turned a record amount of crude into gasoline during July, typically slow down from August through October.
Oil has fallen to a six-month low, and hopes of a quick rebound are fading as demand heads into an autumn swoon.
Brent crude tumbled below $50 on Monday for the first time since January.
Gasoline fell the most in almost three years.
Analysts say the slump may have further to go as U.S. refineries, which turned a record amount of crude into gasoline during July, typically slow down from August through October for maintenance.
“We still have a lot of global oversupply,” Michael Wittner, head of oil-market research at Société Générale in New York, said on Bloomberg TV. “We’re getting close to the autumn, when demand for crude and products hits a seasonal low point, so it’s hard to see where the uplift is going to come from.”
Demand for gasoline typically eases after summer as the seasonal workforce shrinks and families stop vacationing.
Hedge funds are also growing more pessimistic.
Money managers cut bets on rising Brent prices last week by the most in more than a year and are the least bullish on U.S. crude since 2010.